Red Sox Vs Royals: MLB Betting Odds, Trends & Stats – August 4, 2022

Written By Staff on August 3, 2022

J.D. Martinez will look for his 100th hit of the season (he has 99) when the Boston Red Sox (53-53) square off against the Kansas City Royals (41-64) on Thursday at 8:10 PM ET. Boston (-147 to win) has Nick Pivetta set to start, while Kansas City (+126) will counter with Kris Bubic.

The betting facts in what follows reference odds valid as of August 4, 2022 at 7:29 PM ET.

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Red Sox vs Royals Betting Odds

Pitching Matchup

Pivetta (BOS) Pitcher Bubic (KC)
8 – 7 W/L 2 – 6
118.2 IP 74.1
4.47 ERA 5.57
1.323 WHIP 1.601
8.6 K/9 7.4
3.3 BB/9 4.7

Red Sox Probable Starter Nick Pivetta

  • Pivetta (8-7 with a 4.47 ERA and 114 strikeouts in 118 2/3 innings pitched) gets the start for the Red Sox, his 21st of the season.
  • The righty last appeared on Saturday against the Milwaukee Brewers, when he threw 5 2/3 innings, allowing four earned runs while giving up nine hits.
  • The 29-year-old has an ERA of 4.47, with 8.6 strikeouts per nine innings, in 21 games this season. Opposing hitters have a .248 batting average against him.
  • Pivetta has 10 quality starts under his belt this year.
  • The opposing Royals offense has the 25th-ranked slugging percentage (.376) and ranks 27th in MLB play with 85 home runs. It has a collective .244 batting average, and is 15th in MLB with 863 total hits and 27th in MLB action scoring 399 runs.
  • This season, the 29-year-old ranks 54th in ERA (4.47), 51st in WHIP (1.323), and 27th in K/9 (8.6) among qualifying pitchers.

Starting pitcher projections reflect team information as of August 4, 2022 at 7:29 PM ET and may change up to the start of game.

Royals Stats vs Pivetta

Player AB AVG H HR RBI OBP OPS
Michael A. Taylor 14 .500 7 1 4 .500 1.357
Salvador Perez 6 .167 1 0 0 .167 .334
Hunter Dozier 5 .400 2 0 0 .400 1.200
Nicky Lopez 4 .500 2 0 0 .500 1.000
Ryan O’Hearn 3 .667 2 1 2 .667 2.334

Royals Probable Starter Kris Bubic

  • The Royals will hand the ball to Bubic (2-6) for his 17th start of the season.
  • The left-hander gave up three earned runs and allowed four hits in 6 2/3 innings pitched against the New York Yankees on Friday.
  • The 24-year-old has an ERA of 5.57, a 1.564 strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.601 in 17 games this season.
  • If he completes six or more innings with three or fewer earned runs allowed, he’ll earn his fourth quality start in a row.
  • The Red Sox rank 12th in MLB with 474 runs scored this season. They have a .253 batting average this campaign with 103 home runs (18th in the league).

Starting pitcher projections reflect team information as of August 4, 2022 at 7:29 PM ET and may change up to the start of game.

Red Sox Stats vs Bubic

Player AB AVG H HR RBI OBP OPS
Alex Verdugo 3 .333 1 0 1 .500 .833
Rafael Devers 3 .000 0 0 0 .000 .000
J.D. Martinez 3 .667 2 1 2 .750 2.417
Xander Bogaerts 3 .000 0 0 0 .000 .000
Christian Arroyo 2 .500 1 0 0 .500 1.000

Red Sox Betting Trends

  • The Red Sox have compiled a 31-22 record in games they were listed as the moneyline favorite (winning 58.5% of those games).
  • When it has played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -147 or shorter, Boston has an 11-10 record (winning 52.4% of its games).
  • The Red Sox have a 59.5% chance to win this game based on the moneyline’s implied probability.
  • Boston has combined with opponents to go over the total 47 times this season for a 47-54-5 record against the over/under.
  • The Red Sox have gone 56-50-0 ATS this season.
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Royals Betting Trends

  • The Royals have won 30, or 36.1%, of the 83 games they’ve played as underdogs this season.
  • This season, Kansas City has won 15 of its 46 games, or 32.6%, when they’re the underdog by at least +126 on the moneyline.
  • The Royals have a 44.2% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • Kansas City and its opponents have hit the over in 50 of their 105 games with a total this season.
  • The Royals are 48-57-0 against the spread this season.

Red Sox Players to Watch

  • Rafael Devers paces the Red Sox with 115 hits, while batting .322 with 30 doubles, a triple, 23 home runs and 26 walks.
  • Among qualifying hitters, Devers ranks fourth in batting average, while his on-base percentage ranks 15th and he is fourth in slugging.
  • Xander Bogaerts’ .387 OBP and .460 slugging percentage both pace his team, and he has 28 doubles, nine home runs and 41 walks while hitting .312.
  • Among the qualified hitters, Bogaerts ranks sixth in batting average, eighth in on-base percentage, and 42nd in slugging.
  • Alex Verdugo has 22 doubles, six home runs and 22 walks while batting .264.
  • Martinez has 32 doubles, nine home runs and 32 walks while hitting .285.

Red Sox Batting Stats (2022)

Player AB AVG R HR RBI OBP OPS
Alex Verdugo 386 .264 39 6 52 .304 .672
Xander Bogaerts 372 .312 58 9 46 .387 .847
Rafael Devers 357 .322 63 23 57 .376 .981
Tommy Pham 348 .239 58 11 39 .320 .694
J.D. Martínez 347 .285 52 9 40 .351 .806
Eric Hosmer 335 .269 32 8 40 .333 .721
Jackie Bradley Jr. 271 .210 21 3 29 .257 .578
Bobby Dalbec 264 .205 31 10 29 .280 .640
Reese McGuire 154 .234 12 0 10 .268 .560
Jarren Duran 151 .232 20 2 10 .280 .664

Royals Players to Watch

  • Bobby Witt Jr. leads Kansas City with 93 hits and a team-best slugging percentage of .453.
  • Among all qualifying hitters, Witt ranks 82nd in batting average, his on-base percentage ranks 128th, and he is 52nd in slugging percentage.
  • Hunter Dozier leads Kansas City in OBP (.316) this season, fueled by 82 hits.
  • Among all qualifying hitters, Dozier’s batting average puts him 75th, his on-base percentage is 100th, and he is 66th in slugging.
  • Nicky Lopez has 77 hits this season and has a slash line of .248/.303/.296.
  • Salvador Perez has 14 home runs, 43 RBI and a batting average of .211 this season.

Royals Batting Stats (2022)

Player AB AVG R HR RBI OBP OPS
Bobby Witt Jr. 369 .252 52 15 52 .295 .748
Hunter Dozier 323 .254 37 10 35 .316 .746
Nicky Lopez 311 .248 36 0 13 .303 .599
MJ Melendez 262 .225 28 10 28 .312 .717
Michael A. Taylor 251 .275 31 6 28 .345 .731
Salvador Pérez 247 .211 28 14 43 .249 .694
Kyle Isbel 158 .203 14 2 13 .238 .535
Vinnie Pasquantino 117 .214 9 3 5 .308 .633
Ryan O’Hearn 85 .200 6 1 10 .266 .537
Nick Pratto 49 .184 2 1 4 .305 .652

Red Sox vs Royals Player Props

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