Saints vs. Chargers: NFL Betting Preview – October 12, 2020

Posted By Staff on October 6, 2020 - Last Updated on October 9, 2020

The 1-3 Los Angeles Chargers are 8.5-point road underdogs as they look to stop a three-game slide against the 2-2 New Orleans Saints on Monday, October 12 at Mercedes-Benz Superdome. The point total is set at 51.

The betting insights in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of October 9. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to bet at DraftKings.com.

Betting Information

Total Facts

  • Saints games average 61.5 total points per game this season, 9.5 points higher than this over/under.
  • Chargers games average 44.5 points per game, 7.5 points less than the over/under for this contest.
  • New Orleans and its opponents have combined to score more than 52 in all four games this season.
  • In one game this season, the Chargers have combined with their opponents to go over 52 points.
  • The two teams average a combined 51.6 points per contest– 0.4 fewer than the total for this matchup.
  • The Saints are the fifth-highest scoring team in the league this year. The Chargers have scored the 27th-most points.
  • This outing features the NFL’s 11th-ranked (Chargers) and 25th-ranked (Saints) scoring defenses.
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Saints Betting Insights

  • New Orleans has a 2-2 record against the spread.
  • New Orleans’ games have hit the over in all four outings this season.

Chargers Betting Insights

  • Three of four of Los Angeles’ games this year failed to go over the point total.
  • Los Angeles has compiled a 3-1 record against the spread this season.

Saints vs Chargers: Last 5 Meetings

  • Against Los Angeles, New Orleans has totaled four wins over the past five matchups.
  • Los Angeles has outpaced New Orleans 160 points to 148 in the past five contests.
Saints vs Chargers: Last Five Meetings
Date Home Team Total Yards Result
10/2/2016 Chargers 346-275 SDC 35-34 NO
10/7/2012 Saints 427-404 SDC 31-24 NO
10/26/2008 Saints 37-32 NO
11/7/2004 Chargers 43-17 SDC
9/10/2000 Chargers 28-27 NO

When the Saints Have the Ball

  • The Saints average 30.8 points per game this season, seven more than the 23.8 the Chargers allow per game.
  • When they score 30.8 points or more, New Orleans is 2-0 and 2-0 against the spread.
  • When the Los Angeles defense allows 23.8 points or fewer this year, the Chargers they are 1-2 overall and 2-1 against the spread.
  • The Chargers give up an average of 373.8 yards per game this season– 2.8 yards more than the Saints offense averages (371). The Saints pick up 5.9 yards per play while the Chargers allow 5.7 per play.
  • In contests where the New Orleans offense totals at least their average yard output this season, they are 1-2 against the spread and 1-2 overall.
  • When the Los Angeles defense allows less than their season average for total yards this season, they are 1-1 against the spread and 1-1 overall.
  • The Saints average 120 yards per game on the ground this season– 9.2 yards more than the Chargers allow to opposing rushing attacks (110.8).
  • In games where New Orleans rushes for at least their season average, they are 1-1 overall and 1-1 against the spread.
  • When Los Angeles limits opposing teams to 110.8 rushing yards or fewer this year, they are 0-1 against the spread and 0-1 overall.
  • This season, the Chargers have forced an average of 0.8 turnovers per game, equal to the 0.8 times Saints have turned the football over in each contest.
  • In games where they don’t turn the football over this season, New Orleans is 1-0 overall and 1-0 against the spread.
  • Los Angeles is 2-0 against the spread and 1-1 overall this season when they force at least 0.8 turnovers in a game.

When the Chargers Have the Ball

  • The Chargers average 10 fewer points per game (20.8) than the Saints allow (30.8).
  • When Los Angeles records at least 20.8 points, it is 1-0 against the spread and 0-1 overall.
  • This season, New Orleans has a 2-0 record against the spread and a 2-0 record overall in games when it holds opponents to 30.8 or fewer points.
  • The Chargers rack up 66.4 more yards per game (400.2), than the Saints allow per outing (333.8). On average, the Chargers gain 5.8 yards per play, while the Saints give up 5.2 per play.
  • New Orleans has a 2-0 record ATS and a 2-0 record overall when holding its opponents to 333.8 yards or less.
  • This season, the Chargers run for 27.7 more yards per game (125.2) than the Saints allow per contest (97.5).
  • Los Angeles has a 2-0 ATS record and a 1-1 overall record when the team runs for at least 125.2 yards.
  • This season, New Orleans is 2-0 against the spread and 2-0 overall when holding opponents to no more than 97.5 yards on the ground.
  • This year, the Chargers turn the ball over 1.8 times per game– 0.6 more turnovers per game than the 1.2 the Saints force on average.
  • Los Angeles has a 2-0 record against the spread and a 1-1 record overall when it turns the ball over 1.8 times or less.
  • This season, New Orleans has a 1-0 record against the spread and a 1-0 record overall when it forces at least 1.2 turnovers.

Saints Players to Watch

  • Drew Brees has thrown for 1,006 yards, eight touchdowns, and two picks while completing 71.3% of his passes (251.5 yards per game).
  • Alvin Kamara has racked up a team-high 236 rushing yards (59 yards per game) and four touchdowns in four games. He has added 30 catches for 321 yards (80.3 receiving yards per game) with three receiving touchdowns.
  • In four games, Latavius Murray has run for 184 yards on 44 carries (46 ypg) with two rushing touchdowns.
  • Tre’Quan Smith has  186 yards on 14 catches and two touchdowns in Michael Thomas’ absence this year.
  • Emmanuel Sanders has caught 14 passes on 22 targets for 182 yards and two touchdowns, averaging 45.5 yards per game in his first year with the Saints.
  • Trey Hendrickson leads New Orleans with three sacks, and has also collected four TFL and 11 tackles.
  • Malcolm Jenkins has 27 tackles, two TFL, and a sack so far this year.
  • Patrick Robinson has one interception, five tackles, and two passes defended four in games this season.

Chargers Players to Watch

  • This year, rookie Justin Herbert has recorded 931 passing yards (310.3 yards per game) while going 77-for-107 (72% completion percentage) and throwing five touchdowns and three interceptions in three starts. He has tacked on a 47 rushing yards on 12 carries with one touchdown, averaging 15.7 yards per game.
  • Joshua Kelley has 174 rushing yards on 52 carries (43.5 yards per game) and a touchdown in his rookie year. He also has seven catches for 84 yards (21 per game).
  • Keenan Allen has been targeted 49 times and has 32 catches for 327 yards (81.8 ypg) and a touchdown.
  • Hunter Henry has chipped in with 18 catches for 245 yards in four games this year. He has been targeted 26 times and averages 61.3 receiving yards per game.
  • Joey Bosa has a team-high three sacks, and has also collected five TFL and 12 tackles over four games.
  • In his rookie year Kenneth Murray has racked up 33 tackles and a TFL.
  • Michael Davis has added an interception and has tacked on 18 tackles this year.

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