Mike Moustakas leads the Cincinnati Reds (9-24) into a contest with the Pittsburgh Pirates (13-19) a game after he homered twice in an 8-2 win over the Pirates. It starts at 6:35 PM ET on Saturday. Luis Castillo gets the starting nod for Cincinnati (
to win), and Zach Thompson is Pittsburgh’s ( ) choice to start.The betting trends in this article are based off odds valid as of May 14, 2022 at 5:25 PM ET.
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Reds vs Pirates Betting Odds
Pitching Matchup
Castillo (CIN) | Pitcher | Thompson (PIT) |
---|---|---|
0 – 0 | W/L | 1 – 3 |
4.2 | IP | 20.1 |
5.79 | ERA | 7.08 |
1.286 | WHIP | 1.770 |
9.6 | K/9 | 8.4 |
5.8 | BB/9 | 4.4 |
Reds Probable Starter Luis Castillo
- Castillo (0-0) makes the start for the Reds, his second of the season.
- In his last appearance on Monday, the righty threw 4 2/3 innings against the Milwaukee Brewers, allowing three earned runs while surrendering three hits.
- He has a 5.79 ERA and 9.6 strikeouts per nine innings over his one games.
- The opposing Pirates offense has the 18th-ranked slugging percentage (.365) and is 23rd in MLB play with 26 home runs. It has a collective .235 batting average, and is 19th in MLB with 247 total hits and 25th in MLB play scoring 115 runs.
Starting pitcher projections reflect team information as of May 14, 2022 at 5:25 PM ET and may change up to the start of game.
Pirates Probable Starter Zach Thompson
- The Pirates will hand the ball to Thompson (1-3) for his sixth start of the season.
- The right-hander’s last appearance was on Sunday, when he threw 5 2/3 scoreless innings against the Cincinnati Reds while allowing two hits.
- The 28-year-old has pitched to a 7.08 ERA this season with 8.4 strikeouts per nine innings compared to 4.4 walks per nine across six games.
- In five starts this season, Thompson has not yet earned a quality start.
- The Reds have scored 140 runs this season, which ranks 12th in MLB. They have 235 hits, 24th in baseball, with 29 home runs (18th in the league).
Starting pitcher projections reflect team information as of May 14, 2022 at 5:25 PM ET and may change up to the start of game.
Reds Betting Trends
- The Reds have been favored on the moneyline four total times this season. They’ve gone 1-3 in those games.
- Cincinnati has played as a moneyline favorite of -123 or shorter in just two games this season, which they split 1-1.
- Based on this matchup’s moneyline, the Reds have an implied win probability of 55.2%.
- Cincinnati has played in 33 games with set over/under, and has combined with opponents to go over the total 22 times (22-10-1).
- The Reds are 13-20-0 ATS this season.
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Pirates Betting Trends
- This season, the Pirates have won 10 out of the 25 games, or 40%, in which they’ve been the underdog.
- This season, Pittsburgh has won nine of its 23 games, or 39.1%, when they’re the underdog by at least +104 on the moneyline.
- The Pirates have a 49% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
- Games involving Pittsburgh have gone over the total set by bookmakers in 14 of 32 chances this season.
- The Pirates are 16-16-0 against the spread this season.
Reds Players to Watch
- Brandon Drury has 25 hits, a team-high for the Reds, on the way to batting .263 with eight doubles, seven home runs and 10 walks.
- Among qualifying batters in MLB action, Drury ranks 62nd in batting average, 56th in on-base percentage, and 10th in slugging.
- Tommy Pham’s .364 on-base percentage and .398 slugging percentage are both team-highs, and he has five doubles, four home runs and 21 walks while hitting .241.
- Pham’s batting average ranks 92nd among qualified players, his on-base percentage ranks 34th, and he is 85th in the league in slugging.
- Tyler Stephenson is batting .328 with five doubles, four home runs and six walks.
- Tyler Naquin has 10 doubles, a triple, two home runs and six walks while hitting .255.
- Naquin takes a five-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last five games he is hitting .526 with four doubles, a triple, a walk and six RBI.
Reds Batting Stats (2022)
Player | AB | AVG | R | HR | RBI | OBP | OPS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Kyle Farmer | 114 | .193 | 11 | 1 | 15 | .254 | .552 |
Tommy Pham | 108 | .241 | 21 | 4 | 11 | .364 | .762 |
Brandon Drury | 95 | .263 | 18 | 7 | 22 | .343 | .911 |
Tyler Naquin | 94 | .255 | 12 | 2 | 19 | .307 | .754 |
Mike Moustakas | 80 | .262 | 13 | 3 | 9 | .326 | .764 |
Colin Moran | 73 | .219 | 8 | 4 | 21 | .286 | .697 |
Tyler Stephenson | 67 | .328 | 13 | 4 | 19 | .395 | .977 |
TJ Friedl | 49 | .204 | 9 | 0 | 3 | .268 | .554 |
Aramis Garcia | 39 | .179 | 4 | 1 | 1 | .220 | .502 |
Matt Reynolds | 29 | .310 | 3 | 0 | 1 | .444 | .823 |
Pirates Players to Watch
- Ben Gamel leads Pittsburgh with 31 hits, batting .307 this season with 10 extra-base hits.
- Among all qualifying batters, Gamel ranks 18th in batting average, his on-base percentage ranks 19th, and he is 34th in slugging percentage.
- Ke’Bryan Hayes leads the Pirates with an OPS of .834. He has a slash line of .324/.424/.410 this season.
- Hayes is currently eighth in batting average, fifth in on-base percentage and 73rd in slugging percentage among all qualified hitters.
- Daniel Vogelbach has collected 25 base hits, an OBP of .330 and a slugging percentage of .464 this season.
- Bryan Reynolds has four home runs, six RBI and a batting average of .214 this season.
Pirates Batting Stats (2022)
Player | AB | AVG | R | HR | RBI | OBP | OPS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Bryan Reynolds | 112 | .214 | 11 | 4 | 6 | .312 | .678 |
Ke’Bryan Hayes | 105 | .324 | 13 | 0 | 8 | .424 | .834 |
Ben Gamel | 101 | .307 | 15 | 3 | 15 | .381 | .856 |
Daniel Vogelbach | 97 | .258 | 13 | 5 | 12 | .330 | .794 |
Diego Castillo | 83 | .229 | 8 | 2 | 6 | .261 | .586 |
Michael Chavis | 82 | .256 | 9 | 3 | 13 | .273 | .724 |
Yoshitomo Tsutsugo | 80 | .188 | 7 | 1 | 11 | .303 | .553 |
Josh VanMeter | 53 | .189 | 6 | 2 | 4 | .246 | .604 |
Jack Suwinski | 48 | .208 | 6 | 2 | 5 | .283 | .658 |
Andrew Knapp | 28 | .143 | 2 | 0 | 2 | .250 | .429 |
Reds vs Pirates Player Props
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