Red Sox Vs Guardians: MLB Betting Odds, Trends & Stats – July 25, 2022

Written By Staff on July 24, 2022

The Boston Red Sox (48-48) will look to turn around a five-game losing streak when they host the Cleveland Guardians (48-46) on Monday at 7:10 PM ET. Nick Pivetta gets the starting nod for Boston (-110 to win), and Zach Plesac is Cleveland’s (-108) choice to start.

The betting facts in what follows are based off odds valid as of July 25, 2022 at 5:24 PM ET.

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Red Sox vs Guardians Betting Odds

Pitching Matchup

Pivetta (BOS) Pitcher Plesac (CLE)
8 – 6 W/L 2 – 7
108.0 IP 94.0
4.50 ERA 3.93
1.259 WHIP 1.255
8.7 K/9 6.5
3.2 BB/9 2.2

Red Sox Probable Starter Nick Pivetta

  • Pivetta makes the start for the Red Sox, his 19th of the season. He is 8-6 with a 4.50 ERA and 104 strikeouts in 108 innings pitched.
  • The righty’s most recent appearance was on Saturday, July 16 against the New York Yankees, when he tossed 4 2/3 innings, surrendering seven earned runs while giving up seven hits.
  • The 29-year-old has put up an ERA of 4.50, with 8.7 strikeouts per nine innings, in 19 games this season. Opposing hitters have a .237 batting average against him.
  • Pivetta has recorded 10 quality starts this season.
  • The opposing Guardians offense has the 17th-ranked slugging percentage (.388) and ranks 29th in MLB play with 74 home runs. It has a collective .252 batting average, and is 10th in MLB with 803 total hits and 17th in MLB action scoring 413 runs.
  • Among qualifying pitchers in MLB play this season, the 29-year-old’s 4.50 ERA ranks 53rd, 1.259 WHIP ranks 43rd, and 8.7 K/9 ranks 23rd.

Starting pitcher projections reflect team information as of July 25, 2022 at 5:24 PM ET and may change up to the start of game.

Guardians Stats vs Pivetta

Player AB AVG H HR RBI OBP OPS
Amed Rosario 15 .400 6 0 2 .438 .838
Austin Hedges 9 .222 2 2 2 .300 1.189
Myles Straw 5 .200 1 0 2 .200 .400
Steven Kwan 4 .250 1 0 0 .250 .500
Franmil Reyes 3 .333 1 0 0 .333 .666
Josh Naylor 3 .333 1 0 0 .333 .666
Andrés Giménez 3 .667 2 1 1 .667 2.334
José Ramírez 3 .333 1 0 0 .333 .666
Luke Maile 2 .000 0 0 0 .000 .000

Guardians Probable Starter Zach Plesac

  • Plesac (2-7) will take the mound for the Guardians, his 18th start of the season.
  • The right-hander’s last start was on Friday, July 15, when he tossed 3 2/3 innings while giving up two earned runs on six hits in a matchup with the Detroit Tigers.
  • The 27-year-old has pitched in 17 games this season with an ERA of 3.93, a 2.957 strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.255.
  • He has earned a quality start nine times in 17 starts this season.
  • The Red Sox have scored 440 runs this season, which ranks 10th in MLB. They are batting .256 for the campaign with 97 home runs, 16th in the league.
  • Among qualified pitchers in the majors this season, the 27-year-old ranks 43rd in ERA (3.93), 42nd in WHIP (1.255), and 53rd in K/9 (6.5).

Starting pitcher projections reflect team information as of July 25, 2022 at 5:24 PM ET and may change up to the start of game.

Red Sox Stats vs Plesac

Player AB AVG H HR RBI OBP OPS
J.D. Martinez 8 .625 5 1 2 .625 1.875
Yolmer Sánchez 5 .400 2 1 2 .500 1.500
Xander Bogaerts 5 .200 1 0 0 .200 .400
Christian Vázquez 4 .250 1 0 0 .250 .500
Bobby Dalbec 3 .667 2 0 0 .667 1.667
Kevin Plawecki 3 .333 1 0 1 .333 .666
Jackie Bradley Jr. 3 .000 0 0 0 .250 .250
Alex Verdugo 2 .000 0 0 0 .333 .333
Rob Refsnyder 2 .500 1 0 1 .500 1.000

Red Sox Betting Trends

  • The Red Sox have won 30 of the 50 games they were listed as the moneyline favorite this season (60%).
  • In games it has played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -110 or shorter, Boston has a 30-20 record (winning 60% of its games).
  • The Red Sox have a 52.4% chance to win this game based on the moneyline’s implied probability.
  • Boston has combined with opponents to go over the total 44 times this season for a 44-47-5 record against the over/under.
  • The Red Sox have a 51-45-0 record ATS this season (covering 53.1% of the time).
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Guardians Betting Trends

  • The Guardians have won 20, or 39.2%, of the 51 games they’ve played as underdogs this season.
  • Cleveland has a record of 19-30, a 38.8% win rate, when they’re set as an underdog of -108 or more by bookmakers this season.
  • The Guardians have a 51.9% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • Cleveland’s games have gone over the total in 46 of their 94 chances.
  • In 94 games with a spread this season, the Guardians are 50-44-0 ATS.

Red Sox Players to Watch

  • Xander Bogaerts has racked up an on-base percentage of .386, a team-best for the Red Sox. He’s hitting .313 with 24 doubles, seven home runs and 36 walks.
  • Among the qualifying hitters in baseball, Bogaerts’ batting average ranks seventh, his on-base percentage ranks 12th, and he is 59th in the league in slugging.
  • Bogaerts has hit safely in two straight games. During his last five outings he is batting .200 with an RBI.
  • Alex Verdugo is hitting .265 with 19 doubles, six home runs and 22 walks.
  • Among qualifiers, Verdugo ranks 62nd in batting average, 114th in on-base percentage, and 129th in slugging.
  • Verdugo enters this game on a two-game hitting streak. During his last five outings he is batting .278 with an RBI.
  • J.D. Martinez is hitting .303 with 30 doubles, nine home runs and 31 walks.
  • Christian Vazquez has 18 doubles, eight home runs and 16 walks while batting .277.

Red Sox Batting Stats (2022)

Player AB AVG R HR RBI OBP OPS
Alex Verdugo 347 .265 36 6 49 .307 .679
Xander Bogaerts 339 .313 54 7 38 .386 .831
J.D. Martínez 317 .303 51 9 38 .369 .852
Christian Vázquez 267 .277 29 8 38 .322 .756
Jackie Bradley Jr. 254 .209 18 3 28 .258 .573
Bobby Dalbec 233 .206 27 8 23 .284 .636
Franchy Cordero 200 .225 27 4 25 .296 .661
Jarren Duran 120 .250 17 1 7 .302 .710
Kevin Plawecki 86 .186 9 1 5 .290 .546
Rob Refsnyder 84 .333 15 4 12 .402 .950

Guardians Players to Watch

  • Jose Ramirez leads Cleveland with 98 hits, batting .287 this season with 55 extra-base hits.
  • Among all the qualifying hitters in the majors, Ramirez’s batting average ranks 34th, his on-base percentage ranks 26th, and he is seventh in slugging.
  • Amed Rosario has hit four homers this season while driving in 33 runs. He’s batting .297 this season.
  • Among all qualifying hitters, Rosario ranks 20th in batting average, 65th in on-base percentage and 84th in slugging percentage.
  • Steven Kwan leads Cleveland with an OBP of .369 this season while batting .292 with 33 walks and 45 runs scored.
  • Josh Naylor has been key for Cleveland with 67 hits, an OBP of .332 plus a slugging percentage of .504.

Guardians Batting Stats (2022)

Player AB AVG R HR RBI OBP OPS
Amed Rosario 357 .297 54 4 33 .334 .749
José Ramírez 342 .287 54 19 78 .363 .933
Myles Straw 325 .212 51 0 15 .303 .574
Steven Kwan 295 .292 45 2 27 .369 .749
Owen Miller 282 .248 36 4 38 .305 .677
Andrés Giménez 270 .304 35 11 46 .360 .853
Josh Naylor 238 .282 30 13 51 .332 .836
Franmil Reyes 237 .215 22 9 28 .257 .620
Austin Hedges 169 .172 14 5 16 .230 .496
Ernie Clement 133 .203 15 0 6 .272 .498

Red Sox vs Guardians Player Props

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