The Cincinnati Reds (23-41) will look to Brandon Drury, who is on a two-game home run streak, when they face the Milwaukee Brewers (36-30) at 4:10 PM ET on Saturday at Great American Ball Park. Graham Ashcraft takes the mound first for Cincinnati (
to win), and Jason Alexander is Milwaukee’s ( ) pick to start.The betting insights in what follows reference odds valid as of June 18, 2022 at 3:24 PM ET.
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Reds vs Brewers Betting Odds
Pitching Matchup
Ashcraft (CIN) | Pitcher | Alexander (MIL) |
---|---|---|
3 – 0 | W/L | 0 – 0 |
28.1 | IP | 16.2 |
2.22 | ERA | 2.16 |
1.024 | WHIP | 1.740 |
4.8 | K/9 | 3.2 |
1.6 | BB/9 | 4.3 |
Reds Probable Starter Graham Ashcraft
- Ashcraft gets the start for the Reds, his sixth of the season. He is 3-0 with a 2.22 ERA and 15 strikeouts through 28 1/3 innings pitched.
- In his last outing on Sunday against the St. Louis Cardinals, the righty tossed 4 2/3 innings, allowing four earned runs while surrendering nine hits.
- In five games this season, the 24-year-old has an ERA of 2.22, with 4.8 strikeouts per nine innings. Opponents are hitting .218 against him.
- Ashcraft is looking to pick up his fourth quality start of the year in this game.
- He will take the hill against a Brewers offense that ranks 22nd in MLB with 508 total hits (on a .232 batting average). The squad also slugs a collective .396 (14th in MLB) with 84 total home runs (fifth in MLB).
Starting pitcher projections reflect team information as of June 18, 2022 at 3:24 PM ET and may change up to the start of game.
Brewers Probable Starter Jason Alexander
- The Brewers’ Alexander (0-0) will make his fourth start of the season.
- The right-hander gave up one earned run and allowed seven hits in 4 2/3 innings pitched against the Washington Nationals on Sunday.
- The 29-year-old has pitched to a 2.16 ERA this season with 3.2 strikeouts per nine innings compared to 4.3 walks per nine across three games.
- In three starts this season, he’s earned a quality start in one of them.
- The Reds rank 14th in MLB with 281 runs scored this season. They have a .239 batting average this campaign with 62 home runs (19th in the league).
Starting pitcher projections reflect team information as of June 18, 2022 at 3:24 PM ET and may change up to the start of game.
Reds Betting Trends
- The Reds have won five of the 15 games they were listed as the moneyline favorite this season (33.3%).
- When it has played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -111 or shorter, Cincinnati has gone 5-10 (33.3%).
- The Reds have an implied moneyline win probability of 52.6% in this matchup.
- In the 64 games oddsmakers have set an over/under for Cincinnati, it has combined with opponents to go over the total 34 times (34-29-1).
- The Reds have collected a 30-34-0 record against the spread this season (covering 46.9% of the time).
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Brewers Betting Trends
- This season, the Brewers have won five out of the 11 games, or 45.5%, in which they’ve been the underdog.
- This season, Milwaukee has won five of its 10 games, or 50%, when they’re the underdog by at least -108 on the moneyline.
- Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Brewers have a 51.9% chance to win.
- Milwaukee’s games have gone over the total in 32 of their 66 chances.
- The Brewers have an ATS record of 28-38-0 in 66 games with a spread this season.
Reds Players to Watch
- Drury has accumulated 55 hits, a team-best for the Reds. He’s batting .270 with 11 doubles, 14 home runs and 18 walks.
- Among the qualifying hitters, Drury ranks 48th in batting average, while his on-base percentage ranks 63rd and he is 15th in slugging.
- Kyle Farmer’s .353 OBP and .438 slugging percentage both lead his team, and he has 14 doubles, five home runs and 14 walks while hitting .289.
- Farmer currently ranks 26th in batting average, 39th in on base percentage, and 57th in slugging among qualifying hitters.
- Farmer takes a five-game hitting streak into this game. In his last five games he is hitting .467 with a double, a walk and three RBI.
- Tommy Pham is hitting .250 with nine doubles, nine home runs and 31 walks.
- Pham heads into this matchup on a seven-game hitting streak. In his last 10 outings he is hitting .268 with three doubles, three home runs, four walks and five RBI.
- Joey Votto has 10 doubles, a triple, five home runs and 27 walks while batting .205.
Reds Batting Stats (2022)
Player | AB | AVG | R | HR | RBI | OBP | OPS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Brandon Drury | 204 | .270 | 42 | 14 | 35 | .336 | .865 |
Tommy Pham | 204 | .250 | 38 | 9 | 26 | .346 | .772 |
Kyle Farmer | 194 | .289 | 23 | 5 | 37 | .353 | .791 |
Joey Votto | 161 | .205 | 18 | 5 | 22 | .340 | .713 |
Mike Moustakas | 146 | .212 | 18 | 3 | 13 | .314 | .629 |
Nick Senzel | 136 | .206 | 16 | 1 | 8 | .268 | .525 |
Matt Reynolds | 125 | .264 | 17 | 3 | 13 | .326 | .710 |
Albert Almora Jr. | 103 | .291 | 12 | 3 | 18 | .308 | .745 |
TJ Friedl | 89 | .202 | 13 | 0 | 7 | .253 | .545 |
Aramis Garcia | 78 | .154 | 5 | 1 | 1 | .175 | .380 |
Brewers Players to Watch
- Rowdy Tellez leads Milwaukee with 55 hits, batting .252 this season with 24 extra-base hits.
- Among all qualified hitters, Tellez ranks 80th in batting average, his on-base percentage ranks 97th, and he is 44th in slugging percentage.
- Christian Yelich leads the Brewers with an OPS of .705. He has a slash line of .238/.324/.381 this season.
- Yelich is 105th in batting average, 82nd in on-base percentage and 115th in slugging percentage in MLB.
- Willy Adames has 34 hits this season and has a slash line of .204/.285/.467.
- Hunter Renfroe is batting .251 with a .297 OBP and 24 RBI for Milwaukee this season.
Brewers Batting Stats (2022)
Player | AB | AVG | R | HR | RBI | OBP | OPS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Christian Yelich | 239 | .238 | 39 | 7 | 23 | .324 | .705 |
Rowdy Tellez | 218 | .252 | 23 | 10 | 38 | .314 | .768 |
Andrew McCutchen | 205 | .239 | 23 | 4 | 25 | .301 | .633 |
Hunter Renfroe | 179 | .251 | 25 | 11 | 24 | .297 | .772 |
Tyrone Taylor | 170 | .229 | 15 | 6 | 25 | .275 | .693 |
Willy Adames | 167 | .204 | 29 | 12 | 31 | .285 | .752 |
Jace Peterson | 149 | .221 | 24 | 6 | 22 | .299 | .715 |
Lorenzo Cain | 145 | .179 | 17 | 1 | 9 | .231 | .465 |
Luis Urías | 137 | .212 | 20 | 6 | 15 | .306 | .656 |
Omar Narváez | 124 | .274 | 11 | 2 | 12 | .357 | .752 |
Reds vs Brewers Player Props
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