Red Sox Vs Rays: MLB Betting Odds, Trends & Stats – July 11, 2022

Written By Staff on July 11, 2022

The Boston Red Sox (47-39) and the Tampa Bay Rays (45-40) square off in the first of a four-game series on Monday at Tropicana Field, starting at 7:10 PM ET. The Red Sox are coming off a 2-2 series split with the Yankees, and the Rays head into the matchup following a 0-3 series loss to the Reds. Boston’s (-111 to win) Brayan Bello and Tampa Bay’s (-107) Matt Wisler will start this matchup.

The betting facts in what follows reference odds valid as of July 11, 2022 at 5:24 PM ET.

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Red Sox vs Rays Betting Odds

Pitching Matchup

Bello (BOS) Pitcher Wisler (TB)
0 – 1 W/L 2 – 3
4.0 IP 38.1
9.00 ERA 2.82
2.250 WHIP 1.096
4.5 K/9 7.3
6.8 BB/9 3.3

Red Sox Probable Starter Brayan Bello

  • Bello (0-1) makes the start for the Red Sox, his second of the season.
  • The right-hander last pitched on Wednesday against the Tampa Bay Rays, when he went 4 2/3 innings, allowing four earned runs while giving up six hits.
  • In one appearances this season, he has compiled a 9.00 ERA and averages 4.5 strikeouts per nine innings while opposing batters are hitting .333 against him.
  • The opposing Rays offense has the 22nd-ranked slugging percentage (.379) and ranks 21st in MLB play with 80 home runs. It has a collective .238 batting average, and is 21st in MLB with 680 total hits and 24th in MLB play scoring 350 runs.

Starting pitcher projections reflect team information as of July 11, 2022 at 5:24 PM ET and may change up to the start of game.

Rays Stats vs Bello

Player AB AVG H HR RBI OBP OPS
Josh Lowe 3 .333 1 0 0 .333 1.000
Randy Arozarena 2 .500 1 0 2 .500 1.500
Francisco Mejía 2 .000 0 0 0 .000 .000
Yandy Díaz 2 .500 1 0 0 .667 1.667
Ji-Man Choi 2 .500 1 0 0 .500 1.000
Taylor Walls 1 .000 0 0 0 .500 .500

Rays Probable Starter Matt Wisler

  • The Rays’ Wisler (2-3) will make his fifth start of the season.
  • The right-hander last pitched out of the bullpen on Saturday, when he threw 1 1/3 scoreless innings without allowing a hit to the Cincinnati Reds.
  • The 29-year-old has an ERA of 2.82 and 7.3 strikeouts per nine innings with an opponent batting average of .193 in 35 games this season.
  • The Red Sox have scored 410 runs this season, which ranks fourth in MLB. They have 779 hits, first in baseball, with 85 home runs (19th in the league).

Starting pitcher projections reflect team information as of July 11, 2022 at 5:24 PM ET and may change up to the start of game.

Red Sox Stats vs Wisler

Player AB AVG H HR RBI OBP OPS
Trevor Story 12 .417 5 1 4 .417 1.084
J.D. Martinez 11 .273 3 2 7 .273 1.091
Kevin Plawecki 10 .300 3 0 0 .462 .762
Alex Verdugo 8 .125 1 0 0 .125 .250
Xander Bogaerts 6 .500 3 0 0 .571 1.071
Rafael Devers 4 .250 1 0 0 .250 .500
Christian Vázquez 3 .000 0 0 1 .200 .200
Bobby Dalbec 2 .500 1 0 1 .500 2.000
Jarren Duran 1 .000 0 0 0 .000 .000
Franchy Cordero 1 .000 0 0 0 .000 .000

Red Sox Betting Trends

  • The Red Sox have won 30 of the 49 games they were listed as the moneyline favorite this season (61.2%).
  • Boston has gone 29-19 when it has played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -111 or shorter (60.4%).
  • The implied moneyline probablility for this matchup gives the Red Sox a 52.6% chance to win.
  • Boston has combined with opponents to go over the total 37 times this season for a 37-44-5 record against the over/under.
  • The Red Sox have gone 49-37-0 against the spread this season.
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Rays Betting Trends

  • The Rays have entered the game as underdogs 29 times this season and won 12, or 41.4%, of those games.
  • Tampa Bay has a record of 12-16 in games where oddsmakers have them as underogs of at least -107 on the moneyline.
  • The oddsmakers’ moneyline implies a 51.7% chance of a victory for the Rays.
  • Tampa Bay and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 40 of their 85 opportunities.
  • The Rays are 38-47-0 against the spread this season.

Red Sox Players to Watch

  • Rafael Devers has put up a team-high slugging percentage (.593) and paces the Red Sox in hits (106). He’s hitting .327 with 27 doubles, a triple, 19 home runs and 25 walks.
  • Among the qualifying batters, Devers ranks third in batting average, while his on-base percentage ranks 12th and he is sixth in slugging.
  • Xander Bogaerts has a .389 on-base percentage to lead his team. He has 21 doubles, seven home runs and 35 walks while batting .311.
  • Among the qualified hitters, Bogaerts ranks sixth in batting average, seventh in on-base percentage, and 54th in slugging.
  • Alex Verdugo is batting .262 with 17 doubles, six home runs and 22 walks.
  • J.D. Martinez has 27 doubles, nine home runs and 30 walks while hitting .311.

Red Sox Batting Stats (2022)

Player AB AVG R HR RBI OBP OPS
Rafael Devers 324 .327 59 19 51 .384 .977
Alex Verdugo 309 .262 35 6 46 .310 .685
Xander Bogaerts 305 .311 50 7 35 .389 .838
Trevor Story 302 .225 49 15 58 .294 .724
J.D. Martínez 296 .311 49 9 36 .378 .871
Christian Vázquez 233 .292 25 5 35 .339 .768
Jackie Bradley Jr. 225 .213 15 1 25 .266 .573
Bobby Dalbec 207 .208 25 6 20 .288 .621
Franchy Cordero 175 .251 26 4 24 .328 .739
Jarren Duran 89 .281 13 1 6 .333 .782

Rays Players to Watch

  • Yandy Diaz leads Tampa Bay with an OBP of .412 this season while batting .299 with 47 walks and 36 runs scored.
  • Diaz is 20th in batting average, third in on-base percentage and 104th in slugging percentage among all qualifying hitters in the majors.
  • Randy Arozarena leads Tampa Bay with 81 hits and a team-best slugging percentage of .425.
  • Among all qualified players, Arozarena is 75th in batting average, 109th in on-base percentage and 71st in slugging percentage.
  • Harold Ramirez is batting .324 with a .447 slugging percentage and 32 RBI this year.
  • Ji-Man Choi has seven home runs, 38 RBI and a batting average of .281 this season.

Rays Batting Stats (2022)

Player AB AVG R HR RBI OBP OPS
Randy Arozarena 318 .255 40 10 40 .308 .733
Yandy Díaz 261 .299 36 3 20 .412 .807
Taylor Walls 220 .164 21 3 13 .245 .504
Harold Ramirez 219 .324 28 4 32 .373 .820
Ji-Man Choi 196 .281 24 7 38 .391 .850
Brett Phillips 158 .146 16 4 10 .218 .465
Francisco Mejía 153 .229 18 5 18 .237 .623
Isaac Paredes 146 .240 25 13 28 .304 .852
Josh Lowe 129 .186 17 2 9 .239 .557
Yu Chang 59 .153 5 1 2 .242 .462

Red Sox vs Rays Player Props

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