5 Potential PGA TOUR Golf Sleeper Picks: Rocket Mortgage Classic

Written By John Haslbauer on July 26, 2022
rocket mortgage classic picks

Detroit Golf Club is the host of the penultimate stop on the PGA TOUR before the start of the FedEx Cup Playoffs. I’ve never been to Mo Town, but as a proud New Yorker, I have to say I have a great deal of respect for Detroit-style pizza. It’s my next choice whenever a classic New York slice isn’t available. But I digress. Let’s dig into some potential longshot Rocket Mortgage Classic picks.

Last year, Cam Davis emerged from this article as a successful outright bomb at the Rocket Mortgage Classic. The simple combination of distance, strong short irons, and the ability to hit a volume of putts on Poa-blended greens seems to be a fairly predictive script to find success at this event, and there’s no shortage of players in the longshot range this week who fall within that profile.

Below we’ll look at five potential Rocket Mortgage Classic picks among sleepers in this week’s golf oddsClick on the odds to bet now. 

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COURSE INTRODUCTION

Detroit Golf Club is one of the more straightforward layouts on the PGA TOUR schedule. It does not require much shot shaping, threaten tee shots with many hazards, or offer much resistance from approaches into the greens. That’s the quintessential formula for a birdie-fest putting contest, and it’s played out that way in each of its first three years hosting this event.

Bombers who can carry beyond the fairway bunkers and elite putters who can read these sloping Donald Ross greens are the ones who have consistently risen to the top at this event. Unfortunately, there are many players in the field who fit at least one of those criteria, which makes it a bit challenging to refine down a player pool. A combination of above-average distance, elite approach play from inside 150 yards, and above-average long-term putting – especially on Poa greens – should act as a helpful guide when navigating through the player pool.

For a deeper dive into the course, read my Rocket Mortgage Classic preview. Without any further delay, let’s get to our Rocket Mortgage Classic picks with a focus on longshots and sleepers for your DFS lineups.

POTENTIAL SLEEPER ROCKET MORTGAGE PICKS

From a golf betting perspective, as much as I want to build out a long card in a volatile putting contest, I’ve found myself drawn most to the mid-range this week with so many viable options just short of bona fide longshot territory. With that said, I still have my eye on a few players pushing triple-digit odds.

In terms of DFS, I’m expecting very balanced ownership across this board this week. Course history has proven to be an inconsequential predictor of future success at this event, which makes it difficult to refine down a tight player pool. Instead, we’ll need to look for buy-low candidates at discounted ownership, whether it be from a down performance at the 3M Open, or a niche fit on comp putting contests like the Rocket Mortgage Classic.

Below, find my favorite value leverage plays and longshots for the 2022 Rocket Mortgage Classic. Stats pulled across Last 36 Rounds unless otherwise noted.

Matt Kuchar (, $7,500)

The first three years at the Rocket Mortgage Classic have given us every indication that we should have a putting contest in store, and if that’s what waits for us, then I’ll happily take my chances with Matt Kuchar.

Kuch can roll the rock well no matter what surface you put him on (No. 8 SG: P L36), but he’s excelled particularly well on Poa greens, ranking No. 1 in this field. He’s actually proven to be more than just a putting specialist this 2022 season however, as he’s snuck his way inside the top-10 of this field in terms of par-4 Scoring, Bogey Avoidance, SG: TOT (Easy Scoring Conditions), and Comp Course History.

Kuchar will make his debut at the Rocket Mortgage Classic this week, but this event has not offered up much of a test to first-timers in the past. Already posting top-12 finishes at “wedge fests” like the Sony Open, RBC Heritage, and AT&T Byron Nelson, Detroit Golf Club seems to be a perfect fit for the veteran.

Taylor Pendrith (, $7,500)

Joining Kuchar on my betting card this week will be the Canadian bomber, Taylor Pendrith. Pendrith had been on the shelf for four months after THE PLAYERS recovering from a rib injury, which was then elongated by a COVID diagnosis. But at long last, he kicked off the rust without skipping a beat, finished top-15 in his first two events back between the Barbasol and Barracuda Championships. It seems we can trust he’s in good health with the extended rest now, and Pendrith will be motivated to make up for lost time, as he’s currently just inside the FedEx Cup standings at 104th.

Bryson DeChambeau laid out the framework to bomb and gouge this course en route to his 2020 victory, citing that drives with carry distance of over 290 yards should take a majority of the fairway hazards out of play. Pendrith is top-5 in Driving Distance in this week’s field, and joins Cameron Champ, Jhonattan Vegas, and Will Zalatoris as the only four players to rank top-20 in both Driving Distance and GIRs Gained, which presents a straightforward formula to remain in contention at this event. Maybe a Major win from his fellow countryman Brooke Henderson is the added motivation he needs to convert his first career PGA TOUR victory with five T15 finishes already under his belt this season.

Patrick Rodgers (, $7,100)

I’m always going to be drawn to Patrick Rodgers on a birdie fest putting contest that favors longer hitters, especially when playing on Poa greens. Rodgers has shown the ability to explode with the putter recently, having gained 6+ strokes putting in two of his last four starts at the John Deere Classic and RBC Canadian Open. On a course that mitigates much advantage from the top T2G players in the field, it’s encouraging to see he’s able to get streaky with the flat stick, as this is the type of tournament that may simply come down to who can convert the most birdie putts.

Rodgers ranks N0. 16 in my model this week, ranking top-40 in every key metric I entered for ball striking, putting, and scoring in easy conditions. It’s been a solid 2022 campaign for Rodgers who is still chasing his first career PGA TOUR victory, but with three top-10 finishes this season and six top-35 finishes over his last eight starts, I’ll be eying him in the top-20 and top-30 markets.

Chesson Hadley (, $6,900)

I’m never proud to play Chesson Hadley, but he’s made a concerted effort to play himself back into relevance at the tail end of this season. After posting zero top-50 finishes over his first 15 starts in 2022, Hadley suddenly turned a corner, as he now rides into Detroit on a streak of six consecutive made cuts. Over that stretch, he’s managed to post three top-10s at the Travelers Championship (on the same Poa/Bent greens), John Deere Classic, and last week’s 3M Open.

Putting is the strength of Hadley’s game (No. 14 SG: P), which is intriguing for a putting contest like the Rocket Mortgage Classic that has typically rewarded the best putters in the field. It’s encouraging to see that his irons are trending as well, however, as he’s now gained on approach in six of his last 7 starts. Hadley will be a fixture on my FRL card, and now riding some newfound confidence to close the season, is primed to keep his made-cut streak going in Detroit.

Chase Seiffert (, $6,400)

I always fall into the trap of playing Chase Seiffert in the low $6K range on DraftKings, coerced by the strokes gained metrics despite any material results in events. In the case of the Rocket Mortgage Classic, I’m convinced that the layout of the course is unique enough to reward the strengths of his game like few other courses on the PGA TOUR can.

Seiffert ranks 5th in Proximity from under 150 yards, where about 40% of approach shots are expected to funnel to at Detroit Golf Club. On a course which does not offer much challenge for tee shots or chips from around the green, any advantage you can give yourself on approach should go a long way in separating yourself from the pack this week, so I’m encouraged by Seiffert’s prowess with his wedges. Although a Florida local, Poa is Seiffert’s best putting surface over the course of his career, so he should welcome the return to this grass type. I won’t be betting Seiffert outright, but I like his floor here for DFS and the top-40 market.

Best of luck making your Rocket Mortgage Classic picks!

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John Haslbauer

John Haslbauer writes about golf betting and advanced golf metrics for TheLines.com. He is a passionate golf fan, golf writer, and (casual) golfer. A graduate at Syracuse University, John works out of Jersey City as a Director of Media Strategy for HBO and HBO Max. He created the website thepgatout.com at the start of 2021 and is active on Twitter (@PGATout). No, he is not a tout. The Twitter handle is a joke. Touts are lame. We hate touts.

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