Exploring Possible PGA Tour Betting Trends Ahead Of RBC Heritage

Posted By Esten McLaren on June 16, 2020
RBC Heritage odds Justin Thomas

Looking to place a bet on the 2020 RBC Heritage? It’s important to first properly assess the Charles Schwab Challenge and Daniel Berger’s playoff win over Collin Morikawa. The first PGA Tour tournament in nearly three months featured a star-studded field and a thrilling Sunday with several lead changes and many of the top golfers from the Official World Golf Ranking in contention until the very end.

Many of those same names make the trip to Harbour Town Golf Links in Hilton Head, South Carolina. World No. 1 Rory McIlroy remains the odds-on betting favorite at DraftKings Sportsbook and FanDuel Sportsbook, but does he – or any of the other top favorites – warrant a pre-tournament bet?

DraftKings special RBC Heritage offers

DraftKings will be running numerous special offers throughout the RBC Heritage. DK Sportsbook users will receive a 30% profit boost on one LIVE bet for each of the first two rounds of the tournament. For Round 3 of the tournament on Saturday, users will get an additional 30% profit boost. Get started here.

Top RBC Heritage betting sites

Rank
DFS Provider
Bonus
Features
Click To Claim
1
$520
Total Bonus Offer
$20 Free Play On First Deposit
Plus 20% deposit match up to $500
#1 in Daily Fantasy Sports.
2
$5 Free
No Deposit Required
$5 Free
$5 More On Deposit
Watch Sports, Play Fantasy, Win Cash!

Charles Schwab Challenge recap

Berger, the 2014-15 PGA Tour Rookie of the Year, outlasted an incredibly strong field for his first win since 2017.

Each of the top five golfers from the OWGR was in last week’s field as pre-tournament betting favorites. Justin Thomas (then No. 4) did the best of that group with a T-10 result at minus-11. Dustin Johnson and Jon Rahm missed the cut. Brooks Koepka and McIlroy finished in a tie for 32nd with six other golfers. Berger entered the week with odds of +6000 and returned a profit of $600 on a $10 bet.

The biggest takeaway from a betting perspective is to hold off on betting favorites until the event is underway. These exceptionally strong fields and each player being rested and healthy is going to clog the leaderboards into late Sunday afternoon.

Numbers for McIlroy, Rahm, DeChambeau, and Thomas are likely to become more profitable if they fall down by a couple of strokes in the early rounds, especially if there are prominent names ahead of them.

Official World Golf Rankings changes

Berger vaulted from No. 107 to No. 31 in the OWGR with his victory. After closing 2019 ranked 154th, he has now made the cut in seven straight events with four consecutive top-10 finishes. He is riding an active streak of 28 straight rounds of par or better.

Morikawa saw a significant jump as well, as a result of his runner-up finish. He climbed from No. 44 to No. 27. Bubba Watson went from 53rd to 45th in the world with his T-7 finish, and Jason Kokrak went from No. 72 to No. 58 with a T-3. Bryson DeChambeau went from No. 13 to No. 12, Xander Schauffele went from No. 12 to No. 10, Patrick Reed moves from No. 7 to No. 6 and Thomas was bumped from No. 4 to No. 3.

Phil Mickelson was among the biggest fallers with a missed cut. He went from No. 61 to 66. Several golfers who were inactive last week, such as Tiger Woods and Tommy Fleetwood, suffered slight drops.

RBC Heritage betting odds

McIlroy still leads the way this week at +1200 at DraftKings. Rahm slipped only slightly to +1800, while Johnson and Koepka have fallen all the way to +4500 and share the 17th-best odds.

Meanwhile, Berger has soared to +3500. Morikawa is +2800, Schauffele is +2000 and DeChambeau is the second-biggest favorite at +1400. All three finished in the top 3 last week.

C.T. Pan won this event last year at +12500 odds and with a world ranking of 111th. The event had a Strength of Field rating of 460, but that number is expected to rise significantly as a result of considerably stronger competition. The Strength of Field of the 2020 Charles Schwab Challenge was rated at 713 while the 2019 event, won by Na, had a Strength of Field of just 377. For comparison, the 2019 Masters had a SOF of 796.

It’s best to avoid both the favorites and longshots until play and odds normalize. Focus instead on players from near the top of the OWGR with inflated odds for value bets.

Winner

Game
06/18/2020
(Eastern Time)
(EST)
Rory McIlroy
Bet now
+1200
Bet now
+1200
Bet now
+1200
Bryson Dechambeau
Bet now
+1400
Bet now
+1500
Bet now
+1400
Justin Thomas
Bet now
+1600
Bet now
+1700
Bet now
+1600
Jon Rahm
Bet now
+1800
Bet now
+1900
Bet now
+1800
Xander Schauffele
Bet now
+2000
Bet now
+2100
Bet now
+2000
Collin Morikawa
Bet now
+2800
Bet now
+2700
Bet now
+2800
Hideki Matsuyama
Bet now
+3000
Bet now
+2800
Bet now
+3000
Patrick Reed
Bet now
+3000
Bet now
+3000
Bet now
+3000
Justin Rose
Bet now
+3000
Bet now
+3000
Bet now
+3000
Webb Simpson
Bet now
+3000
Bet now
+2300
Bet now
+2500
Daniel Berger
Bet now
+3500
Bet now
+3800
Bet now
+4000
Jordan Spieth
Bet now
+3500
Bet now
+3200
Bet now
+3500
Sungjae Im
Bet now
+3500
Bet now
+3000
Bet now
+3000
Gary Woodland
Bet now
+3500
Bet now
+3500
Bet now
+3500
Tyrrell Hatton
Bet now
+4000
Bet now
+5500
Bet now
+5000
Matt Kuchar
Bet now
+4000
Bet now
+3800
Bet now
+4500
Tony Finau
Bet now
+4500
Bet now
+5500
Bet now
+5000
Dustin Johnson
Bet now
+4500
Bet now
+4100
Bet now
+4000
Brooks Koepka
Bet now
+4500
Bet now
+3500
Bet now
+4000
Jason Kokrak
Bet now
+5000
Bet now
+7000
Bet now
+6600
Matthew Fitzpatrick
Bet now
+5500
Bet now
+6000
Bet now
+6600
Esten McLaren Avatar
Written by
Esten McLaren

View all posts by Esten McLaren