Reds Vs Brewers: MLB Betting Odds, Trends & Stats – June 18, 2022

Written By Staff on June 17, 2022

The Cincinnati Reds (23-41) will look to Brandon Drury, who is on a two-game home run streak, when they face the Milwaukee Brewers (36-30) at 4:10 PM ET on Saturday at Great American Ball Park. Graham Ashcraft takes the mound first for Cincinnati (-111 to win), and Jason Alexander is Milwaukee’s (-108) pick to start.

The betting insights in what follows reference odds valid as of June 18, 2022 at 3:24 PM ET.

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Reds vs Brewers Betting Odds

Pitching Matchup

Ashcraft (CIN) Pitcher Alexander (MIL)
3 – 0 W/L 0 – 0
28.1 IP 16.2
2.22 ERA 2.16
1.024 WHIP 1.740
4.8 K/9 3.2
1.6 BB/9 4.3

Reds Probable Starter Graham Ashcraft

  • Ashcraft gets the start for the Reds, his sixth of the season. He is 3-0 with a 2.22 ERA and 15 strikeouts through 28 1/3 innings pitched.
  • In his last outing on Sunday against the St. Louis Cardinals, the righty tossed 4 2/3 innings, allowing four earned runs while surrendering nine hits.
  • In five games this season, the 24-year-old has an ERA of 2.22, with 4.8 strikeouts per nine innings. Opponents are hitting .218 against him.
  • Ashcraft is looking to pick up his fourth quality start of the year in this game.
  • He will take the hill against a Brewers offense that ranks 22nd in MLB with 508 total hits (on a .232 batting average). The squad also slugs a collective .396 (14th in MLB) with 84 total home runs (fifth in MLB).

Starting pitcher projections reflect team information as of June 18, 2022 at 3:24 PM ET and may change up to the start of game.

Brewers Probable Starter Jason Alexander

  • The Brewers’ Alexander (0-0) will make his fourth start of the season.
  • The right-hander gave up one earned run and allowed seven hits in 4 2/3 innings pitched against the Washington Nationals on Sunday.
  • The 29-year-old has pitched to a 2.16 ERA this season with 3.2 strikeouts per nine innings compared to 4.3 walks per nine across three games.
  • In three starts this season, he’s earned a quality start in one of them.
  • The Reds rank 14th in MLB with 281 runs scored this season. They have a .239 batting average this campaign with 62 home runs (19th in the league).

Starting pitcher projections reflect team information as of June 18, 2022 at 3:24 PM ET and may change up to the start of game.

Reds Betting Trends

  • The Reds have won five of the 15 games they were listed as the moneyline favorite this season (33.3%).
  • When it has played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -111 or shorter, Cincinnati has gone 5-10 (33.3%).
  • The Reds have an implied moneyline win probability of 52.6% in this matchup.
  • In the 64 games oddsmakers have set an over/under for Cincinnati, it has combined with opponents to go over the total 34 times (34-29-1).
  • The Reds have collected a 30-34-0 record against the spread this season (covering 46.9% of the time).
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Brewers Betting Trends

  • This season, the Brewers have won five out of the 11 games, or 45.5%, in which they’ve been the underdog.
  • This season, Milwaukee has won five of its 10 games, or 50%, when they’re the underdog by at least -108 on the moneyline.
  • Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Brewers have a 51.9% chance to win.
  • Milwaukee’s games have gone over the total in 32 of their 66 chances.
  • The Brewers have an ATS record of 28-38-0 in 66 games with a spread this season.

Reds Players to Watch

  • Drury has accumulated 55 hits, a team-best for the Reds. He’s batting .270 with 11 doubles, 14 home runs and 18 walks.
  • Among the qualifying hitters, Drury ranks 48th in batting average, while his on-base percentage ranks 63rd and he is 15th in slugging.
  • Kyle Farmer’s .353 OBP and .438 slugging percentage both lead his team, and he has 14 doubles, five home runs and 14 walks while hitting .289.
  • Farmer currently ranks 26th in batting average, 39th in on base percentage, and 57th in slugging among qualifying hitters.
  • Farmer takes a five-game hitting streak into this game. In his last five games he is hitting .467 with a double, a walk and three RBI.
  • Tommy Pham is hitting .250 with nine doubles, nine home runs and 31 walks.
  • Pham heads into this matchup on a seven-game hitting streak. In his last 10 outings he is hitting .268 with three doubles, three home runs, four walks and five RBI.
  • Joey Votto has 10 doubles, a triple, five home runs and 27 walks while batting .205.

Reds Batting Stats (2022)

Player AB AVG R HR RBI OBP OPS
Brandon Drury 204 .270 42 14 35 .336 .865
Tommy Pham 204 .250 38 9 26 .346 .772
Kyle Farmer 194 .289 23 5 37 .353 .791
Joey Votto 161 .205 18 5 22 .340 .713
Mike Moustakas 146 .212 18 3 13 .314 .629
Nick Senzel 136 .206 16 1 8 .268 .525
Matt Reynolds 125 .264 17 3 13 .326 .710
Albert Almora Jr. 103 .291 12 3 18 .308 .745
TJ Friedl 89 .202 13 0 7 .253 .545
Aramis Garcia 78 .154 5 1 1 .175 .380

Brewers Players to Watch

  • Rowdy Tellez leads Milwaukee with 55 hits, batting .252 this season with 24 extra-base hits.
  • Among all qualified hitters, Tellez ranks 80th in batting average, his on-base percentage ranks 97th, and he is 44th in slugging percentage.
  • Christian Yelich leads the Brewers with an OPS of .705. He has a slash line of .238/.324/.381 this season.
  • Yelich is 105th in batting average, 82nd in on-base percentage and 115th in slugging percentage in MLB.
  • Willy Adames has 34 hits this season and has a slash line of .204/.285/.467.
  • Hunter Renfroe is batting .251 with a .297 OBP and 24 RBI for Milwaukee this season.

Brewers Batting Stats (2022)

Player AB AVG R HR RBI OBP OPS
Christian Yelich 239 .238 39 7 23 .324 .705
Rowdy Tellez 218 .252 23 10 38 .314 .768
Andrew McCutchen 205 .239 23 4 25 .301 .633
Hunter Renfroe 179 .251 25 11 24 .297 .772
Tyrone Taylor 170 .229 15 6 25 .275 .693
Willy Adames 167 .204 29 12 31 .285 .752
Jace Peterson 149 .221 24 6 22 .299 .715
Lorenzo Cain 145 .179 17 1 9 .231 .465
Luis Urías 137 .212 20 6 15 .306 .656
Omar Narváez 124 .274 11 2 12 .357 .752

Reds vs Brewers Player Props

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