Red Sox Vs Astros: ALCS Game 4 Betting Odds, Trends & Stats – October 19, 2021

Written By Staff on October 19, 2021

The Boston Red Sox (92-70) and the Houston Astros (95-67) meet in Game 4 of the ALCS on Tuesday at 8:08 PM ET at Fenway Park. The Red Sox are ahead 2-1 in the series. Nick Pivetta starts for Boston (-125 to win) while Houston (+105) will counter with Zack Greinke.

The betting insights and predictions in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of October 19, 2021, 7:00 PM ET. See the table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to bet at DraftKings Sportsbook.

Red Sox vs Astros Betting Odds

Pitching Matchup

Pivetta (BOS) Pitcher Greinke (HOU)
9 – 8 W/L 11 – 6
155.0 IP 171.0
4.53 ERA 4.16
1.290 WHIP 1.170
10.2 K/9 6.3
3.7 BB/9 1.9

Red Sox Probable Starter Nick Pivetta

  • In his most recent time out — in relief on Sunday, Oct. 10 — the righty tossed four scoreless innings against the Rays while surrendering three hits.
  • He will take the hill against an Astros offense that is hitting .268 as a unit (first in the MLB). They are also slugging a collective .445 (third in the league) with 221 total home runs (ninth in MLB action).
  • The Red Sox have an 11-7 record in Pivetta’s 18 starts this season when they were favored on the moneyline.

Starting pitcher projections reflect team information as of October 19, 2021 at 7:38 PM ET and may change up to the start of game.

Astros Stats vs Pivetta

Player AB AVG H HR RBI OBP OPS
Yuli Gurriel 5 .200 1 0 1 .167 .367
Aledmys Díaz 5 .200 1 0 0 .200 .400
Alex Bregman 4 .250 1 0 0 .250 1.000
José Altuve 4 .250 1 0 0 .500 1.000
Kyle Tucker 3 .667 2 0 0 .667 1.667
Carlos Correa 3 .333 1 0 0 .333 1.000
Yordan Alvarez 2 .000 0 0 0 .333 .333
Martín Maldonado 2 .000 0 0 0 .000 .000
Jason Castro 2 .000 0 0 0 .000 .000

Astros Probable Starter Zack Greinke

  • The right-hander last pitched on Monday, Oct. 11 against the White Sox, throwing one scoreless inning of relief and allowing two hits.
  • The Red Sox have scored 829 runs this season, which ranks fifth in MLB. They are batting .261 for the campaign with 219 home runs, 10th in the league.
  • His team has won 42.9% of his starts when they are underdogs on the moneyline (3-4).

Starting pitcher projections reflect team information as of October 19, 2021 at 7:38 PM ET and may change up to the start of game.

Red Sox Stats vs Greinke (since 2007)

Player AB AVG H HR RBI OBP OPS
Hunter Renfroe 23 .304 7 3 6 .304 1.000
J.D. Martinez 18 .278 5 2 4 .316 .927
Kike Hernández 13 .231 3 2 6 .333 1.025
Travis Shaw 10 .300 3 1 3 .417 1.117
Alex Verdugo 8 .125 1 0 0 .222 .347
Kyle Schwarber 8 .125 1 0 0 .125 .250
Kevin Plawecki 6 .333 2 0 0 .333 .833
Danny Santana 5 .000 0 0 0 .000 .000
Rafael Devers 2 .500 1 0 0 .500 1.000
Christian Arroyo 2 .000 0 0 0 .000 .000

Red Sox Betting Trends

  • The Red Sox score an average of 5.9 runs per home game and 4.5 per contest away from Fenway Park.
  • The Red Sox are the fifth-highest scoring team in baseball averaging 5.1 runs per game (829 total).
  • The Red Sox have won 65 of the 109 games they were listed as the moneyline favorite this season (59.6%).
  • In games it has played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -125 or shorter, Boston has gone 52-31 (62.7%).
  • Boston has had an over/under set by bookmakers 162 times, and has combined with opponents to go over the total in 73 of those games (73-85-4).
  • Boston was the moneyline favorite for nine of its last 10 games, and went 5-4 in those matchups.
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Astros Betting Trends

  • The Astros have scored the most runs (863) in baseball so far this year.
  • In 84 road games this season, they’ve scored 5.4 runs per contest compared to the 5.3 per game they average at home.
  • This season, the Astros have been the underdog 27 times and won 13, or 48.1%, of those games.
  • Houston has a record of 6-5, a 54.5% win rate, when they’re set as an underdog of +105 or more by sportsbooks this season.
  • Houston and its opponents have hit the over in 83 of their 162 games with a total this season.
  • Over the past 10 games, Houston has been the underdog just once and lost that contest.

Red Sox Players to Watch

  • Rafael Devers paces the Red Sox with 38 home runs and 115 runs batted in.
  • Among the qualifying hitters in MLB play, Devers ranks 18th in hits (166), 10th in HR (38), fourth in RBI (115), and eighth in SLG (.541).
  • Devers enters this game on a seven-game hitting streak. Over that span he is batting .323 with four home runs, four walks and 11 RBIs.
  • J.D. Martinez is batting .284 with 42 doubles, three triples, 28 home runs and 55 walks.
  • Martinez ranks 25th in hits (162), 21st in RBI (99), 24th in AVG (.284), and first in SLG (.516) among the qualifying hitters in baseball.

Red Sox Batting Stats (2021)

Player AB AVG R HR RBI OBP OPS
Rafael Devers 591 .281 101 38 115 .354 .895
J.D. Martínez 570 .284 92 28 99 .348 .864
Alex Verdugo 544 .289 88 13 63 .351 .777
Xander Bogaerts 529 .295 90 23 79 .370 .863
Hunter Renfroe 521 .259 89 31 96 .315 .816
Kiké Hernández 508 .250 84 20 60 .337 .786
Christian Vázquez 458 .258 51 6 49 .308 .660
Bobby Dalbec 417 .240 50 25 78 .298 .792
Kyle Schwarber 399 .266 76 32 71 .374 .928
Travis Shaw 178 .191 14 6 28 .279 .616

Astros Players to Watch

  • Kyle Tucker has been key for Houston with 149 hits, an OBP of .359 plus a slugging percentage of .557.
  • Among qualified hitters in MLB, Tucker ranks 17th in AVG (.294), and 10th in SLG (.557).
  • Yuli Gurriel’s batting average of .319 leads all Houston hitters this season.
  • Among qualified hitters, Gurriel ranks second in AVG (.319), sixth in OBP (.383), and 12th in hits (169) in the league.

Astros Batting Stats (2021)

Player AB AVG R HR RBI OBP OPS
Jose Altuve 601 .278 117 31 83 .350 .839
Carlos Correa 555 .279 104 26 92 .366 .851
Yordan Alvarez 537 .277 92 33 104 .346 .877
Yuli Gurriel 530 .319 83 15 81 .383 .845
Kyle Tucker 506 .294 83 30 92 .359 .916
Michael Brantley 469 .311 68 8 47 .362 .799
Martín Maldonado 373 .172 40 12 36 .272 .572
Alex Bregman 348 .270 54 12 55 .355 .777
Aledmys Díaz 294 .259 28 8 45 .317 .722
Chas McCormick 284 .257 47 14 50 .319 .766

Red Sox vs Astros Player Props

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