2023 Ryder Cup: Europe And USA Odds To Make The Team

With just over a month until golf’s ultimate team showcase, there’s plenty happening in the realm of Ryder Cup Odds. With the BMW Championship locking in the six American Ryder Cup automatic qualifiers, and Viktor Hovland securing his spot after winning the BMW, the odds boards have changed. Three weeks of European qualifying and captain’s picks still remain to decide odds to make the Ryder Cup teams.

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2023 Ryder Cup Odds

Odds To Make USA Ryder Cup Team

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Already Qualified: Scottie Scheffler, Wyndham Clark, Brian Harman, Patrick Cantlay, Max Homa, Xander Schauffele

In addition to the six auto-qualifiers, Jordan Spieth and Collin Morikawa can book their spots on the team plane to Italy. Spieth and Morikawa have been staples of the team for years and are locks. Rickie Fowler won in Detroit this year and enters the TOUR Championship higher in the FedEx Cup standings than both Morikawa and Spieth, though lower on the points list. He should similarly be a lock.

Brooks Koepka slipped to seventh on the points list, but will make the team. Top-two finishes at the Masters and PGA Championship all but assure that.

Cameron Young and Justin Thomas are the betting favorites for the last two spots. The 2022 PGA Champion missed three cuts at majors and broke 80 three times at them. A T12 at the Wyndham and a T9 at the Travelers are his only even remotely good results since May. Meanwhile, he missed cuts at the Rocket Mortgage and the 3M.

That said, Thomas (along with Spieth) was almost the only American to do anything in France in 2018. He went 4-0 with Jordan in the Presidents Cup last year and is 16-5-3 for the national team as a pro. Oh, and Spieth will use his influence to get JT on the team.

Young Vs. Glover?

Assuming JT makes it, the final spot comes down to Young, Lucas Glover, Keegan Bradley, Sam Burns or Bryson DeChambeau. We can dispatch the latter pretty easily. The combination of LIV and his 0-3 record in France ends that discussion. Bradley has won the Zozo and the (elevated) Travelers this year, but he missed the cut at both the U.S. and British Opens. Outside of his win, he hasn’t recorded a top-20 finish since March. Burns won the Matchplay, but has been mediocre since.

Young came second at the Matchplay, T7 at Augusta, and T8 at the Open. But in between Augusta and Liverpool, he did nothing of note.

The Americans did take Scheffler as a similarly talented but winless rookie in 2021. But, he didn’t face a comparison to someone who had won two weeks in a row, including a playoff event.

Glover is the pick if the U.S. cares about the fact they changed the rules to allow late season hot hands to make the team. Given how big a favorite Young is without much form and no built in equity, Glover’s a decent bet to take the spot at a fairly long price.

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Odds To Make Europe Ryder Cup Team

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Already Qualified: Rory McIlroy, Jon Rahm, Viktor Hovland
Currently In On Points: Tommy Fleetwood, Tyrrell Hatton, Robert MacIntyre

The Europeans use two different points systems to pick the six automatic spots. McIlroy and Rahm have qualified on European points, where the third slot is held by Bobby Mac. The world points slots currently go to Hovland, Fleetwood, and Hatton, with Matt Fitzpatrick on the outside. All will make the team, as will Bobby Mac regardless of whether he’s passed on European points.

Justin Rose and Shane Lowry are also automatic captain’s picks as veterans of the European Team in good standing.

Sepp Straka won the John Deere Classic, has made it to East Lake, and was T2 at the British and T7 at the PGA. He’s likely 10th man in.

Adrian Meronk won on the DP World Tour at the home course this year in a field that included most of the European players contending for a spot. With two top fives since and a T23 at the British, Meronk should make the team.

Top Candidates For Final Spot

Of the other choices, Yannik Paul sits fourth in European points. He could auto-qualify if he does well but is unlikely to be selected for a slot if not. Noren went 2-1 in France but is playing bad golf right now. Nicolai Hojgaard has played decently but is unlikely to jump his brother Rasmus for a spot on the team. Rasmus has a recent DP World Tour win, but two missed cuts since.

Ludvig Aberg has been one of the most prolific college players in recent years, winning two tournaments including the Big 12 Championship before turning pro. Four top-25 finishes in his seven PGA Tour starts (including a fourth) could be enough. But, Aberg probably has to show something in these next few weeks.

If the selection occurred right now, Rasmus Hojgaard should top Aberg. It’s possible Aberg can jump him with good results, but a DP World Tour win is likely worth more than fourth at the John Deere Classic.

Good luck betting Ryder Cup odds.