Reds Vs Marlins: MLB Betting Odds, Trends & Stats – July 25, 2022

Written By Staff on July 24, 2022

The Cincinnati Reds (36-58) and Miami Marlins (45-50) square off on Monday to begin a four-game series, with the first pitch at 6:40 PM ET at Great American Ball Park. Cincinnati’s (-133 to win) Nick Lodolo and Miami’s (+113) Trevor Rogers will start this matchup.

The betting insights in the article below use the latest odds as of July 25, 2022 at 5:24 PM ET.

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Reds vs Marlins Betting Odds

Pitching Matchup

Lodolo (CIN) Pitcher Rogers (MIA)
2 – 3 W/L 4 – 9
26.1 IP 84.0
5.81 ERA 5.46
1.785 WHIP 1.548
13 K/9 8.4
4.1 BB/9 4.2

Reds Probable Starter Nick Lodolo

  • Lodolo gets the start for the Reds, his seventh of the season. He is 2-3 with a 5.81 ERA and 38 strikeouts in 26 1/3 innings pitched.
  • In his last appearance on Saturday, July 16 against the St. Louis Cardinals, the lefty threw 2 2/3 innings, giving up five earned runs while surrendering five hits.
  • In six games this season, the 24-year-old has put up a 5.81 ERA and 13 strikeouts per nine innings, while giving up a batting average of .313 to opposing hitters.
  • Lodolo does not have a quality start on the season.
  • He will face a Marlins offense that is hitting .237 as a unit (21st in MLB). It is also slugging a collective .377 (25th in MLB) with 92 total home runs (20th in MLB).

Starting pitcher projections reflect team information as of July 25, 2022 at 5:24 PM ET and may change up to the start of game.

Marlins Probable Starter Trevor Rogers

  • Rogers (4-9) will take the mound for the Marlins, his 19th start of the season.
  • The left-hander’s last start was on Sunday, July 17, when he tossed 6 2/3 innings while giving up four earned runs on seven hits in a matchup with the Philadelphia Phillies.
  • The 24-year-old has pitched in 18 games this season with an ERA of 5.46, a 2 strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.548.
  • He has started 18 games this season, earning a quality start (6 or more IP, 3 or fewer ER) in one of them.
  • The Reds are batting .239 this season, 20th in MLB. They have a team slugging percentage of .378 (24th in the league) with 89 home runs.

Starting pitcher projections reflect team information as of July 25, 2022 at 5:24 PM ET and may change up to the start of game.

Reds Betting Trends

  • The Reds have won 33.3% of the games this season when they were the moneyline favorite (6-12).
  • When it has played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -133 or shorter, Cincinnati has a record of 3-3 (50%).
  • The Reds have an implied moneyline win probability of 57.1% in this game.
  • Cincinnati has played in 94 games with set over/under, and has combined with opponents to go over the total 51 times (51-42-1).
  • The Reds have gone 44-50-0 against the spread this season.
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Marlins Betting Trends

  • The Marlins have been underdogs in 50 games this season and won 18 (36%) of those contests.
  • Miami has a record of 9-23, a 28.1% win rate, when they’re set as an underdog of +113 or more by oddsmakers this season.
  • The bookmakers’ moneyline implies a 46.9% chance of a victory for the Marlins.
  • Miami and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 46 of their 95 opportunities.
  • The Marlins have an ATS record of 44-51-0 in 95 games with a spread this season.

Reds Players to Watch

  • Brandon Drury has accumulated an on-base percentage of .332, a slugging percentage of .517, and has 88 hits, all club-highs for the Reds. He’s hitting .274 with 20 doubles, two triples, 18 home runs and 25 walks.
  • Among the qualifying hitters in MLB action, Drury’s batting average ranks 46th, his on-base percentage ranks 70th, and he is 15th in the league in slugging.
  • Drury has hit safely in two straight games. In his last five games he is hitting .200 with two doubles, two walks and three RBI.
  • Tommy Pham has 10 doubles, a triple, 11 home runs and 40 walks while batting .236.
  • Among qualifying hitters, Pham ranks 119th in batting average, 89th in on-base percentage, and 121st in slugging.
  • Kyle Farmer has racked up an on-base percentage of .332, a team-best for the Reds. He is batting .258 with 18 doubles, six home runs and 22 walks.
  • Joey Votto is batting .215 with 17 doubles, a triple, eight home runs and 34 walks.

Reds Batting Stats (2022)

Player AB AVG R HR RBI OBP OPS
Brandon Drury 321 .274 57 18 54 .332 .849
Tommy Pham 313 .236 53 11 37 .322 .702
Kyle Farmer 283 .258 33 6 46 .332 .717
Joey Votto 247 .215 26 8 34 .324 .713
Nick Senzel 223 .260 30 3 18 .317 .644
Mike Moustakas 209 .211 25 5 20 .300 .635
Tyler Naquin 181 .249 28 6 31 .310 .746
Matt Reynolds 163 .252 27 3 15 .328 .690
Jonathan India 163 .227 18 5 16 .292 .648
Dónovan Solano 80 .312 8 2 9 .371 .821

Marlins Players to Watch

  • Miguel Rojas has been key for Miami with 69 hits, an OBP of .285 plus a slugging percentage of .352.
  • Of all qualifying hitters in the majors, Rojas ranks 112th in batting average, 140th in on-base percentage and 137th in slugging percentage.
  • Jesus Aguilar has collected 82 hits this season to earn an on-base percentage of .296.
  • Aguilar ranks 90th in batting average, 128th in on-base percentage and 108th in slugging percentage in the majors.
  • Garrett Cooper has 83 hits and an OBP of .347 to go with a slugging percentage of .426.
  • Jesus Sanchez has 11 home runs, 30 RBI and a batting average of .202 this season.

Marlins Batting Stats (2022)

Player AB AVG R HR RBI OBP OPS
Jesús Aguilar 331 .248 32 11 38 .296 .686
Avisaíl García 301 .229 28 7 29 .264 .590
Garrett Cooper 298 .279 28 7 40 .347 .773
Miguel Rojas 290 .238 27 6 23 .285 .637
Jesús Sánchez 277 .202 34 11 30 .265 .644
Jacob Stallings 215 .186 19 2 22 .248 .481
Bryan De La Cruz 197 .218 21 7 21 .264 .635
Joey Wendle 155 .290 14 2 18 .339 .739
Nick Fortes 79 .253 19 3 13 .337 .767
Luke Williams 60 .267 11 1 6 .333 .700

Reds vs Marlins Player Props

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