Reds Vs Pirates: MLB Betting Odds, Trends & Stats – August 5, 2021

Posted By Staff on August 4, 2021

The Cincinnati Reds (57-51) host the Pittsburgh Pirates (41-67) on Thursday to start a four-game series, with the first pitch at 7:10 PM ET at Great American Ball Park. The Reds enter the matchup following a series split with the Twins, and the Pirates are coming off a series loss to the Brewers. Cincinnati’s (-225 to win) Sonny Gray and Pittsburgh’s (+185) Wil Crowe pitch first for their squads in this matchup.

The betting insights and predictions in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of August 4, 2021, 6:00 PM ET. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to bet at DraftKings Sportsbook.

Reds vs Pirates Betting Odds

Pitching Matchup

Gray (CIN) Pitcher Crowe (PIT)
3 – 6 W/L 3 – 5
76.0 IP 71.2
4.26 ERA 5.40
1.370 WHIP 1.510
11.4 K/9 8.3
3.3 BB/9 4.4

Reds Probable Starter Sonny Gray

  • Gray (3-6) takes the mound first for the Reds in his 16th start of the season. He’s put together a 4.26 ERA in 76 innings pitched, with 96 strikeouts.
  • In his most recent appearance on Friday against the Mets, the righty threw six innings, allowing one earned run while surrendering five hits.
  • The opposing Pirates offense has a collective .236 batting average, and is 18th in the league with 847 total hits and last in MLB action with 396 runs scored. They have the worst slugging percentage (.364) and rank last in home runs (85) in all of MLB.
  • The Reds are 5-5 in Gray’s 10 starts this season with Cincinnati as the moneyline favorite.

Starting pitcher projections reflect team information as of August 4, 2021 at 6:12 PM ET and may change up to the start of game.

Pirates Stats vs Gray

Player AB AVG H HR RBI OBP OPS
Ben Gamel 14 .214 3 0 0 .312 .526
Gregory Polanco 12 .083 1 0 1 .083 .166
Kevin Newman 9 .444 4 0 0 .500 .944
Bryan Reynolds 8 .500 4 2 2 .500 1.875
Wilmer Difo 6 .167 1 0 0 .167 .334
Jacob Stallings 5 .200 1 0 0 .200 .400
Michael Perez 4 .000 0 0 0 .000 .000
Phillip Evans 3 .333 1 0 0 .333 .666

Pirates Probable Starter Wil Crowe

  • The Pirates will send Crowe (3-5) to the mound for his 16th start this season.
  • The right-hander last pitched on Friday, when he allowed one hit in six scoreless innings against the Phillies.
  • The Reds have scored 532 runs this season, which ranks fifth in MLB. They are batting .252 for the campaign with 141 home runs, sixth in the league.
  • His team is 7-10 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline underdog.

Starting pitcher projections reflect team information as of August 4, 2021 at 6:12 PM ET and may change up to the start of game.

Reds Betting Trends

  • The Reds average 5.4 runs per game at home compared to 4.5 per contest on the road.
  • The Reds have the No. 5 offense in baseball scoring 4.9 runs per game (532 total runs).
  • The Reds have a 35-25 record in games they were listed as the moneyline favorite (winning 58.3% of those games).
  • Cincinnati has played as a moneyline favorite of -225 or shorter in just two games this season, which they won both.
  • Cincinnati has played in 108 games with a set over/under, and has combined with their opponents to go over the total 58 times (58-44-6).
  • Cincinnati has a 3-2 record over the five games it was moneyline favorites in its last 10 matchups.
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Pirates Betting Trends

  • The Pirates have scored the fewest runs in the league this season with just 396 (3.7 per game).
  • They’ve scored 3.4 runs per game this season on the road while averaging four at home.
  • The Pirates have entered the game as underdogs 100 times this season and won 37, or 37%, of those games.
  • This season, Pittsburgh has won six of its 17 games, or 35.3%, when they’re the underdog by at least +185 on the moneyline.
  • Pittsburgh’s games have gone over the total in 53 of their 108 chances.
  • Pittsburgh has played as the underdog in 10 of its past 10 games and has gone 3-7 in those contests.

Reds Players to Watch

  • Jesse Winker has hit a team-best 21 home runs.
  • Among the qualifying hitters in MLB play, Winker’s 119 hits rank seventh, his .302 AVG ranks 11th, his .382 OBP ranks 14th, and his .538 SLG ranks fifth.
  • Jonathan India is hitting .284 with 18 doubles, two triples, 11 home runs and 50 walks.
  • India ranks fifth in OBP among the qualifying hitters in baseball.

Reds Batting Stats (2021)

Player AB AVG R HR RBI OBP OPS
Jesse Winker 394 .302 70 21 60 .382 .920
Eugenio Suárez 386 .176 49 21 58 .260 .633
Jonathan India 331 .284 59 11 45 .401 .851
Tyler Naquin 312 .247 33 13 57 .310 .736
Kyle Farmer 309 .259 40 10 36 .324 .735
Joey Votto 282 .273 41 21 61 .364 .914
Tucker Barnhart 239 .255 32 5 32 .332 .721
Tyler Stephenson 234 .282 43 6 33 .370 .789
Shogo Akiyama 123 .211 14 0 10 .285 .545
Aristides Aquino 85 .212 12 6 12 .317 .799

Pirates Players to Watch

  • Bryan Reynolds leads Pittsburgh in home runs (18) and runs batted in (61) this season while batting .308.
  • Among qualified hitters in MLB, Reynolds ranks eighth in AVG (.308), ninth in OBP (.385), 15th in SLG (.523), and seventh in hits (119).
  • Jacob Stallings is batting .240 with an OBP of .327 and a slugging percentage of .399 this season.

Pirates Batting Stats (2021)

Player AB AVG R HR RBI OBP OPS
Bryan Reynolds 386 .308 63 18 61 .385 .908
Kevin Newman 358 .218 34 3 23 .256 .541
Grégory Polanco 271 .210 32 11 32 .290 .666
Jacob Stallings 263 .240 27 8 42 .327 .726
Ben Gamel 204 .275 26 6 18 .351 .787
Phillip Evans 201 .204 21 5 15 .310 .613
Ke’Bryan Hayes 198 .242 23 4 21 .314 .688
Wilmer Difo 138 .261 14 3 15 .322 .721
Michael Perez 137 .168 14 7 16 .240 .620
John Nogowski 113 .257 14 1 13 .325 .670

Reds vs Pirates Player Props

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