NFL Week 3 Game Preview: New Orleans Saints at Carolina Panthers

Written By FairwayJay on September 23, 2022
Saints Panthers odds

The New Orleans Saints (1-1) visit the Carolina Panthers (0-2) at 1 p.m. ET on Sunday, Sept. 25. The early kickoff in Charlotte shows the Saints as spread favorites and on the moneyline. The point total is set at . Read more for a full analysis of Saints – Panthers odds.

In this article, we break down everything you need to know before placing a bet on the game, including team matchups, key metrics, weather and the best available NFL Week 3 odds. Click on the odds anywhere in this post to bet now.

Saints at Panthers Odds: Spread, Moneyline, Over/Under

When using the odds table, click the dropdown menu and select the type of bet you wish to make. 

Betting the point spread is when you wager on how many points a team will win or lose by. A plus sign in front of the spread denotes the underdog, and a minus sign indicates the favorite.

In this case, the Saints would have to win by at least 4 points if you bet them to cover the point spread (-3). A spread bet on the Panthers would win if they win the game or lose by one or two points. A game ending with a 3-point margin would be a push and bets refunded.  

Betting the moneyline is simply betting on which particular team will win a game. The betting total is the number of combined points the two teams will score. Bettors can choose to bet the over or under on how many total points will be scored in the game. 

Saints vs Panthers Player Props

In the props tool search bar, type in a team or player and hit enter. You’ll see the various proposition bets offered by leading online sportsbooks. 

This is a valuable tool that allows bettors to compare odds and stats when considering a prop bet. Unlike bigger markets like moneylines and spreads that often reach a consensus number, shopping for prop bet lines can often reveal sizable differences in the numbers.

Saints vs Panthers Betting News & Angles

Use this rolling, updating list of news bites about each team to help your handicapping for Saints – Panthers odds.

The spread bets slightly favor the Panthers at FanDuel Sportsbook, and 62% of the spread money was on Carolina as of Thursday afternoon.

Saints vs Panthers weather

As of 8 p.m. on Thursday, Sept. 22, the forecast in Charlotte calls for clear and sunny skies with 80-82 degrees and southwest winds about 10 mph at kickoff and throughout the game.

Saints vs Panthers Injury Report

PlayerPositionInjuryWedThuFriGame Status
Paulson AdeboCBAnkleLPLPLPQuestionable
Alvin KamaraRBRibLPLPLPQuestionable
Ryan RamczykOTElbowLPLPLPQuestionable
Tre'Quan SmithWRShoulderLPLPFP(-)
Taysom HillTERibLPLPLPQuestionable
Marcus MayeSRibLPLPLPQuestionable
Jameis WinstonQBBack/AnkleLPLPLPQuestionable
Adam PrenticeFBShoulderLPLPFP(-)
Deonte HartyWRFootLPLPFP(-)
Alontae TaylorCBKneeLPDNPOut
Donte JacksonCBHamstringLPLPFPQuestionable
Christian McCaffreyRBNot injury related - resting player/AnkleDNPLPFP(-)
Frankie LuvuOLBShoulderLPFP(-)
Stantley Thomas-OliverCBAchillesLPDNPQuestionable
Brian BurnsDEAnkleLP(-)
Matthew IoannidisDTGroinLP(-)

Saints Offense vs. Panthers Defense

Saints OStats (Rank)Panthers D
18.5 (19)Points/Gm22.5 (18)
0.301 (19)Points/Play0.313 (12)
346 (17)Yards/Gm310 (9)
220 (18)Pass Yards/Gm150 (3)
126 (9)Rush Yards/Gm160 (29)
5.6 (9)Yards/Play4.3 (4)
6.8 (16)Yards/Pass4.4 (1)
6.5 (2)Yards/Rush4.4 (17)
30.77 (25)3rd Down %38.89 (17)
80.0 (4)Red Zone TD %28.57 (4)
3.0 (31)Turnovers/Gm0 (32)
11.90 (29)Red Zone QB Sack %5.56 (20)

Panthers Offense vs. Saints Defense

Panthers OStats (Rank)Saints D
20 (15)Points/Gm23 (21)
0.385 (10)Points/Play0.338 (19)
268 (28)Yards/Gm338 (17)
168 (30)Pass Yards/Gm201.5 (11)
100 (20)Rush Yards/Gm136.5 (23)
5.2 (21)Yards/Play5.0 (9)
6.8 (18)Yards/Pass6.0 (10)
4.8 (11)Yards/Rush4.0 (11)
26.09 (29)3rd Down %33.33 (8)
42.86 (26)Red Zone TD %40.0 (7)
9.68 (27)QB Sacked %1.47 (30)

Saints at Panthers Betting Insights

Why The Saints Can Cover The spread

The Saints have won five of their last six matchups against the Panthers. None of those wins came with Jameis Winston at quarterback, however. Winston tossed three 4th quarter interceptions last week and was just 2-of-11 on passes that went at least 15 yards through the air. He was not fully healthy last week entering the game with fractures in his back and ankle issues, and RB Alvin Kamara (ribs) missed the contest against the Bucs. Those players status’ should be monitored, and the Saints stronger defensive performance last week against the Bucs provides an edge against a Panthers offense that has not yet produced.

Why The Panthers Can Cover The Spread

The Saints offense struggled last week at home against the Bucs in a 20-10 defeat and New Orleans had five turnovers. The week prior at Atlanta, the Saints allowed 201 rushing yards on 38 carries and 416 yards at 5.9 yards per play but rallied to escape with a 27-26 win against the worst NFC team by preseason projections (Falcons). The Panthers will pound the ground more after rushing 23 times for 146 yards last week at New York, and the Panthers project to have their best offensive performance with more pro bettors adding teaser bets on Carolina as well.

Reasons To Bet The Over

Carolina should have more ball possession this week after just 24 and 22 minutes the first two games. With the Panthers defense expected to force turnovers and create better field position, the opportunity for more scoring should be available. New Orleans may spread the field more with quit-hitting passes to their more talented receivers and to Kamara (assuming he’s ready).

Reasons To Bet The Under

The Panthers only ran 54 plays in each of their first two games, as their opponents controlled the ball, clock and chains with a heavy dose of running. The Saints won’t be able to do that with just 39 rushing attempts in two games, and the Saints pass attack is up against Carolina’s No. 1 ranked pass defense that has allowed a combined 300 passing yards in two games. Combined with the Panthers top-5 yards per play defense and the Saints 5.0 yards per play defense and improved play last week, both teams may be hard pressed to reach 300 yards based on model projections as their offenses are not yet in sync.

Saints at Panthers props: Matchups to watch for

Panthers QB Baker Mayfield vs Saints Secondary

The Panthers are going to run the ball more this week, and the Saints secondary is a real strength as well. While not as good in 2022 without Marcus Williams and Chauncey Gardner-Johnson, the secondary is still a talented group with a high ceiling led by Marcus Lattimore. He’s surrendered only three catches on six targets for 23 yards in coverage this season. The addition of Tyrann Mathieu has been much-needed, as he gives the Saints defense some swagger on the back end.  

Saints QB Jameis Winston vs Panthers Pass Rush and Secondary

Where do you begin when trying to evaluate Jameis Winston? Under pressure, he’s clearly not one to support and mistakes and turnovers returned again last week. Whether Winston plays – or if it’s the less mobile Andy Dalton under center – the quarterback will feel the Panthers pressure, as Saints have allowed 10 sacks already this season. Carolina’s defense has been solid thus far, mostly due to the front seven. Their best defensive backs have been Xavier Woods and Myles Hartsfield, especially in pass coverage and pressure, but they need more from their other younger players in the defensive backfield.

Offensive Lines vs Defensive Fronts

Few things are more important to an NFL team’s success than the quality of its offensive line. These two offensive lines rank in the bottom third of the league, with Pro Football Focus currently showing the Saints at No. 23 and the Panthers up slightly to No. 27. Both Saints guards have below PFF grades, but the Panthers biggest threat is on the edge. The Saints field a good defensive line, but the Panthers OL has actually outperformed expectations thus far with PFF’s weakest link rated as rookie first round pick tackle Ikem Ekwonu, who is the only lineman to allow a sack thus far.

Final thoughts

Both of these offenses are below average with each teams’ strength on defense. If you bet on the Saints, you want to monitor the injuries, specifically to QB Jameis Winston and RB Alvin Kamara. Sharp bettors are taking a position on the Panthers at +3.

Regardless, this division match-up does not project to have much offensive efficiency or yards. Scoring is likely limited, and bettors should grab under 41 as available with the total trending downward and more than 75% of the over/under money at FanDuel betting on less scoring.

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FairwayJay is a leading national sports and gaming analyst and is recognized as one of the sports industry's most insightful professionals. Jay has pursued his passions and maintained a pulse on the sports, gaming and poker industries while living in Las Vegas for nearly two decades. He's been a regular featured guest on sports and gaming radio shows, podcasts and produces sports betting and related industry articles and content for various sites and sources.

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