Thanksgiving Night Same Game Parlay Strategy, Promos: Bills At Saints

Written By Mo Nuwwarah on November 25, 2021

The popularity of the same game parlay continues to grow, and sportsbooks are offering more offers to try one risk-free Thanksgiving night for the Bills at Saints on Thursday Night Football. Let’s study what the odds suggest about projected game script to help you find a solid SGP option.

A same game parlay is when a bettor combines two or more bets in the same game in order to increase their potential payout. Check out our SGP strategy page for more tips and best practices.

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Bills – Saints Breakdown

Both teams come in reeling a little with the Bills having lost two of three and the Saints dropping three straight. They each come in with question marks on both sides of the ball that make this a difficult game to handicap.

The Bills appear to have hit a Chiefs-like wall on offense. Teams have adjusted to what they want to do. They aren’t punishing light boxes with a strong running game. Their defense just got shredded on the ground, raising the question of whether this unit is as elite as the numbers say.

Meanwhile, the Saints’ questions surprisingly revolve more around the defense. Their recent skid has seen them allow 27 to the Falcons and 40 to the ground-bound Eagles.

We’ll create a couple of same game parlay bases around two different potential game scripts. If you like them, you can either bet them yourself, or use them as building blocks for bigger parlays.

Potential Same Game Parlay (Saints Win)

With the way Buffalo has played of late, the Saints should be live underdogs at home here. They have a smart coach who is sure to attack the weak points that other teams have revealed recently.

However, keep an eye on the injury report here. The Saints struggled without their star offensive tackles, Ryan Ramczyk and Terron Armstead, scoring 7 points in the first three quarters before a fourth-quarter garbage-time bonanza against Philly.

Assuming they get those guys back, the next question is whether Alvin Kamara returns to the lineup. This is a simple pivot either way, but the idea here is the Saints probably won’t keep up with Buffalo if this turns into a track meet. But if they can pound their starting RB successfully — or even both if you want to get frisky — they can grind out some decent drives.

In this scenario, they shorten the game and limit a Bills offense that looks vulnerable. Josh Allen ranks outside the top 10 QBs in EPA/play. So, the game goes under along with the Saints winning.

  • Saints ML
  • Under 46.5
  • Tw0-leg same game parlay odds (FanDuel Sportsbook): +365
    • Third leg option: Mark Ingram rushing yards over

Potential Same Game Parlay (Bills Blowout)

What if the Bills do get back on track though? This is still a good offense on paper with a sharp coaching staff. And again, the Saints defense has not played all that well since they spanked Tom Brady in Week 8.

If the Bills go up early, they should find themselves in a pretty juicy spot since Trevor Siemian is not the man you want pressing throws downfield in an attempt at sparking a comeback. He possesses way below average arm strength and the receiving corps probably won’t do him any favors.

In a similar spot against a similarly low-talent QB in Mike White, the Bills snatched four interceptions. They did similar damage against Houston and Washington early in the season.

  • Bills alternate spread -7
  • Josh Allen over passing yards
  • Siemian over 0.5 INT

Thursday Night Football same game parlay promos

  • Opt-in now on DraftKings Sporstbook and get a risk-free SGP for TNF up to $25 (must use the SGP feature).
  • Opt-in now on FanDuel and get a risk-free, 3+ leg same game parlay (odds of +400 or longer). If it loses, FD will credit you back as site credit, up to $100 depending on the size of the bet.
  • Opt-in now on BetMGM and get one game parlay insurance. If your 4+ leg one game parlay misses by one leg, get up to $25 in free bets.

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Mo Nuwwarah Avatar
Written by
Mo Nuwwarah

Mo Nuwwarah got his start in gambling early, making his first sports bet on his beloved Fab Five against the UNC Tar Heels in the 1993 NCAA tournament. He lost $5 to his dad and got back into sports betting years later during a 15-year run in the poker industry. A 2011 journalism graduate from Nebraska-Omaha, he combines those skills with his love of sports and statistics to help bettors make more informed decisions with a focus on pro football, baseball and basketball.

View all posts by Mo Nuwwarah