Red Sox Vs Astros: ALCS Game 3 Betting Odds, Trends & Stats – October 18, 2021

Written By Staff on October 18, 2021

The Boston Red Sox (92-70) are at home for Game 3 of the ALCS against the Houston Astros (95-67) on Monday at 8:08 PM ET at Fenway Park. The teams are knotted up 1-1 in the series. Eduardo Rodriguez starts for Boston (-120 to win) while Houston (+100) will counter with Jose Urquidy.

The betting insights and predictions in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of October 18, 2021, 7:00 PM ET. See the table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to bet at DraftKings Sportsbook.

Red Sox vs Astros Betting Odds

Pitching Matchup

Rodríguez (BOS) Pitcher Urquidy (HOU)
13 – 8 W/L 8 – 3
157.2 IP 107.0
4.74 ERA 3.62
1.390 WHIP 0.990
10.6 K/9 7.6
2.7 BB/9 1.6

Red Sox Probable Starter Eduardo Rodríguez

  • Rodriguez (13-8) gets the starting nod for the Red Sox in his 32nd start of the season. He has a 4.74 ERA in 157 2/3 innings pitched, with 185 strikeouts.
  • The lefty’s last time out came on Monday, Oct. 11 against the Rays, when he threw five innings, surrendering two earned runs while giving up three hits.
  • He meets an Astros offense that ranks first in the league with 863 total runs scored while batting .268 as a squad. His opponent has a collective .445 slugging percentage (third in MLB action) and has hit a total of 221 home runs (ninth in the league).
  • The Red Sox have a 13-10 record in Rodríguez’s 23 starts this season when they were the moneyline favorite.

Starting pitcher projections reflect team information as of October 18, 2021 at 7:38 PM ET and may change up to the start of game.

Astros Stats vs Rodríguez

Player AB AVG H HR RBI OBP OPS
José Altuve 13 .385 5 1 2 .385 1.077
Alex Bregman 12 .417 5 2 3 .462 1.462
Aledmys Díaz 12 .250 3 0 0 .308 .558
Carlos Correa 10 .600 6 0 1 .733 1.433
Martín Maldonado 9 .222 2 1 1 .300 .856
Yuli Gurriel 8 .250 2 1 1 .250 .875
Jason Castro 8 .000 0 0 0 .000 .000
Michael Brantley 6 .167 1 1 1 .167 .834
Kyle Tucker 4 .250 1 0 0 .250 .500
Chas McCormick 2 .000 0 0 0 .333 .333

Astros Probable Starter Jose Urquidy

  • The Astros’ Urquidy (8-3) will make his 21st start of the season.
  • The right-hander last pitched on Sunday, Oct. 3 against the Athletics, throwing six innings and giving up three earned runs.
  • The Red Sox have scored 829 runs this season, which ranks fifth in MLB. They are batting .261 for the campaign with 219 home runs, 10th in the league.
  • His team is 2-1 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline underdog.

Starting pitcher projections reflect team information as of October 18, 2021 at 7:38 PM ET and may change up to the start of game.

Red Sox Stats vs Urquidy

Player AB AVG H HR RBI OBP OPS
Danny Santana 5 .000 0 0 0 .000 .000
Alex Verdugo 3 .333 1 0 1 .333 1.000
Kike Hernández 3 .000 0 0 0 .000 .000
Xander Bogaerts 3 .000 0 0 0 .000 .000
Rafael Devers 2 .000 0 0 0 .000 .000
Hunter Renfroe 2 .500 1 0 0 .500 1.500
J.D. Martinez 2 .000 0 0 0 .333 .333
Christian Vázquez 2 .500 1 0 0 .500 1.500

Red Sox Betting Trends

  • The Red Sox’s offense is averaging 5.8 runs in home games while pushing across 4.5 per game away from Fenway Park.
  • The Red Sox score the fifth-most runs in baseball (829 total, 5.1 per game).
  • The Red Sox have been favored on the moneyline 109 total times this season. They’ve gone 65-44 in those games.
  • Boston has a 56-36 record (winning 60.9% of its games) when it has played as a moneyline favorite of -120 or shorter.
  • In the 162 games bookmakers have set an over/under for Boston, it has combined with opponents to go over the total 73 times (73-85-4).
  • Boston was the moneyline favorite for nine of its last 10 games, and went 5-4 in those matchups.
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Astros Betting Trends

  • No team has scored more than the 863 runs the Astros have this season.
  • In 83 road games this season, they’ve scored 5.4 runs per contest compared to the 5.3 per game they average at home.
  • The Astros have entered the game as underdogs 27 times this season and won 13, or 48.1%, of those games.
  • Houston has entered 16 games this season as the underdog by +100 or more and is 9-7 in those contests.
  • Games involving Houston have gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 83 of 162 chances this season.
  • Houston has been the underdog once in the past 10 games and lost that contest.

Red Sox Players to Watch

  • Rafael Devers leads the Red Sox with 38 home runs and 115 runs batted in.
  • Among qualifying hitters in baseball, Devers’ 166 hits rank 18th, his 38 HR rank 10th, his 115 RBI rank fourth, and his .541 SLG ranks eighth.
  • Devers takes a six-game hitting streak into this matchup. During that streak he is hitting .333 with three home runs, three walks and 10 RBIs.
  • J.D. Martinez is batting .284 with 42 doubles, three triples, 28 home runs and 55 walks.
  • Among the qualified hitters in MLB, Martinez ranks 25th in hits (162), 21st in RBI (99), 24th in AVG (.284), and first in SLG (.516).

Red Sox Batting Stats (2021)

Player AB AVG R HR RBI OBP OPS
Rafael Devers 591 .281 101 38 115 .354 .895
J.D. Martínez 570 .284 92 28 99 .348 .864
Alex Verdugo 544 .289 88 13 63 .351 .777
Xander Bogaerts 529 .295 90 23 79 .370 .863
Hunter Renfroe 521 .259 89 31 96 .315 .816
Kiké Hernández 508 .250 84 20 60 .337 .786
Christian Vázquez 458 .258 51 6 49 .308 .660
Bobby Dalbec 417 .240 50 25 78 .298 .792
Kyle Schwarber 399 .266 76 32 71 .374 .928
Travis Shaw 178 .191 14 6 28 .279 .616

Astros Players to Watch

  • Yuli Gurriel leads Houston with a batting average of .319. He’s also hit 15 home runs with 81 RBI.
  • Among qualified hitters in MLB, Gurriel ranks second in AVG (.319), sixth in OBP (.383), and 12th in hits (169).
  • Carlos Correa has collected 155 hits this season and has an OBP of .366. He’s slugging .485 on the year.
  • Among qualified hitters, Correa ranks 21st in OBP (.366), and 18th in SLG (.485) in the league.

Astros Batting Stats (2021)

Player AB AVG R HR RBI OBP OPS
Jose Altuve 601 .278 117 31 83 .350 .839
Carlos Correa 555 .279 104 26 92 .366 .851
Yordan Alvarez 537 .277 92 33 104 .346 .877
Yuli Gurriel 530 .319 83 15 81 .383 .845
Kyle Tucker 506 .294 83 30 92 .359 .916
Michael Brantley 469 .311 68 8 47 .362 .799
Martín Maldonado 373 .172 40 12 36 .272 .572
Alex Bregman 348 .270 54 12 55 .355 .777
Aledmys Díaz 294 .259 28 8 45 .317 .722
Chas McCormick 284 .257 47 14 50 .319 .766

Red Sox vs Astros Player Props

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