Monday Night Football Same Game Parlay Pick: Chiefs vs. Raiders

Written By Eli Hershkovich on October 10, 2022 - Last Updated on October 11, 2022
Same Game Parlay

Before you begin to handicap NFL Week 6 odds, let’s break down my Monday Night Football same game parlay for Raiders at Chiefs. Click on any of the odds below to place a bet.

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49ers vs. Rams Same Game Parlay

Where’s The Action?

Over at BetMGM Sportsbook, 86% of the spread handle and 85% of the total bets, respectively, are on the home favorite. Regarding the total (), the over is garnering interest from both 68% of the overall handle and 67% of the tickets.

As for the variety of props available, Kansas City’s top playmakers are receiving plenty of support as well. The most bet props at BetMGM are Travis Kelce anytime touchdown, Kelce to tally the game’s first score, and Patrick Mahomes over 2.5 passing TDs.

Are any of those markets worth a look for a SGP? For the record, this wager won’t appear on my betting card, yet these legs certainly correlate with one another.

Related: Super Bowl 57 Odds

Potential Same Game Parlay

Depending on how you handicap point spreads, situational spots may not represent a significant factor in your strategy. Nevertheless, I accounted for it in this game, per my Chiefs – Raiders betting guide.

This game would be considered a “sandwich spot.” Not only is Kansas City coming off a dominant win in Tampa Bay, but it’s also set to host Buffalo in Week 6 — in what could be a deciding factor in which team receives a first-round bye in the AFC playoff picture.

Does that mean Andy Reid’s team is guaranteed to look past its division rival? Not necessarily. However, it could easily have a bit of a letdown, considering its next opponent.

Moreover, the Chiefs are surrendering the league’s the 11th-highest Dropback Success Rate (SR). For context, a play is successful if it produces:

  • 50 percent of the yards needed to move the chains on first down
  • 70 percent of yards to gain on second down
  • 100 percent of yards to gain on third or fourth down

Las Vegas’ undervalued passing attack, operating above the league average thus far, should exploit a Kansas City secondary that is most vulnerable in nickel coverage. Couple that with Derek Carr & Co. notching the NFL’s sixth-highest passing rate (64.5%), and the recipe for success is evident.

Therefore, a correlated same game parlay for the aforementioned variables includes: Raiders +7.5, Carr 2+ TD passes, Devante Adams 5+ receptions, and a Hunter Renfroe anytime score. The odds for this BetMGM SGP are +625.

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Eli Hershkovich

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