The Cincinnati Reds (28-53) host the Pittsburgh Pirates (32-48) in NL Central play on Thursday at 2:10 PM ET. Cincinnati’s (
to win) Mike Minor and Pittsburgh’s ( ) Roansy Contreras pitch first for their squads in this matchup.The betting facts in what follows are based off odds valid as of July 7, 2022 at 1:38 PM ET.
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Reds vs Pirates Betting Odds
Pitching Matchup
Minor (CIN) | Pitcher | Contreras (PIT) |
---|---|---|
1 – 5 | W/L | 2 – 2 |
31.2 | IP | 44.0 |
6.82 | ERA | 4.09 |
1.484 | WHIP | 1.455 |
6.8 | K/9 | 8.8 |
2.8 | BB/9 | 4.3 |
Reds Probable Starter Mike Minor
- Minor (1-5) takes the mound for the Reds in his seventh start of the season. He has a 6.82 ERA in 31 2/3 innings pitched, with 24 strikeouts.
- In his most recent appearance on Friday, the left-hander threw 6 2/3 innings against the Atlanta Braves, giving up two earned runs while surrendering six hits.
- The 34-year-old has put up an ERA of 6.82, with 6.8 strikeouts per nine innings, in six games this season. Opponents are hitting .285 against him.
- Minor is looking to secure his second quality start of the season in this matchup.
- The opposing Pirates offense has a collective .220 batting average, and is 29th in the league with 582 total hits and 28th in MLB play with 295 runs scored. It has the 28th-ranked slugging percentage (.370) and ranks 15th in home runs (87) in all of MLB.
Starting pitcher projections reflect team information as of July 7, 2022 at 1:38 PM ET and may change up to the start of game.
Pirates Stats vs Minor
Player | AB | AVG | H | HR | RBI | OBP | OPS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Daniel Vogelbach | 7 | .286 | 2 | 2 | 2 | .375 | 1.518 |
Bryan Reynolds | 6 | .167 | 1 | 0 | 1 | .167 | .334 |
Michael Chavis | 2 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | .000 |
Ben Gamel | 2 | .500 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .500 | 1.000 |
Pirates Probable Starter Roansy Contreras
- Contreras (2-2) will take the mound for the Pirates, his ninth start of the season.
- The right-hander gave up seven earned runs in 1 1/3 innings pitched on Friday in his last outing, a matchup with the Milwaukee Brewers.
- The 22-year-old has an ERA of 4.09, a 2.048 strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.455 in 11 games this season.
- Contreras has not earned a quality start in eight starts this season.
- The Reds rank 19th in MLB with 343 runs scored this season. They have a .238 batting average this campaign with 74 home runs (23rd in the league).
Starting pitcher projections reflect team information as of July 7, 2022 at 1:38 PM ET and may change up to the start of game.
Reds Stats vs Contreras
Player | AB | AVG | H | HR | RBI | OBP | OPS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Tyler Naquin | 13 | .077 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .250 | .404 |
Mike Moustakas | 11 | .273 | 3 | 0 | 2 | .429 | .974 |
Kyle Farmer | 8 | .250 | 2 | 0 | 3 | .333 | .583 |
Tommy Pham | 8 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .111 | .111 |
Joey Votto | 7 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .125 | .125 |
Nick Senzel | 6 | .333 | 2 | 0 | 0 | .429 | .762 |
Brandon Drury | 6 | .167 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .167 | .334 |
Jonathan India | 5 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | .000 |
TJ Friedl | 4 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .200 | .200 |
Tyler Stephenson | 4 | 1.000 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 1.000 | 3.000 |
Reds Betting Trends
- The Reds have a 5-11 record in games they were favored on the moneyline (winning 31.2% of those games).
- Cincinnati is 5-11 (winning only 31.2% of its games) when it has played as a moneyline favorite of -112 or shorter.
- Based on this contest’s moneyline, the Reds’ implied win probability is 52.8%.
- Cincinnati has combined with opponents to hit the over on the total 45 times this season for a 45-35-1 record against the over/under.
- The Reds are 35-46-0 against the spread this season.
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Pirates Betting Trends
- The Pirates have entered the game as underdogs 65 times this season and won 24, or 36.9%, of those games.
- Pittsburgh has a record of 24-41 in games where oddsmakers have them as underogs of at least -107 on the moneyline.
- The moneyline for this contest implies a 51.7% chance of a victory for the Pirates.
- So far this season, Pittsburgh and its opponents have hit the over in 34 of their 81 games with a total.
- In 81 games with a spread this season, the Pirates are 39-42-0 ATS.
Reds Players to Watch
- Brandon Drury has accumulated 72 hits with a .524 slugging percentage, both team-best numbers for the Reds. He’s hitting .270 with 15 doubles, a triple, 17 home runs and 21 walks.
- Among the qualified batters, Drury ranks 48th in batting average, while his on-base percentage ranks 73rd and he is 17th in slugging.
- Tommy Pham is batting .248 with 10 doubles, 11 home runs and 36 walks.
- Among qualifying batters, Pham’s batting average ranks 85th, his on-base percentage ranks 62nd, and he is 87th in the league in slugging.
- Kyle Farmer has put up an on-base percentage of .349, a team-best for the Reds. He is hitting .283 with 17 doubles, five home runs and 18 walks.
- Joey Votto is hitting .210 with 15 doubles, a triple, six home runs and 33 walks.
Reds Batting Stats (2022)
Player | AB | AVG | R | HR | RBI | OBP | OPS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Brandon Drury | 267 | .270 | 50 | 17 | 45 | .331 | .855 |
Tommy Pham | 266 | .248 | 48 | 11 | 34 | .338 | .748 |
Kyle Farmer | 240 | .283 | 27 | 5 | 40 | .349 | .766 |
Joey Votto | 214 | .210 | 22 | 6 | 25 | .332 | .706 |
Nick Senzel | 191 | .257 | 26 | 3 | 16 | .312 | .642 |
Mike Moustakas | 183 | .208 | 22 | 3 | 17 | .302 | .603 |
Albert Almora Jr. | 156 | .250 | 18 | 5 | 26 | .272 | .669 |
Matt Reynolds | 150 | .247 | 23 | 3 | 15 | .321 | .681 |
Tyler Naquin | 141 | .255 | 22 | 5 | 22 | .318 | .772 |
Jonathan India | 113 | .204 | 8 | 2 | 9 | .268 | .551 |
Pirates Players to Watch
- Bryan Reynolds leads Pittsburgh with 76 hits and an OBP of .333, plus a team-best slugging percentage of .469.
- Of all the qualifying hitters in the majors, Reynolds is 68th in batting average, 68th in on-base percentage and 41st in slugging percentage.
- Ke’Bryan Hayes is batting .252 with a .353 slugging percentage and 25 RBI this year.
- Among all qualified players, Hayes is 77th in batting average, 78th in on-base percentage and 139th in slugging percentage.
- Daniel Vogelbach is batting .232 with a .440 slugging percentage and 27 RBI this year.
- Jack Suwinski has been key for Pittsburgh with 43 hits, an OBP of .303 plus a slugging percentage of .462.
Pirates Batting Stats (2022)
Player | AB | AVG | R | HR | RBI | OBP | OPS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Bryan Reynolds | 292 | .260 | 38 | 15 | 32 | .333 | .802 |
Ke’Bryan Hayes | 278 | .252 | 35 | 3 | 25 | .326 | .679 |
Michael Chavis | 212 | .245 | 23 | 9 | 27 | .288 | .713 |
Daniel Vogelbach | 207 | .232 | 26 | 11 | 27 | .331 | .771 |
Jack Suwinski | 197 | .218 | 31 | 13 | 24 | .303 | .765 |
Diego Castillo | 196 | .194 | 20 | 8 | 20 | .233 | .590 |
Ben Gamel | 146 | .260 | 20 | 3 | 18 | .349 | .739 |
Yoshitomo Tsutsugo | 120 | .183 | 8 | 2 | 15 | .282 | .540 |
Josh VanMeter | 120 | .200 | 11 | 3 | 10 | .265 | .590 |
Michael Perez | 102 | .157 | 8 | 6 | 11 | .196 | .529 |
Reds vs Pirates Player Props
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