The Cincinnati Reds (36-58) and Miami Marlins (45-50) square off on Monday to begin a four-game series, with the first pitch at 6:40 PM ET at Great American Ball Park. Cincinnati’s (
to win) Nick Lodolo and Miami’s ( ) Trevor Rogers will start this matchup.The betting insights in the article below use the latest odds as of July 25, 2022 at 5:24 PM ET.
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Reds vs Marlins Betting Odds
Pitching Matchup
Lodolo (CIN) | Pitcher | Rogers (MIA) |
---|---|---|
2 – 3 | W/L | 4 – 9 |
26.1 | IP | 84.0 |
5.81 | ERA | 5.46 |
1.785 | WHIP | 1.548 |
13 | K/9 | 8.4 |
4.1 | BB/9 | 4.2 |
Reds Probable Starter Nick Lodolo
- Lodolo gets the start for the Reds, his seventh of the season. He is 2-3 with a 5.81 ERA and 38 strikeouts in 26 1/3 innings pitched.
- In his last appearance on Saturday, July 16 against the St. Louis Cardinals, the lefty threw 2 2/3 innings, giving up five earned runs while surrendering five hits.
- In six games this season, the 24-year-old has put up a 5.81 ERA and 13 strikeouts per nine innings, while giving up a batting average of .313 to opposing hitters.
- Lodolo does not have a quality start on the season.
- He will face a Marlins offense that is hitting .237 as a unit (21st in MLB). It is also slugging a collective .377 (25th in MLB) with 92 total home runs (20th in MLB).
Starting pitcher projections reflect team information as of July 25, 2022 at 5:24 PM ET and may change up to the start of game.
Marlins Probable Starter Trevor Rogers
- Rogers (4-9) will take the mound for the Marlins, his 19th start of the season.
- The left-hander’s last start was on Sunday, July 17, when he tossed 6 2/3 innings while giving up four earned runs on seven hits in a matchup with the Philadelphia Phillies.
- The 24-year-old has pitched in 18 games this season with an ERA of 5.46, a 2 strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.548.
- He has started 18 games this season, earning a quality start (6 or more IP, 3 or fewer ER) in one of them.
- The Reds are batting .239 this season, 20th in MLB. They have a team slugging percentage of .378 (24th in the league) with 89 home runs.
Starting pitcher projections reflect team information as of July 25, 2022 at 5:24 PM ET and may change up to the start of game.
Reds Betting Trends
- The Reds have won 33.3% of the games this season when they were the moneyline favorite (6-12).
- When it has played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -133 or shorter, Cincinnati has a record of 3-3 (50%).
- The Reds have an implied moneyline win probability of 57.1% in this game.
- Cincinnati has played in 94 games with set over/under, and has combined with opponents to go over the total 51 times (51-42-1).
- The Reds have gone 44-50-0 against the spread this season.
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Marlins Betting Trends
- The Marlins have been underdogs in 50 games this season and won 18 (36%) of those contests.
- Miami has a record of 9-23, a 28.1% win rate, when they’re set as an underdog of +113 or more by oddsmakers this season.
- The bookmakers’ moneyline implies a 46.9% chance of a victory for the Marlins.
- Miami and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 46 of their 95 opportunities.
- The Marlins have an ATS record of 44-51-0 in 95 games with a spread this season.
Reds Players to Watch
- Brandon Drury has accumulated an on-base percentage of .332, a slugging percentage of .517, and has 88 hits, all club-highs for the Reds. He’s hitting .274 with 20 doubles, two triples, 18 home runs and 25 walks.
- Among the qualifying hitters in MLB action, Drury’s batting average ranks 46th, his on-base percentage ranks 70th, and he is 15th in the league in slugging.
- Drury has hit safely in two straight games. In his last five games he is hitting .200 with two doubles, two walks and three RBI.
- Tommy Pham has 10 doubles, a triple, 11 home runs and 40 walks while batting .236.
- Among qualifying hitters, Pham ranks 119th in batting average, 89th in on-base percentage, and 121st in slugging.
- Kyle Farmer has racked up an on-base percentage of .332, a team-best for the Reds. He is batting .258 with 18 doubles, six home runs and 22 walks.
- Joey Votto is batting .215 with 17 doubles, a triple, eight home runs and 34 walks.
Reds Batting Stats (2022)
Player | AB | AVG | R | HR | RBI | OBP | OPS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Brandon Drury | 321 | .274 | 57 | 18 | 54 | .332 | .849 |
Tommy Pham | 313 | .236 | 53 | 11 | 37 | .322 | .702 |
Kyle Farmer | 283 | .258 | 33 | 6 | 46 | .332 | .717 |
Joey Votto | 247 | .215 | 26 | 8 | 34 | .324 | .713 |
Nick Senzel | 223 | .260 | 30 | 3 | 18 | .317 | .644 |
Mike Moustakas | 209 | .211 | 25 | 5 | 20 | .300 | .635 |
Tyler Naquin | 181 | .249 | 28 | 6 | 31 | .310 | .746 |
Matt Reynolds | 163 | .252 | 27 | 3 | 15 | .328 | .690 |
Jonathan India | 163 | .227 | 18 | 5 | 16 | .292 | .648 |
Dónovan Solano | 80 | .312 | 8 | 2 | 9 | .371 | .821 |
Marlins Players to Watch
- Miguel Rojas has been key for Miami with 69 hits, an OBP of .285 plus a slugging percentage of .352.
- Of all qualifying hitters in the majors, Rojas ranks 112th in batting average, 140th in on-base percentage and 137th in slugging percentage.
- Jesus Aguilar has collected 82 hits this season to earn an on-base percentage of .296.
- Aguilar ranks 90th in batting average, 128th in on-base percentage and 108th in slugging percentage in the majors.
- Garrett Cooper has 83 hits and an OBP of .347 to go with a slugging percentage of .426.
- Jesus Sanchez has 11 home runs, 30 RBI and a batting average of .202 this season.
Marlins Batting Stats (2022)
Player | AB | AVG | R | HR | RBI | OBP | OPS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Jesús Aguilar | 331 | .248 | 32 | 11 | 38 | .296 | .686 |
Avisaíl García | 301 | .229 | 28 | 7 | 29 | .264 | .590 |
Garrett Cooper | 298 | .279 | 28 | 7 | 40 | .347 | .773 |
Miguel Rojas | 290 | .238 | 27 | 6 | 23 | .285 | .637 |
Jesús Sánchez | 277 | .202 | 34 | 11 | 30 | .265 | .644 |
Jacob Stallings | 215 | .186 | 19 | 2 | 22 | .248 | .481 |
Bryan De La Cruz | 197 | .218 | 21 | 7 | 21 | .264 | .635 |
Joey Wendle | 155 | .290 | 14 | 2 | 18 | .339 | .739 |
Nick Fortes | 79 | .253 | 19 | 3 | 13 | .337 | .767 |
Luke Williams | 60 | .267 | 11 | 1 | 6 | .333 | .700 |
Reds vs Marlins Player Props
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