Red Sox Vs Astros: ALCS Game 5 Betting Odds, Trends & Stats – October 20, 2021

Written By Staff on October 20, 2021

The Boston Red Sox (92-70) are at home for Game 5 of the ALCS against the Houston Astros (95-67) on Wednesday at 5:08 PM ET at Fenway Park. The teams are tied 2-2 in the series. Boston’s (-125 to win) Chris Sale and Houston’s (+105) Framber Valdez will take the mound first.

The betting insights and predictions in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of October 20, 2021, 4:00 PM ET. See the table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to bet at DraftKings Sportsbook.

Red Sox vs Astros Betting Odds

Pitching Matchup

Sale (BOS) Pitcher Valdez (HOU)
5 – 1 W/L 11 – 6
42.2 IP 134.2
3.16 ERA 3.14
1.310 WHIP 1.240
11.0 K/9 8.4
2.3 BB/9 3.8

Red Sox Probable Starter Chris Sale

  • In his most recent time out on Saturday against the Astros, the lefty went 2 2/3 innings, giving up one earned run while surrendering five hits.
  • The opposing Astros offense has the third-ranked slugging percentage (.445) and ranks ninth in MLB play with 221 home runs. They have a collective .268 batting average, and are first in the league with 1497 total hits and first in MLB play scoring 863 runs.
  • The Red Sox have a 6-2 record in Sale’s eight starts this season when they were the moneyline favorite.

Starting pitcher projections reflect team information as of October 20, 2021 at 4:40 PM ET and may change up to the start of game.

Astros Stats vs Sale

Player AB AVG H HR RBI OBP OPS
Michael Brantley 43 .186 8 0 4 .222 .455
José Altuve 32 .312 10 3 5 .353 .978
Carlos Correa 27 .222 6 1 4 .250 .583
Yuli Gurriel 15 .267 4 0 2 .312 .645
Alex Bregman 15 .333 5 2 2 .500 1.233
Martín Maldonado 12 .167 2 0 0 .286 .453
Aledmys Díaz 3 .333 1 0 0 .333 .666
Kyle Tucker 2 .000 0 0 0 .000 .000
Chas McCormick 1 1.000 1 0 0 1.000 2.000
Yordan Alvarez 1 1.000 1 0 1 .500 1.500

Astros Probable Starter Framber Valdez

  • The left-hander gave up two earned runs in 2 2/3 innings pitched on Saturday in his last outing, a matchup with the Red Sox.
  • The Red Sox rank fifth in MLB with 829 runs scored this season. They have a .261 batting average this campaign with 219 home runs (10th in the league).
  • His team has won 33.3% of his starts when they are underdogs on the moneyline (1-2).

Starting pitcher projections reflect team information as of October 20, 2021 at 4:40 PM ET and may change up to the start of game.

Red Sox Stats vs Valdez

Player AB AVG H HR RBI OBP OPS
Kike Hernández 13 .385 5 2 2 .385 1.231
Hunter Renfroe 10 .200 2 0 3 .273 .573
Rafael Devers 9 .444 4 0 0 .500 .944
Christian Arroyo 7 .286 2 0 0 .375 .661
J.D. Martinez 7 .286 2 0 0 .375 .661
Christian Vázquez 7 .143 1 0 0 .143 .286
Bobby Dalbec 6 .000 0 0 0 .000 .000
Xander Bogaerts 6 .333 2 0 1 .556 1.056
Alex Verdugo 5 .200 1 0 0 .200 .400
Kyle Schwarber 2 .000 0 0 0 .000 .000

Red Sox Betting Trends

  • The Red Sox score an average of 5.8 runs per home game and 4.5 per contest away from Fenway Park.
  • The Red Sox have the No. 5 offense in MLB play scoring 5.1 runs per game (829 total runs).
  • The Red Sox have compiled a 65-44 record in games they were favored on the moneyline (winning 59.6% of those games).
  • Boston is 52-31 (winning 62.7% of its games) when playing as a moneyline favorite of -125 or shorter.
  • In the 162 games oddsmakers have set an over/under for Boston, it has combined with opponents to go over the total 73 times (73-85-4).
  • Boston was favored on the moneyline for nine of its last 10 games, and finished 5-4 in those matchups.
RANK
OPERATOR
BONUS
INFO
ACTION
1
UP TO $1,050 FREE
New User Bonus. T&Cs Apply.
Special for bets on NFL Playoffs
Bet $5 & Win $280
$50 Free Bet on Deposit
Up to $1,000 Deposit Bonus
To Claim: Click Play Now
2
$1,001
First Bet Match
Up To $1,001 First Bet Match
Opt In for a Free NBA Jersey
Weekly Betting Promos
Use Promo Code: LEGALRF

Astros Betting Trends

  • The Astros lead MLB with 863 runs scored this season.
  • In 85 road games this season, they’ve scored 5.5 runs per contest compared to the 5.3 per game they average at home.
  • This season, the Astros have won 13 out of the 27 games, or 48.1%, in which they’ve been the underdog.
  • Houston has a record of 6-5, a 54.5% win rate, when they’re set as an underdog of +105 or more by sportsbooks this season.
  • So far this season, Houston and its opponents have hit the over in 83 of their 162 games with a total.
  • Houston has been the underdog once in the past 10 games and lost that contest.

Red Sox Players to Watch

  • Rafael Devers paces the Red Sox in home runs (38) and runs batted in (115).
  • Among qualified hitters in baseball, Devers ranks 18th in hits (166), 10th in HR (38), fourth in RBI (115), and eighth in SLG (.541).
  • Devers has hit safely in eight games in a row. During that streak he is batting .314 with four home runs, five walks and 11 RBIs.
  • J.D. Martinez is batting .284 with 42 doubles, three triples, 28 home runs and 55 walks.
  • Among qualifying hitters in baseball, Martinez ranks 25th in hits (162), 21st in RBI (99), 24th in AVG (.284), and first in SLG (.516).

Red Sox Batting Stats (2021)

Player AB AVG R HR RBI OBP OPS
Rafael Devers 591 .281 101 38 115 .354 .895
J.D. Martínez 570 .284 92 28 99 .348 .864
Alex Verdugo 544 .289 88 13 63 .351 .777
Xander Bogaerts 529 .295 90 23 79 .370 .863
Hunter Renfroe 521 .259 89 31 96 .315 .816
Kiké Hernández 508 .250 84 20 60 .337 .786
Christian Vázquez 458 .258 51 6 49 .308 .660
Bobby Dalbec 417 .240 50 25 78 .298 .792
Kyle Schwarber 399 .266 76 32 71 .374 .928
Travis Shaw 178 .191 14 6 28 .279 .616

Astros Players to Watch

  • Kyle Tucker has been key for Houston with 30 home runs, 92 RBI and a batting average of .294 this season.
  • Tucker ranks 17th in AVG (.294), and 10th in SLG (.557) among qualified hitters in MLB.
  • Yuli Gurriel’s batting average of .319 leads all Houston hitters this season.
  • Among qualified hitters, Gurriel ranks second in AVG (.319), sixth in OBP (.383), and 12th in hits (169) in the league.
  • Gurriel enters this game on a five-game hit streak. He’s hitting .421 over that span with one homer.

Astros Batting Stats (2021)

Player AB AVG R HR RBI OBP OPS
Jose Altuve 601 .278 117 31 83 .350 .839
Carlos Correa 555 .279 104 26 92 .366 .851
Yordan Alvarez 537 .277 92 33 104 .346 .877
Yuli Gurriel 530 .319 83 15 81 .383 .845
Kyle Tucker 506 .294 83 30 92 .359 .916
Michael Brantley 469 .311 68 8 47 .362 .799
Martín Maldonado 373 .172 40 12 36 .272 .572
Alex Bregman 348 .270 54 12 55 .355 .777
Aledmys Díaz 294 .259 28 8 45 .317 .722
Chas McCormick 284 .257 47 14 50 .319 .766

Red Sox vs Astros Player Props

Powered By Data Skrive using data from

Staff Avatar
Written by
Staff

View all posts by Staff