Rocket Mortgage Classic Odds: Final Round PGA TOUR Golf Bets
The space between the U.S. Open and Open Championship often presents a bit of a rest before players head to Scotland and tee it up for the Scottish Open in the new agreement between the PGA TOUR and DP World Tour. While the elevated status of the Travelers Championship negated some of that rest, we’re seeing some weak fields for the next two weeks. The Rocket Mortgage Classic has been a great place for upcoming players to get breakthrough victories so far, but Tony Finau broke that narrative last year, and Rickie Fowler is looking to provide another popular winner from the Rocket Mortgage Classic odds board in Detroit this year.
Tournament Recap Through First Three Rounds
To no surprise at all, the scores were immediately low at the Rocket Mortgage Classic on Thursday with Detroit Golf Club being one of the easier courses on the PGA TOUR in its short history. The two first-round co-leaders were far apart in likeliness. Taylor Moore, a promising young player who broke through earlier this year with a victory at the Valspar Championship, shared the lead with Monday qualifier Peter Kuest. Kuest doesn’t have status on a tour and has made it through to a few PGA TOUR events this year just on qualifying.
Moore kept that success going on Friday as he fired a 67 to get to 13 under for the week. Canadian Taylor Pendrith joined him at 13 under, who finished runner-up at this same tournament a year ago to Finau. Pendrith has struggled for a while in 2023 after many expected a breakout year. He was playing lovely golf in 2022 before an injury kept him out for much of the season. When he returned, he played more solid golf until finding a slump as of late. Rickie Fowler jumped into contention with a 65 to get to 12 under along with Collin Morikawa at 11 under to provide Detroit fans with some big names in contention.
Fowler once again had it going on Friday as he fired a 64 to take the solo lead at 20 under heading into the final round. Its become a common occurrence this year to see Fowler high on the leaderboard on the weekend. Canadians Adam Hadwin and Pendrith sit in solo second and solo third, while Kuest and Aaron Rai are in a tie for fourth at 17 under. Morikawa’s 67 puts him in a tie for sixth and four shots back.
Will Fowler finally cross the finish line?
Fowler will be the main draw on Sunday as he tries to finally win again. His last victory was in Phoenix in 2019, and he since went through a brutal slump that saw him drop out of major fields and struggle to qualify for the FedExCup Playoffs. While there have been struggles a bit on Sundays, this smaller event without the bright lights of a loaded field could be a nice place for him to get it done … much like we saw from Jason Day at the AT&T Byron Nelson.
Final Round PGA TOUR Golf Bets To Consider
Winner: Taylor Pendrith
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While I do think there’s a good chance that Fowler finally breaks through on Sunday and gets his first win since 2019, there’s no value in taking him at even odds. On any birdie-fest course, things can get really weird on Sunday. The field can quickly pass the leaders before they even tee off, and the pressure of needing birdies to fall makes things difficult.
I’ll instead take my next favorite option who does provide nice value to get his first PGA TOUR win. I’ve been a fan of Pendrith since he looked dominant at times on the Korn Ferry Tour. He quickly got in contention as a rookie on TOUR, and it’s a shame he suffered an injury right after contending at the PLAYERS Championship last year. While the form isn’t there, Pendrith’s skillset perfectly fits Detroit Golf Club.
He’s 11th Off-the-Tee this week and third in Approach, showcasing his impressive ceiling of ball striking. The putter has only been a bit above average, and the truth is that Pendrith could easily go extremely low and win this thing if the flat stick does get hot. With these odds, I’ll take Pendrith’s ceiling to erase a two-shot difference and get his breakthrough victory.
Winner: Carl Yuan
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I do also think it’s smart to grab an outright on someone further down the board in a birdie-fest like this. There’s always a good chance of someone firing something in the low 60s and creating a number that the leaders struggle to get to under more pressure. We’ve seen it numerous times already this year, and I like Carl Yuan to get that done on Sunday.
Yuan was one of the two rookies from the Korn Ferry Tour that I was really looking forward to this year. It’s been a turbulent year for him overall, but his names has been popping up on leaderboards as of late. He was the 36-hole leader a few weeks ago in Canada before falling back on the weekend. I think this position a few groups back from the leaders is the best for him overall.
Yuan has fired a 66 and 64 since a mediocre 70 on Thursday, making just Fowler better than him for the last two days. Yuan is 15th in Approach and 11th in Putting so far, while one of his best weapons, the driver, has gained 1.4 strokes. It’s fair to say Yuan could do even more damage with his ball striking on Sunday, as he’s shown the ability to get scorching hot with his irons. I like the value of these odds and his ceiling to go low the best for a longshot outright.
Top-10 Finish: Nicolai Hojgaard
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We’ll take another upcoming young player for a bet on Sunday as Nicolai Hojgaard is primed for a solid finish as he takes advantage of his temporary status on the PGA TOUR. Hojgaard has been quietly lurking all week, as he’s fired rounds of 67, 68, 67 to sit in a tie for 11th. While he’s likely too far back now to contend for a win, Hojgaard is showing the ability to log a Top 10 placement for us.
The Dane is seventh in Approach this week, gaining more than five strokes through three rounds. But the rest of his game has mostly stalled out. His driver has done next to nothing overall, which can be his best weapon at times. He’s one of the longest drivers on TOUR, but he’s struggled to find fairways and has suffered through some big misses. If Hojgaard can keep it in play on Sunday, I think he should put together a low round and even get close to the top five.
Rocket Mortgage Classic Odds
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