Brewers Vs Red Sox: MLB Betting Odds, Trends & Stats – July 30, 2022

Written By Staff on July 30, 2022

The Milwaukee Brewers (56-44) will look to keep a three-game win streak alive when they visit the Boston Red Sox (50-51) on Saturday at 4:10 PM ET. Milwaukee (-115 to win) has Eric Lauer starting things off, while Boston (-104) will send out Nick Pivetta.

The betting trends in the following article are based off odds valid as of July 30, 2022 at 3:28 PM ET.

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Brewers vs Red Sox Betting Odds

Pitching Matchup

Lauer (MIL) Pitcher Pivetta (BOS)
6 – 3 W/L 8 – 6
100.2 IP 113.2
3.84 ERA 4.35
1.202 WHIP 1.284
9.2 K/9 8.7
3 BB/9 3.3

Brewers Probable Starter Eric Lauer

  • Lauer makes the start for the Brewers, his 18th of the season. He is 6-3 with a 3.84 ERA and 103 strikeouts in 100 2/3 innings pitched.
  • The left-hander’s most recent appearance was on Sunday against the Colorado Rockies, when he tossed 4 2/3 innings, surrendering four earned runs while giving up six hits.
  • In 18 games this season, the 27-year-old has an ERA of 3.84, with 9.2 strikeouts per nine innings. Opponents are hitting .227 against him.
  • Lauer has registered seven quality starts this year.
  • He will face a Red Sox offense that is batting .254 as a unit (fifth in MLB). It is also slugging a collective .410 (ninth in MLB) with 100 total home runs (17th in MLB).
  • The 27-year-old ranks 42nd in ERA (3.84), 37th in WHIP (1.202), and 14th in K/9 (9.2) among qualifying pitchers in MLB action this season.

Starting pitcher projections reflect team information as of July 30, 2022 at 3:28 PM ET and may change up to the start of game.

Red Sox Stats vs Lauer

Player AB AVG H HR RBI OBP OPS
Alex Verdugo 10 .200 2 0 0 .200 .500
Rob Refsnyder 3 .333 1 0 0 .333 .666

Red Sox Probable Starter Nick Pivetta

  • The Red Sox’s Pivetta (8-6) will make his 20th start of the season.
  • The right-hander’s last start was on Monday, when he tossed 5 2/3 innings while giving up one earned run on seven hits in a matchup with the Cleveland Guardians.
  • The 29-year-old has pitched to a 4.35 ERA this season with 8.7 strikeouts per nine innings compared to 3.3 walks per nine across 20 games.
  • In 19 starts this season, he’s earned 10 quality starts.
  • The Brewers have scored 463 runs this season, which ranks sixth in MLB. They are batting .238 for the campaign with 136 home runs, fourth in the league.
  • The 29-year-old’s 4.35 ERA ranks 52nd, 1.284 WHIP ranks 46th, and 8.7 K/9 ranks 25th among qualified pitchers in the majors this year.

Starting pitcher projections reflect team information as of July 30, 2022 at 3:28 PM ET and may change up to the start of game.

Brewers Stats vs Pivetta

Player AB AVG H HR RBI OBP OPS
Pedro Severino 13 .000 0 0 0 .000 .000
Christian Yelich 8 .250 2 2 6 .364 1.364
Hunter Renfroe 7 .429 3 0 1 .556 1.127
Andrew McCutchen 7 .143 1 0 0 .143 .286
Rowdy Tellez 4 .000 0 0 0 .000 .000
Kolten Wong 3 .333 1 0 0 .500 .833
Jonathan Davis 2 .000 0 0 0 .000 .000
Mike Brosseau 1 .000 0 0 0 .000 .000
Luis Urías 1 1.000 1 0 1 1.000 2.000
Victor Caratini 1 .000 0 0 0 .000 .000

Brewers Betting Trends

  • The Brewers have been favored on the moneyline 78 total times this season. They’ve finished 46-32 in those games.
  • When it has played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -115 or shorter, Milwaukee has a record of 43-30 (58.9%).
  • Based on this game’s moneyline, the Brewers have an implied win probability of 53.5%.
  • Milwaukee has combined with opponents to go over the total 50 times this season for a 50-46-4 record against the over/under.
  • The Brewers have collected a 45-55-0 record against the spread this season (covering 45% of the time).
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Red Sox Betting Trends

  • This season, the Red Sox have won 19 out of the 48 games, or 39.6%, in which they’ve been the underdog.
  • Boston is 17-27 this season when entering a game as the underdog by -104 or more on the moneyline.
  • Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Red Sox have a 51% chance to win.
  • Boston and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 46 of their 101 opportunities.
  • The Red Sox are 53-48-0 against the spread this season.

Brewers Players to Watch

  • Rowdy Tellez is hitting .228 with 18 doubles, 20 home runs and 34 walks.
  • Among qualifying hitters in baseball, Tellez ranks 127th in batting average, 114th in on-base percentage, and 45th in slugging.
  • Christian Yelich has a .358 on-base percentage while slugging .393. Both are team-highs. He has 16 doubles, four triples, eight home runs and 54 walks while batting .257.
  • Yelich ranks 70th in batting average, 29th in on base percentage, and 105th in slugging in baseball.
  • Yelich has safely hit in eight games in a row. During his last 10 outings he is batting .316 with four doubles, a triple, 10 walks and four RBI.
  • Willy Adames is batting .221 with 14 doubles, 20 home runs and 31 walks. He is leading the Brewers with 68 hits.
  • Adames takes a two-game hitting streak into this game. During his last five outings he is hitting .250 with two walks and three RBI.
  • Andrew McCutchen is hitting .254 with 15 doubles, 10 home runs and 31 walks.

Brewers Batting Stats (2022)

Player AB AVG R HR RBI OBP OPS
Christian Yelich 354 .257 64 8 35 .358 .751
Andrew McCutchen 335 .254 45 10 46 .320 .708
Rowdy Tellez 334 .228 40 20 64 .307 .768
Willy Adames 307 .221 53 20 55 .293 .756
Kolten Wong 262 .244 44 7 24 .330 .738
Luis Urías 254 .232 35 12 37 .323 .729
Hunter Renfroe 247 .243 33 17 39 .296 .794
Tyrone Taylor 235 .230 25 10 35 .277 .707
Omar Narváez 181 .232 15 3 17 .324 .672
Victor Caratini 141 .234 18 7 20 .355 .773

Red Sox Players to Watch

  • Xander Bogaerts leads Boston in OBP (.389) this season, fueled by 112 hits.
  • Bogaerts is seventh in batting average, ninth in on-base percentage and 53rd in slugging percentage among all hitters in MLB.
  • Alex Verdugo is batting .270 with a .376 slugging percentage and 51 RBI this year.
  • Among all qualifying hitters, Verdugo ranks 52nd in batting average, 109th in on-base percentage and 125th in slugging percentage.
  • J.D. Martinez has collected 96 base hits, an OBP of .358 and a slugging percentage of .462 this season.
  • Christian Vazquez is batting .280 with a .324 OBP and 40 RBI for Boston this season.

Red Sox Batting Stats (2022)

Player AB AVG R HR RBI OBP OPS
Alex Verdugo 367 .270 39 6 51 .310 .686
Xander Bogaerts 356 .315 56 8 42 .389 .847
J.D. Martínez 331 .290 51 9 38 .358 .820
Christian Vázquez 286 .280 31 8 40 .324 .754
Jackie Bradley Jr. 267 .206 19 3 28 .254 .565
Bobby Dalbec 249 .209 29 10 29 .283 .652
Franchy Cordero 210 .229 31 4 25 .308 .684
Jarren Duran 135 .237 18 1 7 .285 .663
Rob Refsnyder 94 .309 16 4 12 .385 .885
Kevin Plawecki 90 .189 9 1 6 .288 .555

Brewers vs Red Sox Player Props

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