Saints vs. Broncos: NFL Betting Preview – November 29, 2020

Posted By Staff on November 24, 2020

The New Orleans Saints (8-2) are favored by  in a matchup against the Denver Broncos (4-6) on Sunday, November 29, at Empower Field at Mile High. The over/under is set at  for the game.

The betting insights in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of November 24, 2020, 1:41 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to bet at DraftKings Sportsbook.

Betting Information

Total Facts

  • Saints games have gone over 43.5 points on seven occasions this season (70% of matchups).
  • Denver’s games have gone over 43.5 points on six occasions (60% of games).
  • The total for this matchup is 43.5 points, 6.6 fewer than the combined scoring average of the two teams.
  • These two teams combine to yield 48.9 points per game, which is 5.4 greater than the total for this matchup.
  • Saints games average 51.7 total points per game this season, equal to the over/under for this matchup.
  • The average total for Broncos games is 47.3 points, 3.8 more than this game’s over/under.
  • The Saints score the sixth-most points in the NFL this season, while the Broncos’ offense puts up the 27th-most.
  • Denver has allowed the 21st-fewest points in the league this season, while New Orleans has given up the eighth-fewest.
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Saints Betting Insights

  • New Orleans’ games have hit the over in seven out of 10 opportunities this season (70%).
  • New Orleans has compiled a 5-5 record against the spread this season.
  • The Saints are just 1-3 ATS when favored by at least 5.5 points.

Broncos Betting Insights

  • Denver has put together a 6-4 record against the spread this season.
  • Half of Denver’s games this year — five out of 10 — have gone over the point total.

When the Saints Have the Ball

  • The Broncos defense has allowed 26.7 points per game this season, 2.8 points less than the 29.5 the Saints have scored.
  • When they meet or outpace their scoring average this season, New Orleans is 4-1 and 3-2 against the spread.
  • Denver is 2-2 overall and 4-0 against the spread this season in games where they allow fewer than 26.7 points.
  • The Saints hold a 27.3-yard advantage in total yards gained versus total yards allowed compared to the Broncos defense this season (373.6 to 346.3).
  • The Saints average 5.7 yards per play while the Broncos give up 5.2 per play.
  • When the New Orleans offense puts together a game with at least their 2020 average in yardage, they are 6-2 overall and 3-5 against the spread this season.
  • When Denver allows fewer total yards to opposing offenses than their season average, they are 3-1 against the spread and 3-1 overall this season.
  • The Broncos defense has given up an average of 121.5 yards per game to opposing running games this season. That total is about the same as the rushing output per contest for the Saints (125.5).
  • In games where the New Orleans rushing attack puts together at least their season average, the Saints are 4-0 overall and 3-1 against the spread.
  • When Denver limits opposing teams to 121.5 rushing yards or fewer this year, they are 3-3 against the spread and 2-4 overall.
  • This season, the Broncos have forced an average of one turnover per game. That’s equal to the one time Saints have turned the football over in each contest.
  • When New Orleans turns the football over one time or fewer this season, they are 6-2 overall and 3-5 against the spread.
  • Denver is 4-2 against the spread and 3-3 overall this season when they force at least one turnover in a game.

When the Broncos Have the Ball

  • The Broncos rack up 20.6 points per game, 1.6 points less than the 22.2 per matchup the Saints allow.
  • When Denver puts up at least 20.6 points, it is 3-1 against the spread and 2-2 overall.
  • This season, New Orleans has a 3-2 record against the spread and a 4-1 record overall in games when it holds opponents to 29.5 or fewer points.
  • The Broncos collect 44.5 more yards per game (346.5), than the Saints allow per outing (302). The Broncos average 5.3 yards per play, while the Saints allow 5 per play.
  • In games New Orleans keeps its opponents to 302 or fewer yards, it has a 4-1 record ATS and a 5-0 record overall.
  • This season, the Broncos rack up 114.8 rushing yards per game, 40.5 more per game than the Saints allow per outing (74.3).
  • When Denver runs for at least 114.8 yards, it had a 3-1 ATS record and a 3-1 overall record.
  • This season, New Orleans is 3-1 against the spread and 4-0 overall when holding opponents to no more than 74.3 yards on the ground.
  • This year, the Broncos turn the ball over 2.3 times per game, 0.8 more turnovers per game than the 1.5 the Saints force on average.
  • Denver has a 5-2 record against the spread and a 3-4 record overall when it turns the ball over 2.3 times or less.
  • This season, New Orleans has a 4-0 record against the spread and a 4-0 record overall when it forces at least 1.5 turnovers.

Saints Players to Watch

  • Taysom Hill has 319 passing yards (31.9 yards per game) and a 78.6% completion percentage this year (22-of-28). He also has 237 rushing yards on 44 carries with three touchdowns, averaging 23.7 yards per game.
  • Alvin Kamara has racked up a team-high 531 rushing yards (53.1 yards per game) and scored eight touchdowns. He has added 67 catches for 648 yards (64.8 receiving yards per game) with four receiving touchdowns.
  • Latavius Murray has 427 yards on 102 carries (42.7 ypg), with two rushing touchdowns.
  • Emmanuel Sanders has 35 catches for 413 yards and three touchdowns. He averages 41.3 receiving yards per game and has been targeted 47 times.
  • Tre’Quan Smith has caught 26 passes on 35 targets for 305 yards and three touchdowns, averaging 30.5 yards per game.
  • Trey Hendrickson has notched a league-leading 9.5 sacks, while adding nine TFL and 20 tackles.
  • This season, Demario Davis has collected 66 tackles, eight TFL, and four sacks.
  • Marcus Williams has picked off three passes to lead the team while adding 42 tackles and five passes defended.

Broncos Players to Watch

  • Drew Lock has thrown for 1,767 yards while completing 55.6% of his passes (149-of-268), with seven touchdowns and 11 interceptions in eight games this year (220.9 yards per game). He’s also carried the ball 24 times for 88 yards and two touchdowns, averaging 11 yards per game.
  • Melvin Gordon III has taken 122 attempts for 523 rushing yards (58.1 yards per game) while scoring six touchdowns in nine games.
  • Phillip Lindsay has added 394 rushing yards on 73 carries (56.3 yards per game), with one touchdown on the ground.
  • This season, Jerry Jeudy has 37 catches (on 77 targets) to lead the team with 589 yards (58.9 per game) while scoring two touchdowns.
  • Tim Patrick has added 36 catches for 563 yards and three touchdowns over the course of nine games. He averages 62.6 receiving yards per game and has been targeted 56 times.
  • Noah Fant has caught 39 passes on 58 targets for 422 yards and two touchdowns, averaging 46.9 yards per game in nine contests in 2020.
  • Malik Reed has 6.5 sacks to lead the team, and has also added eight TFL and 33 tackles.
  • This season, Alexander Johnson has collected 83 tackles, three TFL, and one sack.
  • This season, Justin Simmons leads the team with four interceptions and has added 65 tackles, a TFL, and seven passes defended.

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