The RBC Heritage at Harbour Town in Hilton Head, South Carolina has historically been a calming breather after the passion and intensity of the Masters. Just a 2.5-hour drive to the coast, a select few players would make the trip after competing in Augusta, but most top names would rest with a big schedule upcoming. But the PGA TOUR didn’t give them much of a choice this year. With the RBC Heritage chosen as an elevated event, the top names in golf are competing for a $20 million purse this week. RBC Heritage odds show just how many big names are still in contention heading into a tight final round.
Tournament Recap Through First Three Rounds
Harbour Town is an interesting place to hold an elevated event on the PGA TOUR. While many of the biggest tournaments on TOUR often bring the best players to the top of the leaderboard, the RBC Heritage has quite an interesting list of winners throughout its history. But much of that can be credited to the field often being quite weak. Looking at the RBC Heritage odds board through three rounds, you’ll see many of the best names in golf have come to play this week for another massive purse.
It’s also fair to say the big names competing at the top fit the type of test Harbour Town presents. Matthew Fitzpatrick leads by one shot heading into Sunday after a third-round 63. Fitzpatrick’s family often vacationed to Hilton Head when he was a kid, and he’s played well at this course in his career.
Right behind him is Patrick Cantlay, who is one of the big names that has made this tournament a part of his schedule for many years. Cantlay finished runner-up last year and has added another pair of third-place finishes at Harbour Town.
In solo third is Jordan Spieth, the defending champion and a player who showed up to Harbour Town three years in a row from 2013-2015 and finished 9th, 12th and 11th.
The top of the leaderboard is three huge names on TOUR who have accepted this short, tight, unique test and have the history to back it. They also easily lead the RBC Heritage odds board despite some strong names in contention behind them. Among the players at 11 under and three behind are recent Valspar winner Taylor Moore, Scottie Scheffler and Tommy Fleetwood. Rickie Fowler, Xander Schauffele and former RBC winner Matt Kuchar are at 10 under and four shots behind.
Final Round PGA TOUR Golf Bets To Consider
Winner: Jordan Spieth
Best Odds Still Available: +600
The defending champion has gotten better in every round so far at Harbour Town this week. After starting with a solid 68, he’s improved by one shot each day, and if he’s able to do that again on Sunday, he has a fantastic chance to take home the plaid jacket once again.
While Fitzpatrick had the round of the day on Saturday and leads Spieth by two, we know how hard it can be to follow up a fantastic round like that. The Englishman has also battled inconsistency all year, so it’s hard to trust his ball striking on a nervy Sunday.
Spieth has gained in both ball striking categories in each of the three rounds. He’s ninth in Strokes Gained: Approach for the tournament. Perhaps most important for Spieth is the putter. He’s got the flat stick rolling so far with 3.18 strokes gained on the greens through three rounds.
At this price, I slightly prefer Spieth over Cantlay to do the job on Sunday. Spieth’s irons have been fantastic as of late. It’s probably a toss-up between the two, but Cantlay has surprisingly struggled on the greens himself as of late. After an exhausting Masters week where his putter cost him a chance at a win, we could see it become an issue again for the Harbour Town victory.
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Winner/Top-Five Finish: Taylor Moore
Best Odds Still Available: +2500, +280
Taylor Moore sits in a similar position as he was in a few weeks ago when he won his first PGA TOUR title at the Valspar. In a tie for fourth sandwiched between some massive names, Moore is being overlooked as a potential winner, but that simply shouldn’t be the case.
We saw him take out some bigger names at Valspar, and he’s once again got the putter rolling hot with a chance to win an elevated event at Harbour Town. The Oklahoma product is comfortably in first this week in putting with 7.59 strokes gained in just three rounds. That’s not a fluke. He’s one of the better putters on TOUR, and the ball striking has been good enough to supplement it. Moore gained 1.32 on approach on Saturday.
This is a great price on the RBC Heritage odds board to both win and finish top five for one of the hottest players on TOUR who is well on his way to becoming a big name. Moore has an excellent short game and is starting to show upside with his irons.
Top-10 Finish: Russell Henley
Best Odds Still Available: +230
I liked Henley a lot this week, but the price was a bit too much for me. After his huge week in Augusta where he finished 4th for his best Masters performance, Henley showed some fatigue in round one with a disappointing 72. But he’s been one of the best on the course over the last two rounds with a pair of 66’s to boost him into a tie for 16th.
Henley has done it with excellent iron play and a solid putter on these Bermuda greens he knows well. As one of the best short-course players on the PGA TOUR, Henley’s current form and history on this track makes him a real threat to make another run on Sunday. At just one shot back of a top-10 finish as things stand, these are favorable odds for Henley to log another great finish in the south.
RBC Heritage Odds
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