RBC Heritage Odds & Betting Preview: Everything To Know For Harbour Town Golf Links

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Written By John Haslbauer | Last Updated
RBC Heritage odds

Another week of PGA Tour action brings us to Harbour Town Golf Links, with the 2025 RBC Heritage next on tap. Compare RBC Heritage odds at the best sports betting sites to increase your potential PGA Tour golf betting payouts. Scottie Scheffler, Collin Morikawa, and Ludvig Aberg are the top favorites for this upcoming tournament.

The RBC Heritage is constantly tasked with the most brutal follow-up act in golf — the Masters. However, that task is getting more manageable as it’s taken on new status as a signature event for the third consecutive year. Like the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am, the RBC Heritage significantly improved its field strength, as many of the game’s best decided to stick around.

Like many of the other short and positional courses we’ve learned on the PGA Tour, Harbour Town Golf Links in Hilton Head, South Carolina, offers a repeatable formula of driving accuracy, SG: APP, and SG: ARG. Here’s a look ahead at everything you can expect from Harbour Town Golf Links ahead of the 2025 RBC Heritage.

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THE FIELD AT A GLANCE

Just 142 miles southeast of Augusta, it’s not asking too much for players to stick around after the Masters. While some may battle a mental hangover, the last four winners of this event did so after competing at the Masters. If Scottie Scheffler could win the Masters and RBC Heritage in successive weeks (while expecting his first child), the rest of the field should carry no “hangover” excuse to Harbour Town.

With its newfound signature event status, this field of 71 will be one of the strongest and most concentrated in RBC Heritage history. Twenty-six of the OWGR top-30 players will tee up in Harbour Town this week, with Rory McIlroy and Hideki Matsuyama as the only eligible PGA Tour players inside the top 30 who are absent. That’s pretty good foresight from McIlroy to take this one off.

There will be no open qualifying, but four final spots in the field remain open until after the Masters. Those are reserved for Sponsor’s Invitations and the winner of the Masters, if not already qualified.

This event typically drew late withdrawals after the Masters weighed in. Still, Scottie Scheffler, Collin Morikawa, Xander Schauffele, and Ludvig Aberg are expected to highlight the field.

Scottie Scheffler returns as champion after continuing his super-human form from the 2024 Masters in dominant fashion. Matt Fitzpatrick and Jordan Spieth will join him as past champions in this week’s field.

INTRODUCTION TO HARBOUR TOWN GOLF LINKS

Harbour Town is perhaps the most straightforward course to handicap on the PGA Tour. A clear trend has dominated: drive it straight, strike your mid-irons at an elite level, and scramble well around the greens.

Historically, against comparatively weaker fields, this formula opened contention up to more grizzled veterans and essentially removed any distance advantage. The last 10 winners averaged 32 years old, with six winning at 35-plus. No winners checked in under the age of 27.

Course fit prevails over recent form this week. Experience at Harbour Town and other comparable positional courses may provide a distinct advantage over raw ball striking ability.

For Harbour Town course specs, hole-by-hole breakdown with yardages, and past RBC Heritage winners with their pre-tournament odds, visit our RBC Heritage odds page.

EVENT HISTORY AND COURSE COMPS

Players who routinely performed best at the RBC Heritage should help point to who contends this week. Its newfound status as a signature event does add a concentration of talent this tournament had not seen before 2023. With such a different caliber of field in store this week, I’m taking any past results at the RBC Heritage with a grain of salt.

Looking at recent course history, 16 players have multiple T15 finishes over the last five years: Patrick Cantlay, Collin Morikawa, Scottie Scheffler, Justin Thomas, Sepp Straka, Shane Lowry, Russell Henley, Tommy Fleetwood, Corey Conners, JT Poston, Jordan Spieth, Sungjae Im, Brian Harman, Sahith Theegala, Matt Fitzpatrick, and Cam Davis.

Moreover, 13 players made the cut in each appearance over the last five years (min. three starts): Collin Morikawa, Justin Thomas, Daniel Berger, Corey Conners, Jordan Spieth, Justin Rose, Gary Woodland, Wyndham Clark, Brian Harman, Tony Finau, Christiaan Bezuidenhout, Sahith Theegala, and Xander Schauffele.

The Big 4: Scheffler, Fitzpatrick, Spieth, and Cantlay

There is a clear four-headed monster of elite talents with excellent course history at Harbour Town. All three have won or found themselves in a playoff over the last three years. Cantlay has been a constant in the previous three, but he is still searching for his first career RBC Heritage win this week, following three consecutive top-3 finishes at this event.

You’ll hear the narrative on repeat that Harbour Town is Matt Fitzpatrick’s favorite place in the world. He grew up playing golf here on holiday, and it’s the reason he still keeps the signature lighthouse head cover in his bag.

Looking at total strokes gained at Harbour Town over the last 10 years, the top 10 players in course history are Patrick Cantlay, JT Poston, Scottie Scheffler, Matt Fitzpatrick, Cam Davis, Daniel Berger, Jordan Spieth, Brian Harman, Collin Morikawa, and Russell Henley.

Course Comps

We now know this type of course: short, positional, target golf. It’s a rare opportunity for shorter hitters to contend and the type of course where Webb Simpson archetypes repeatedly find success. 

With so many repeat names on the RBC Heritage leaderboard over the years — and a persistent need for driving accuracy and proximity from 125-200 – there is a particular profile of a player who can lean on their precise ball striking for consistency here. However, with so many new faces in this year’s field, comp course history will prove to be an even stronger indicator of success than course history itself.

Pete Dye courses tend to mimic a consistent design philosophy that rewards a tactical approach off the tee and penalizes misfires on approach. Of Pete Dye’s designs, TPC Sawgrass, TPC River Highlands, and Stadium Course serve as the top Dye comps to Harbour Town.

Courses that force the field to take the driver out of their hands and reward accuracy off the tee and on approach should also serve as excellent comp reference points. Pebble Beach, Colonial CC,  Waialae CC, Sedgefield CC, Sea Island Resort, and El Camaleon each embody those characteristics well.

Combine performance across this long list of shorter, positional comp courses together, and the top 10 players in comp course history from this week’s field include Scottie Scheffler, Justin Thomas, Xander Schauffele, Daniel Berger, Russell Henley, Patrick Cantlay, Sungjae Im, JT Poston, Viktor Hovland, and Christiaan Bezuidenhout.

KEY STATS TO CONSIDER

  • SG: APP / GIRs gained
  • SG: ARG / scrambling
  • Fairways gained
  • P4: 400-450
  • Prox 125-200
  • SG: putting (Bermuda)
  • SG: ball striking (<7,200 yard courses)
  • Course history and comp course history

The executive summary to approaching RBC Heritage odds suggests refining your list to elite players in SG: APP, SG: ARG, and fairways gained. It has been that cut-and-dry formula to predict success at this event. Just seven players rate out of the top 30 in SG: APP & SG: ARG and above-average in fairways gained: Patrick Cantlay, Daniel Berger, Collin Morikawa, Russell Henley, Shane Lowry, Keegan Bradley, and Robert MacIntyre.

Taking a deeper dive into each of the key stats this week, the top 10 players in SG: APP, the most critical stat of the week, are JJ Spaun, Sepp Straka, Collin Morikawa, Justin Thomas, Shane Lowry, Nick Taylor, Scottie Scheffler, Xander Schauffele, Sami Valimaki, and Tom Hoge.

Unique to Harbour Town, it’s rare to find many approaches beyond 200 yards. Only 20% of shots came from this range in 2024. The 125-200 yard range has been the sweet spot in this event, with a concentration of about 30% of shots coming from 175-200 yards. The top 10 players in weighted proximity from 125-200 yards are Joe Highsmith, Scottie Scheffler, Sepp Straka, Xander Schauffele, Will Zalatoris, Tom Hoge, Gary Woodland, Si Woo Kim, Shane Lowry, and Viktor Hovland.

Small Greens, Easy Fairways

With these greens being among the smallest on tour, short-game proves increasingly important to scramble for pars on errant approaches. The top 10 players in weighted SG: ARG & Scrambling are Russell Henley, Min Woo Lee, Brian Campbell, Michael Kim, Andrew Novak, Sungjae Im, Justin Thomas, Daniel Berger, Patrick Rodgers, and Collin Morikawa.

It’s not entirely necessary to model fairways gained this week. The field should inherently find more accuracy when clubbing down for these forced layups. Instead, I’m looking to SG: ball striking on courses under 7,200 yards to identify the best players at clubbing down on positional courses. The top 10 in this category are Scottie Scheffler, Shane Lowry, Sepp Straka, Collin Morikawa, Tom Hoge, Aaron Rai, Viktor Hovland, Ludvig Aberg, and Xander Schauffele.

Looking at the correlation charts this week, we see a notable dip in the importance of SG: OTT and P4: 450-500 relative to the tour average. Driving Distance and Prox 200+ are also rated as the two least correlated stats with success for this event. Instead, P4: 400-450, SG: Short Game / SG: ARG, and SG: APP climb this week.

Top-10 Correlated Stats with SG: TOT
Top-10 Correlated Stats with SG: TOT at Harbour Town

Seven players in the field rank above average in each of the above key stat categories: Scottie Scheffler, Xander Schauffele, Collin Morikawa, Justin Thomas, Patrick Cantlay, Bud Cauley, and Brian Harman.

PLAYER SPOTLIGHT: shane lowry

Shane Lowry shoots record-tying 62 to get in contention at PGA Championship  - PGA TOUR

If it’s a golf course with “Links” in the name, you better believe I’m looking Lowry’s way. Harbour Town Golf Links is far from a proper British links setup but still embodies many of the same characteristics, emphasizing control off-the-tee and intervention of gusting coastal winds. Lowry has transcended into one of the most pure flushers on the PGA Tour in 2025, ranking No. 3 in this loaded field regarding SG: approach. Elite approach play at a coastal, positional Pete Dye venue is table stakes, so he should have a distinct edge coming into the 2025 RBC Heritage.

Statistically, this has been the best season of Shane Lowry’s career, averaging 1.96 strokes gained per round. As such, it feels inevitable that his first individual stroke play to win since the 2019 Open Championship will come soon, as he’s posted four top-10 finishes over his first seven starts of the year. If I could draw up one golf course that best suits Lowry’s game, it would have to be Harbour Town Golf Links.

In lesser form, Lowry has already delivered three top-10 finishes at this event. This year, he’ll enter with the top-five ranks in driving accuracy, SG: approach, scrambling, and SG: ball striking (<7,200 yard courses). It’s beginning to feel like now or never that Lowry will pick up his next PGA Tour win, as all the stars seem to be aligning for him at this setup.

2025 RBC HERITAGE ODDS: DFS PLAYER POOL

With all the course-fit profiles in mind, I’m leaning early toward the below player pool. I’m also looking their way in the 2025 RBC Heritage odds. I’ve broken the list by projected pricing/odds tier for DraftKings.

UNDERDOG GOLF DRAFT RANKINGS TIERS

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Tier 1

Scottie Scheffler
Collin Morikawa
Ludvig Aberg

Tier 2

Shane Lowry
Tommy Fleetwood
Patrick Cantlay
Corey Conners
Russell Henley
Justin Thomas

Tier 3

Aaron Rai
Robert MacIntyre
Keegan Bradley
Daniel Berger
Sepp Straka

Tier 4

Bud Cauley
Brian Harman
Maverick McNealy
Sahith Theegala

Tier 5

Tom Hoge
Joe Highsmith

RBC HERITAGE MODEL RESULTS & BREAKDOWN

In my model this week, I’m emphasizing SG: APP, comp course history, prox: 125-200, SG: ball striking (<7,200-yard courses), SG: APP, and SG: T2G (L12 rounds), followed by a more balanced mix of fairways gained, SG: ARG, scrambling, SG: P (L36, Bermuda), GIRs gained, and Par-4: 400-450.

Scottie Scheffler is in the field, and McIlroy is not, so naturally, he’s once again the No. 1 player in my model. The defending RBC Heritage champion, Scheffler, feels much less of a world-beater than he did a year ago. Despite being a factor in every tournament thus far in 2025, he’s still searching for his first PGA Tour win this year, and Harbour Town is a setup that has historically leveled the playing field for any top approach marksmen who can spike for four rounds.

After Scheffler, my model’s top 10 is rounded out by Russell Henley, Collin Morikawa, Shane Lowry, Justin Thomas, Sepp Straka, JJ Spaun, Patrick Cantlay, Daniel Berger, and Bud Cauley.

When 2025 RBC Heritage odds open, I’m looking for exposure to the best ball strikers with a proven history on positional courses. I’ll watch a few of Collin Morikawa, Ludvig Åberg, Shane Lowry, and Russell Henley. Check back in later this week for more updates. Best of luck navigating 2025 RBC Heritage odds!

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Photo by Chris Carlson, Associated Press

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