Same Game Parlay Strategy, Promos: Giants At Buccaneers Monday Night Football

Written By Brett Gibbons on November 19, 2021
Same Game Parlay

What has been stifling the Tampa Bay Buccaneers offense this season? We’ll look at what coverages have given Tom Brady fits and whether or not the New York Giants can take advantage. Apply it to a risk-free same game parlay on Monday Night Football between the Giants and Buccaneers. Promos below.

A same game parlay is when a bettor combines two or more bets in the same game in order to increase their potential payout. Check out our SGP strategy page for more tips and best practices.

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Giants – Buccaneers Same Game Parlay Breakdown

The continuity between this matchup and last year’ matchup is uncanny. The personnel, coaches, records, injuries– hell, even the uniforms– are reminiscent of the 2020 iteration. Because of that, it allows us to look back on last year’s game to analyze this year’s game.

The Giants kept the game closer than expected and the Buccaneers needed a 10-point fourth quarter to pull off the 25-23 win on the road. New York limited the ground game for Tampa Bay and benefited from a few short fields. With that refresher out of the way, let’s get into this matchup.

The Brady Beater?

Over Tampa Bay’s last two games, the offense has been ground to a near halt. Their latest game against Washington was plagued by drops and some tough bounces that resulted in turnovers, but the Football Team ran a coverage concept run by New Orleans over the last couple years. The Saints defense has given Tom Brady and the Buccaneers fits more often than not. That can be attributed to what’s known as rolling into coverage.

Brady is notorious for being able to read opposing defenses like the playbook was handed to him before each play. The word’s been out that disguising coverage is the best way to get around Brady, though that’s easier said than done. Washington relied heavily on setting up in one-high shells and bailing a box safety or corner into Cover 2, or beginning with two high safeties and rolling into Cover 1.

What’s done underneath is equally as important. Frequently, Washington (and New Orleans) matched man-to-man underneath the high safeties or what’s known as “sink coverage” (linebackers and slot corners ride verticals man-to-man or sink and defend zone against underneath routes). Against the Bruce Arians gun-it system, this type of coverage works really well, even with a subpar secondary. It ultimately eliminates the effectiveness of option routes, which the Arians system runs a lot.

The weakness in this type of coverage lies in leaking running backs or pass-catching tight ends. Without Rob Gronkowski, the Buccaneers struggled to exploit this weakness. Running backs Ronald Jones and Leonard Fourtnette aren’t big receiving threats and it showed with several drops.

Is this truly a “Brady beater?” Such a blanket statement would be foolhardy to rely on, but the scheme itself has shown a capable counter to the Buccaneers’ offense.

Is this exploitable by the Giants?

If they ran it, sure. In this same matchup last year, the Giants run a lot of one-high safety and bail zone techniques. While the Buccaneers’ 25 points wasn’t lighting up the scoreboard, there were more points to be had that game. An early drive was cut short by a Ronald Jones fumble and Brady missed a few long throws in the first half.

The Giants’ defensive system is a lot of bail zone and what’s known as “robber” or “rat” zones where a deep safety sinks down to rob dig routes and deep overs. While this kind of system is effective against teams like the Chiefs that make a lot of their plays on one-on-one wins and extending the play, it’s not particularly effective against timing and option route offenses like the Buccaneers.

Against a team with a similar passing philosophy, the Rams (who run plenty of option routes), the Giants were eviscerated. Soft coverage led to free releases and the zone-heavy approach led to lots of openings for players like Cooper Kupp and Robert Woods.

Giants – Buccaneers Same Game Parlay Options

By keeping everything in front of them, the Giants force opposing teams to go on long scoring drives. In their last game, the Raiders’ scoring drives that began in their own territory were made up of 12, 12, and 17 plays. Before that, the Chiefs had to go 12, 15, and 11 plays. This eats up a lot of time on the clock and generally keeps games low-scoring.

Because of this, the first leg of the same game parlay to consider is the under (). The Giants, when they’re not turning the ball over, go on lengthy drives of their own.

Typically, you’d want to correlate your parlay picks. For example, if you believe a game is going to hit the over, you’d lean over on passing yards by either quarterback. To score all of those points, you’d need plenty of yards. Since we’re feeling confident with the under, I also feel confident going under Tom Brady’s passing yardage prop (294.5).

Derek Carr, Patrick Mahomes, and Matthew Stafford have averaged 274 yards through the air on the Giants. Even when their teams scoring in buckets (the Rams put up 36 points), yardage remained low. Therefore, we’re going to couple:

  • Giants – Buccaneers UNDER 49.5 points (-110)
  • Tom Brady UNDER 294.5 passing yards (-114)
  • Total same game parlay price: +192 or better

Monday Night Football same game parlay promos

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NFL Week 11 betting news

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Brett Gibbons

Brett is an avid sports traveler and former Division-I football recruiter for Bowling Green and Texas State. He’s a graduate of BGSU and works as an auditor for Google content curation products. He’s also contributed to Sports Illustrated and Fansided during his young writing career.

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