Red Sox Vs Rays: ALDS Game 3 Betting Odds, Trends & Stats – October 10, 2021

Written By Staff on October 10, 2021

Two of baseball’s best sluggers go head-to-head when the Boston Red Sox (92-70) and the Tampa Bay Rays (100-62) play at 4:07 PM ET on Sunday at Fenway Park. Rafael Devers has 38 home runs (10th in league) for the Red Sox, and Brandon Lowe ranks sixth with 39 dingers for the Rays. Boston’s (-120 to win) Nathan Eovaldi starts against Tampa Bay’s (+100) Drew Rasmussen.

The betting insights and predictions in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of October 10, 2021, 3:00 PM ET. See the table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to bet at DraftKings Sportsbook.

Red Sox vs Rays Betting Odds

Pitching Matchup

Eovaldi (BOS) Pitcher Rasmussen (TB)
11 – 9 W/L 4 – 1
182.1 IP 76.0
3.75 ERA 2.84
1.180 WHIP 1.050
9.6 K/9 8.6
1.6 BB/9 2.7

Red Sox Probable Starter Nathan Eovaldi

  • The Red Sox are sending Eovaldi (11-9) out for his 33rd start of the season. He is 11-9 with a 3.75 ERA and 195 strikeouts through 182 1/3 innings pitched.
  • In his most recent time out on Wednesday against the Yankees, the right-hander went 5 1/3 innings, giving up one earned run while surrendering four hits.
  • The opposing Rays offense has the eighth-ranked slugging percentage (.428) and ranks sixth in MLB play with 222 home runs. They have a collective .242 batting average, and are 10th in the league with 1335 total hits and second in MLB play scoring 857 runs.
  • The Red Sox have been favored on the moneyline in 26 of Eovaldi’s starts this season, and they went 17-9 in those matchups.

Starting pitcher projections reflect team information as of October 10, 2021 at 3:39 PM ET and may change up to the start of game.

Rays Stats vs Eovaldi

Player AB AVG H HR RBI OBP OPS
Austin Meadows 21 .333 7 1 3 .364 1.031
Brandon Lowe 19 .263 5 1 2 .364 .838
Ji-Man Choi 19 .263 5 1 3 .263 .737
Joey Wendle 17 .353 6 1 1 .450 1.156
Nelson Cruz 14 .143 2 1 1 .200 .629
Kevin Kiermaier 13 .231 3 0 4 .375 .760
Randy Arozarena 11 .091 1 0 0 .091 .273
Yandy Díaz 10 .200 2 0 1 .200 .400
Mike Zunino 9 .111 1 1 2 .200 .644
Wander Franco 8 .125 1 0 1 .222 .597

Rays Probable Starter Drew Rasmussen

  • Rasmussen (4-1) will take to the mound for the Rays and make his 11th start of the season.
  • The right-hander’s last appearance was on Thursday, Sept. 30, when he threw five scoreless innings against the Astros while allowing one hit.
  • The Red Sox have scored 829 runs this season, which ranks fifth in MLB. They have 1434 hits, third in baseball, with 219 home runs (10th in the league).
  • He and his team have won each of the four games he’s started as the moneyline underdog.

Starting pitcher projections reflect team information as of October 10, 2021 at 3:39 PM ET and may change up to the start of game.

Red Sox Stats vs Rasmussen

Player AB AVG H HR RBI OBP OPS
J.D. Martinez 9 .222 2 0 0 .222 .444
Rafael Devers 7 .286 2 0 1 .375 .804
Alex Verdugo 6 .500 3 0 0 .500 1.500
Kyle Schwarber 6 .167 1 0 0 .167 .334
Hunter Renfroe 6 .167 1 0 0 .167 .500
Christian Vázquez 5 .400 2 0 2 .400 .800
Kike Hernández 4 .250 1 0 0 .500 .750
Kevin Plawecki 2 .000 0 0 0 .000 .000
Xander Bogaerts 2 .000 0 0 0 .500 .500
Bobby Dalbec 1 .000 0 0 0 .000 .000

Red Sox Betting Trends

  • The Red Sox average 5.8 runs per home game compared to 4.5 per contest on the road.
  • The Red Sox are the fifth-highest scoring team in MLB play averaging 5.1 runs per game (829 total).
  • The Red Sox have won 65 of the 109 games they were favored on the moneyline this season (59.6%).
  • Boston is 56-36 (winning 60.9% of its games) when it has played as a moneyline favorite of -120 or shorter.
  • Boston has had an over/under set by bookmakers 162 times, and has combined with opponents to go over the total in 73 of those games (73-85-4).
  • Boston has a 5-4 record from the nine games it was favored on the moneyline over its last 10 matchups.
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Rays Betting Trends

  • The Rays are among the highest scoring teams in the league, ranking second with 857 total runs this season.
  • They’ve scored 5.6 runs per game this season on the road while averaging five at home.
  • The Rays have entered the game as underdogs 59 times this season and won 32, or 54.2%, of those games.
  • Tampa Bay has entered 41 games this season as the underdog by +100 or more and is 23-18 in those contests.
  • Tampa Bay’s games have gone over the total in 82 of their 160 chances.
  • Tampa Bay has played as the underdog in six of its past 10 games and has gone 3-3 in those contests.

Red Sox Players to Watch

  • Devers leads the Red Sox in home runs (38) and runs batted in (115).
  • Among the qualifying hitters in MLB, Devers’ 166 hits rank 18th, his 38 HR rank 10th, his 115 RBI rank fourth, and his .541 SLG ranks eighth.
  • J.D. Martinez has 42 doubles, three triples, 28 home runs and 55 walks while hitting .284.
  • Martinez ranks 25th in hits (162), 21st in RBI (99), 24th in AVG (.284), and first in SLG (.516) among the qualifying batters in MLB play.

Red Sox Batting Stats (2021)

Player AB AVG R HR RBI OBP OPS
Rafael Devers 591 .281 101 38 115 .354 .895
J.D. Martínez 570 .284 92 28 99 .348 .864
Alex Verdugo 544 .289 88 13 63 .351 .777
Xander Bogaerts 529 .295 90 23 79 .370 .863
Hunter Renfroe 521 .259 89 31 96 .315 .816
Kiké Hernández 508 .250 84 20 60 .337 .786
Christian Vázquez 458 .258 51 6 49 .308 .660
Bobby Dalbec 417 .240 50 25 78 .298 .792
Kyle Schwarber 399 .266 76 32 71 .374 .928
Travis Shaw 178 .191 14 6 28 .279 .616

Rays Players to Watch

  • Randy Arozarena has been key for Tampa Bay with 20 home runs, 69 RBI and a batting average of .274 this season.
  • Arozarena’s average, hits and home run totals rank outside of the top 25 among qualified hitters in MLB.
  • Lowe’s 39 home runs are most among Tampa Bay batters. He’s driven in 99 runs this season while slugging .523.
  • Lowe ranks sixth in HR (39), and 21st in RBI (99) among qualified hitters in the majors.

Rays Batting Stats (2021)

Player AB AVG R HR RBI OBP OPS
Brandon Lowe 535 .247 97 39 99 .340 .863
Randy Arozarena 529 .274 94 20 69 .356 .815
Austin Meadows 518 .234 79 27 106 .315 .773
Yandy Díaz 465 .256 62 13 64 .353 .740
Joey Wendle 460 .265 73 11 54 .319 .741
Manuel Margot 421 .254 55 10 57 .313 .695
Kevin Kiermaier 348 .259 54 4 37 .328 .716
Mike Zunino 333 .216 64 33 62 .301 .860
Nelson Cruz 296 .294 44 19 50 .370 .907
Wander Franco 281 .288 53 7 39 .347 .810

Red Sox vs Rays Player Props

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