Red Sox Vs Rays: ALDS Game 4 Betting Odds, Trends & Stats – October 11, 2021

Written By Staff on October 11, 2021

The Boston Red Sox (92-70) host the Tampa Bay Rays (100-62) at 7:07 PM ET on Monday, providing a matchup between two top-10 sluggers. Rafael Devers has 38 home runs (10th in league) for the Red Sox, and Brandon Lowe ranks sixth with 39 dingers for the Rays. Boston’s (-120 to win) Eduardo Rodriguez gets the start against Tampa Bay’s (+100) Collin McHugh.

The betting insights and predictions in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of October 11, 2021, 6:00 PM ET. See the table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to bet at DraftKings Sportsbook.

Red Sox vs Rays Betting Odds

Pitching Matchup

Rodríguez (BOS) Pitcher McHugh (TB)
13 – 8 W/L 6 – 1
157.2 IP 64.0
4.74 ERA 1.55
1.390 WHIP 0.910
10.6 K/9 10.4
2.7 BB/9 1.4

Red Sox Probable Starter Eduardo Rodríguez

  • The Red Sox will send Rodriguez (13-8) out to make his 32nd start of the season. He is 13-8 with a 4.74 ERA and 185 strikeouts through 157 2/3 innings pitched.
  • In his last outing on Friday against the Rays, the left-hander went 1 2/3 innings, allowing two earned runs while surrendering two hits.
  • He will take the hill against a Rays squad that is hitting .242 as a unit (15th in the MLB). They are also slugging a collective .428 (eighth in the league) with 222 total home runs (sixth in MLB play).
  • The Red Sox have a 13-10 record in Rodríguez’s 23 starts this season when they were the moneyline favorite.

Starting pitcher projections reflect team information as of October 11, 2021 at 6:39 PM ET and may change up to the start of game.

Rays Stats vs Rodríguez

Player AB AVG H HR RBI OBP OPS
Nelson Cruz 28 .179 5 2 3 .303 .767
Yandy Díaz 20 .500 10 0 1 .545 1.095
Brandon Lowe 16 .250 4 3 4 .250 1.062
Manuel Margot 14 .357 5 0 1 .400 .829
Austin Meadows 13 .154 2 0 0 .214 .368
Kevin Kiermaier 13 .077 1 0 0 .200 .277
Mike Zunino 12 .333 4 1 3 .429 1.262
Randy Arozarena 11 .364 4 0 0 .417 .872
Wander Franco 10 .300 3 1 5 .417 1.117
Jordan Luplow 7 .286 2 0 0 .286 .715

Rays Probable Starter Collin McHugh

  • McHugh (6-1) will take to the mound for the Rays and make his eighth start of the season.
  • The right-hander’s last appearance came in relief on Friday when he threw 1 2/3 innings out of the bullpen against the Red Sox, giving up three earned runs while allowing two hits.
  • The Red Sox rank fifth in MLB with 829 runs scored this season. They have a .261 batting average this campaign with 219 home runs (10th in the league).
  • His team is 1-3 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline underdog.

Starting pitcher projections reflect team information as of October 11, 2021 at 6:39 PM ET and may change up to the start of game.

Red Sox Stats vs McHugh

Player AB AVG H HR RBI OBP OPS
Xander Bogaerts 19 .474 9 0 5 .500 1.132
J.D. Martinez 17 .176 3 1 4 .263 .675
Danny Santana 16 .375 6 1 1 .375 1.000
Christian Vázquez 11 .273 3 1 1 .273 .818
Hunter Renfroe 7 .000 0 0 0 .000 .000
Rafael Devers 6 .333 2 0 2 .500 1.000
Kike Hernández 6 .333 2 1 1 .333 1.166
Travis Shaw 5 .400 2 0 1 .500 1.100
Kevin Plawecki 4 .500 2 0 0 .500 1.000
Alex Verdugo 3 .333 1 1 1 .500 1.833

Red Sox Betting Trends

  • The Red Sox’s offense is averaging 5.8 runs in home games while scoring 4.5 per game away from Fenway Park.
  • The Red Sox are the fifth-highest scoring team in MLB play averaging 5.1 runs per game (829 total).
  • The Red Sox have gone 65-44 in games they were listed as the moneyline favorite (winning 59.6% of those games).
  • Boston is 56-36 (winning 60.9% of its games) when playing as a moneyline favorite of -120 or shorter.
  • Boston has played in 162 games with set over/under, and has combined with opponents to go over the total 73 times (73-85-4).
  • Boston played as the moneyline favorite for nine of its last 10 games, and went 5-4 in those matchups.
RANK
OPERATOR
BONUS
INFO
ACTION
2
$5,000
Risk Free Bet
Up To $5,000 Risk Free Bet 
Weekly Betting Promos
Use Promo Code: LEGALRF

Rays Betting Trends

  • The Rays are among the highest scoring teams in the league, ranking second with 857 total runs this season.
  • In away games this season, they have scored a total of 460 runs (5.6 per game) while pushing across 412 total at home, an average of five per contest.
  • This season, the Rays have been the underdog 59 times and won 32, or 54.2%, of those games.
  • Tampa Bay has a record of 23-18 in games where oddsmakers have them as underogs of at least +100 on the moneyline.
  • Tampa Bay and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 82 of their 160 opportunities.
  • Tampa Bay has played as the underdog in six of its past 10 games and won three of those contests.

Red Sox Players to Watch

  • Devers paces the Red Sox with 38 home runs and 115 runs batted in.
  • Among qualified hitters in MLB play, Devers’ 166 hits rank 18th, his 38 HR rank 10th, his 115 RBI rank fourth, and his .541 SLG ranks eighth.
  • J.D. Martinez is hitting .284 with 42 doubles, three triples, 28 home runs and 55 walks.
  • Among the qualifying hitters in baseball, Martinez’s 162 hits rank 25th, his 99 RBI rank 21st, his .284 AVG ranks 24th, and his .516 SLG ranks first.

Red Sox Batting Stats (2021)

Player AB AVG R HR RBI OBP OPS
Rafael Devers 591 .281 101 38 115 .354 .895
J.D. Martínez 570 .284 92 28 99 .348 .864
Alex Verdugo 544 .289 88 13 63 .351 .777
Xander Bogaerts 529 .295 90 23 79 .370 .863
Hunter Renfroe 521 .259 89 31 96 .315 .816
Kiké Hernández 508 .250 84 20 60 .337 .786
Christian Vázquez 458 .258 51 6 49 .308 .660
Bobby Dalbec 417 .240 50 25 78 .298 .792
Kyle Schwarber 399 .266 76 32 71 .374 .928
Travis Shaw 178 .191 14 6 28 .279 .616

Rays Players to Watch

  • Randy Arozarena has been key for Tampa Bay with 145 hits, an OBP of .356 plus a slugging percentage of .459.
  • Arozarena’s hits and batting average fall outside of league leaders among qualified hitters in MLB.
  • Arozarena will look to extend his five-game hitting streak. He’s batting .368 with one homer over that span.
  • Lowe is slugging .523 this season, with a team-best 39 homers while driving in 99 runs.
  • Among qualified hitters, Lowe ranks sixth in HR (39), and 21st in RBI (99) in the league.

Rays Batting Stats (2021)

Player AB AVG R HR RBI OBP OPS
Brandon Lowe 535 .247 97 39 99 .340 .863
Randy Arozarena 529 .274 94 20 69 .356 .815
Austin Meadows 518 .234 79 27 106 .315 .773
Yandy Díaz 465 .256 62 13 64 .353 .740
Joey Wendle 460 .265 73 11 54 .319 .741
Manuel Margot 421 .254 55 10 57 .313 .695
Kevin Kiermaier 348 .259 54 4 37 .328 .716
Mike Zunino 333 .216 64 33 62 .301 .860
Nelson Cruz 296 .294 44 19 50 .370 .907
Wander Franco 281 .288 53 7 39 .347 .810

Red Sox vs Rays Player Props

Powered By Data Skrive using data from

Staff Avatar
Written by
Staff

View all posts by Staff