PGA TOUR Golf Sleepers: 4 Potential RBC Heritage Longshot Picks

Written By John Haslbauer on April 11, 2023
RBC Heritage sleepers

Normally a Major hangover week for us golf fans, the RBC Heritage found new life on the 2023 PGA TOUR schedule. It’s been tapped with Designated Event status this year and includes a tantalizing $15M purse. Unlike the first six Designated Events of the year, we’ll see a markedly improved field at Harbour Town Golf Links. All of the PGA TOUR’s stars (outside of Rory McIlroy and Jason Day) will head from Augusta to Hilton Head for the weekend. Last week’s sleepers article identified T4-finisher Patrick Reed at long odds and a low DFS price, so we’ll look to continue that momentum here with these RBC Heritage sleeper picks.


One of Pete Dye’s most famous designs, Harbour Town Golf Links is your quintessential positional course. It rewards precision off the tee and severely penalizes wayward tee shots and approaches with its tight tree lines and tricky green-side bunkering. Standing at just 7,121 yards, this par-71 still poses a stern challenge to the field, with winning scores pushing beyond -13 only twice over the last seven years.

The list of past champions is filled with veteran plodders such as Matt Kuchar, Webb Simpson, and Jim Furyk. That said, Jordan Spieth proved last year that it is not necessary to simply fit the short and accurate archetype to find success on these grounds. There are many ways to attack Harbour Town, which lends itself to taking more chances on longshots, even in a field as strong as this.

For a deeper dive into the course, read my RBC Heritage preview. Let’s get to our RBC Heritage picks, with a focus on longshots and sleepers for your DFS lineups.


From a golf betting perspective, the cream rises to the top at these Designated Events, despite Kurt Kitayama’s surprise win at the Arnold Palmer Invitational last month. Unlike the other Designated Events, however, it’s fair to question the motives of some elites who would typically opt to skip this event immediately after a grueling week of play at the Masters. If so, that may open the door for more longshots to contend.

In terms of DFS, there is no shortage of players with proven history at Harbour Town nor a shortage of those who fit the profile of a short positional course. That creates many intriguing $6K-$7K options simply by way of more depth of talent competing in this event than usual.

Below, find my favorite value DFS sleepers and longshots for the 2023 RBC Heritage. Stats pulled across Last 36 Rounds unless otherwise noted.

Si Woo Kim (, $7,600)

Just continue to play Si Woo on Pete Dye courses, it’s as simple as that. The 2023 Sony Open champ picked up a pair of top-30 finishes on Dye tracks this season between The AmEx and THE PLAYERS, two events he won in the past. Of his 14 career top-five finishes, 11 came on positional courses under 7,200 yards. That trend checks out considering Kim has always been an accurate ball-striker throughout his career.

He’s No. 9 overall in my model this week, ranking top-25 in both SG: APP and Fairways Gained. He also ranks top 10 in the key stat categories of Prox: 125-200 and Comp Course History, which have proven to be most predictive of success at the RBC Heritage. Losing in a playoff to Satoshi Kodaira here in 2018, there’s no question Kim has the game to contend on this layout.

Tom Hoge (, $7,400)

The fairways are too narrow at Harbour Town to deem it a second shot golf course, but the short yardage gives players the option to take less than driver off the tee often. That thus places a premium on approach play to separate from the field. Naturally, it makes sense to go to the No. 1 player in the field in terms of SG: APP over the last 36 rounds, Tom Hoge. Hoge had an early exit from The Masters last weekend due to a cold putter, despite looking strong from tee to green. Jordan Spieth could say the same going into the 2022 RBC Heritage before his win, so I’ll chalk up a few extra days of prep as a positive for Hoge.

In his last appearance at a Pete Dye track, Hoge set the course record at THE PLAYERS with a Saturday 62 en route to a T3 finish. He’s risen to the occasion in Designated Events this year, also finishing T3 at the Sentry Tournament of Champions and T14 at the Genesis Invitational. Harbour Town should be an even better fit for his game, so he looks poised to improve on his career best T25 finish here in 2021.

Cam Davis (, $7,100)

One of the most underrated talents on the PGA TOUR, I’ve been patiently waiting for the right opportunity to jump in on Cam Davis after an uncharacteristically slow start to his 2023 season. A T6 at THE PLAYERS two starts ago is enough to get me back on board with the 2021 Rocket Mortgage Classic champ, as the ability to contend on a positional Dye design against a loaded field should translate well from TPC Sawgrass to Harbour Town.

We don’t need to speculate the course fit either, as Davis impressed in Hilton Head with finishes of T25 and T3 over his first two appearances. He seems to be at his best on less-than-driver courses, as Davis ranks top-30 in both Comp Course History and SG: Ball Striking on courses under 7,200 yards. He’s worth an outright flier for the upside at his long price this week.

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Tyler Duncan (, $6,900)

When we dip into the $6K range on Draft Kings, I’m typically looking for the safest players with the highest floors and best combination of course history, course fit, and recent form. There are plenty of viable options around Duncan in this range, but his baseline in all three of those categories makes him the player I’m most comfortable going to in the $6K range this week.

Few courses on the PGA TOUR place more of an emphasis on both Driving Accuracy and Greens In Regulation than Harbour Town. Duncan is one of only three players in this field to rank top 15 in both categories. He enters in promising form, gaining 1+ strokes OTT and APP in each of his last four starts. He shouldn’t be too intimidated by the Elevated status of the event either, already making it through the cut at THE PLAYERS (T54) and Genesis Invitational (T33). With two T3 finishes over his last five starts and a T12 finish at the 2022 RBC Heritage, I like Duncan’s prospects to make it through the cut this week.

Best of luck if you choose to bet these PGA TOUR golf sleepers!


Shop the best odds for PGA TOUR golf sleepers and more highly-touted players across sportsbooks here, including for top 10, top 20, etc.

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Written by
John Haslbauer

John Haslbauer writes about golf betting and advanced golf metrics for He is a passionate golf fan, golf writer, and (casual) golfer. A graduate at Syracuse University, John works out of Jersey City as a Director of Media Strategy for HBO and HBO Max. He created the website at the start of 2021 and is active on Twitter (@PGATout). No, he is not a tout. The Twitter handle is a joke. Touts are lame. We hate touts.

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