The Baltimore Orioles are home underdogs () against the Boston Red Sox () to begin the season at Fenway Park on Thursday. First pitch is at 2:10 PM ET. Nathan Eovaldi starts for Boston, and John Means is Baltimore’s choice to start.
The betting insights and predictions in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of March 30, 2021, 3:00 PM ET. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to bet at DraftKings Sportsbook.
Red Sox vs Orioles Betting Odds
Pitching Matchup
The probable pitchers for both teams have not made a start this season. Here are their stats from last season:
| Eovaldi (BOS) | Pitcher | Means (BAL) |
|---|---|---|
| 4 – 2 | W/L | 2 – 4 |
| 48.1 | IP | 43.2 |
| 3.72 | ERA | 4.53 |
| 1.2 | WHIP | 0.98 |
| 9.7 | K/9 | 8.7 |
| 1.3 | BB/9 | 1.4 |
Red Sox Probable Starter Nathan Eovaldi
- Eovaldi will take the mound to start for the Red Sox, his first this season.
- In his last appearance on Wednesday, Sept. 23, the 31-year-old righty started the game and went six scoreless innings against the Orioles.
- Eovaldi and his team won all four games he pitched when they were moneyline favorites a season ago.
Starting pitcher projections reflect team information as of March 30, 2021 at 8:12 PM ET and may change up to the start of game.
Orioles Probable Starter John Means
- Means has been named the starter for the Orioles and will make his first start this season.
- The last time the 27-year-old pitched was on Saturday, Sept. 26 against the Blue Jays. The lefty threw six innings as the starter in that matchup.
- Means and his team had a 1-7 record when he pitched as an underdog last season.
Starting pitcher projections reflect team information as of March 30, 2021 at 8:12 PM ET and may change up to the start of game.
Red Sox Betting Trends
- Last season the Red Sox scored the 11th-most runs in baseball (292 total, 4.9 per game).
- The Red Sox won 61.5% of the games last season they were the moneyline favorite (8-5).
- Boston played as a moneyline favorite of -180 or shorter in only two games last season, and they split them 1-1.
- Boston had an over/under set by oddsmakers 57 times last year, and combined with opponents to go over the total in 30 of those games (30-26-1).
Orioles Betting Trends
- The Orioles won 21, or 40.4%, of the 52 games they played as underdogs last season.
- Last season, Baltimore won 11 of its 27 games, or 40.7%, when they were the underdog by at least +150 on the moneyline.
- Games involving Baltimore went over the total set by sportsbooks in 27 of 55 chances last season.
Red Sox Players to Watch
- Rafael Devers had 11 home runs and 43 runs batted in last season.
- Among qualified hitters in MLB, Devers ranked ninth in RBI (43), and fifth in SLG (.483).
- Xander Bogaerts hit 11 home runs on the season while slugging .502.
- Among qualifying hitters in MLB play, Bogaerts’ .300 BA ranked 23rd.
Red Sox Batting Stats (2020)
| Player | AB | AVG | R | HR | RBI | OBP | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rafael Devers | 232 | .263 | 32 | 11 | 43 | .310 | .793 |
| J.D. Martínez | 211 | .213 | 22 | 7 | 27 | .282 | .671 |
| Xander Bogaerts | 203 | .300 | 36 | 11 | 28 | .359 | .861 |
| Alex Verdugo | 201 | .308 | 36 | 6 | 15 | .364 | .842 |
| Marwin González | 175 | .211 | 15 | 5 | 22 | .286 | .606 |
| Christian Vázquez | 173 | .283 | 22 | 7 | 23 | .344 | .801 |
| Kiké Hernández | 139 | .237 | 20 | 5 | 20 | .277 | .694 |
| Hunter Renfroe | 122 | .156 | 18 | 8 | 22 | .252 | .645 |
| Kevin Plawecki | 82 | .341 | 8 | 1 | 17 | .393 | .856 |
| Bobby Dalbec | 80 | .263 | 13 | 8 | 16 | .359 | .959 |
Orioles Players to Watch
- Maikel Franco finished with a .278 average and 38 RBI last season.
- Franco’s 62 hits ranked 20th, his .457 SLG ranked fifth, and his 38 RBI ranked 22nd among qualified hitters in MLB.
- Ryan Mountcastle collected 43 hits, posted an OBP of .393 and a .500 SLG.
Orioles Batting Stats (2020)
| Player | AB | AVG | R | HR | RBI | OBP | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maikel Franco | 223 | .278 | 23 | 8 | 38 | .318 | .775 |
| Rio Ruiz | 185 | .227 | 25 | 9 | 32 | .287 | .719 |
| Pedro Severino | 160 | .250 | 17 | 5 | 21 | .322 | .710 |
| Anthony Santander | 153 | .261 | 24 | 11 | 32 | .302 | .877 |
| Pat Valaika | 141 | .277 | 24 | 8 | 16 | .315 | .790 |
| Freddy Galvis | 141 | .220 | 18 | 7 | 16 | .308 | .712 |
| Cedric Mullins | 140 | .271 | 16 | 3 | 12 | .315 | .722 |
| Ryan Mountcastle | 126 | .341 | 12 | 5 | 24 | .393 | .893 |
| Austin Hays | 122 | .279 | 20 | 4 | 9 | .328 | .721 |
| Chance Sisco | 98 | .214 | 11 | 4 | 10 | .364 | .742 |
Red Sox vs Orioles Player Props
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