2024 PGA TOUR Golf Bets: RBC Heritage Final Thoughts, Betting Card, OAD

The 2024 PGA TOUR golf season continues, with Harbour Town Golf Links next on tap to host the RBC Heritage in Hilton Head Island, South Carolina, beginning Thursday. Scottie Scheffler, Rory McIlroy, and Xander Schauffele headline among RBC Heritage bets this week, as John Haslbauer provides his favorite picks among all the golf odds for this tourney. Below, you’ll find the best odds across betting sites for each player.

It’s a Major hangover week, as the 2024 RBC Heritage is tasked to pick up the pieces left behind by Scottie Scheffler’s momentous win at The Masters last week. In order to keep that momentum going, however, the PGA TOUR has elevated this event for the second year in a row to Signature Event status. That means a higher purse and limited field of the best players on the PGA TOUR.

The convergence of an elite field with a classic, positional venue like Harbour Town Golf Links creates some interesting decisions to be made from a betting standpoint. The premium skillsets of driving the ball long and straight, and precision with approaches beyond 200 yards are not at all applicable to find success here this week, which explains why veteran plodders like Satoshi Kodaira, Wes Bryan, and Jim Furyk have RBC Heritage wins to their names. Especially in contrast to the skillsets needed to thrive at Augusta National last week, the RBC Heritage provides a great bounce-back opportunity for accurate course managers.

Below, we’ll go through my final RBC Heritage bets. Click the odds anywhere in this article to place RBC Heritage wagers. For a full breakdown of the tournament and course, visit my RBC Heritage preview. 

RBC Heritage ODDS: THE FAVORITES

Click on any of RBC Heritage odds below for the best available prices across sportsbooks in your state. Navigate to my longshots post for more golf DFS picks and considerations.

HOW I BUILT MY RBC Heritage BETTING CARD

Admittedly, wishful thinking had me hoping Scottie Scheffler would have withdrawn by now to prioritize spending time with his imminently due pregnant wife. Alas, he’s still in the field and will force the rest of the field to bring their A-game to get past him. Scheffler can win at any golf course on planet Earth right now, but we can take some solace in the fact that this is an event he has actively avoided up until his T11 here last year, and it’s constant forced layups off-the-tee should mitigate one of his great advantages.

If this becomes a fairway-to-green contest, that opens it up to a much wider list of potential contenders if they can regularly keep the ball in play off-the-tee and out-putt Scottie Scheffler on the greens. I’ve prioritized players who fit that bill when piecing together my betting card this week.

From a unit allocation standpoint, it’s back to business as usual for my weekly stake at the 2024 RBC Heritage.

• Outrights – 3.5U in to pay 25U each
• FRL – 0.5U in to pay out 10U+ each
• Full Tournament Matchups – 1U in to pay out 2U
• Props – 1.5U in to pay out 3U+ each

Valero TEXAS OPEN BETS: OUTRIGHTS (3.5 UNITS)

Patrick Cantlay

My Bet: +2000
Best Available Odds:

You won’t find another player who is more due to win on a positional Pete Dye course than Patrick Cantlay. Over his last 15 starts across Harbour Town, The Stadium Course, and TPC River Highlands, Cantlay has amassed 14 top-15 finishes. The consummate course strategist, Cantlay has always delivered a thoughtful gameplan when navigating a thinker’s golf course like Harbour Town. While many questioned his decision to take a full month off prior to The Masters, he quelled any lingering concerns about the state of his game with a solid T22 showing, in which he was No. 13 in SG: T2G.

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Cameron Young

My Bet: +3300
Best Available Odds:

After a demoralizing defeat to Peter Malnati at the Valspar Championship, Young has continued to add fuel to his reputation as a non-winner on the PGA TOUR. But with each new top-five finish on his resume comes a heightened feeling of inevitability that he will have his moment soon. One of the most talented ball-strikers in the world of golf, Harbour Town may mitigate Young’s distance advantage, but he has all the shots in his back to navigate such a tricky course. With four top-10s over his last seven starts, Young is one of the hottest players in the field leading into this week and will look to improve on his career-best T3 finish at the 2022 RBC Heritage.

Brian Harman

My Bet: +5000
Best Available Odds:

I never once considered backing Brian Harman at Augusta National’s 7,700+ yard behemoth. The reigning Open Champion is at his best on courses where accuracy and short game are rewarded, which makes Harbour Town the ideal bounce-back spot for him. Fresh off a runner-up finish at THE PLAYERS last month, Harman has an exceptional track record on positional Pete Dye courses. At the RBC Heritage, he’s placed top-15 on four occasions, including twice over the last three years.

Russell Henley

My Bet: +5500
Best Available Odds:

When we talk about Scottie Scheffler’s opponents who can conceivably out-gain him from fairway-to-green on a venue that removes all distance advantage, Russell Henley falls squarely at the top of that list for me. Ranking No. 4 in my model this week, Henley is elite in the key categories of Driving Accuracy, SG: APP, and Comp Course History, which have always been predictive of success to come at the RBC Heritage. With a pair of top-20s over the last three years here, Henley’s improved putting form in 2024 should lead to better results this week.

Cam Davis

My Bet: +7000
Best Available Odds:

A bit of an enigma in the stat modeling world, Cam Davis has a weapon of a driver but has proven to play his best golf on positional venues that call for a more conservative approach off the tee. At the RBC Heritage, Davis’ history includes a T25, T7, and T3 over his first three career appearances. With back-to-back top-20s leading into this week, including an impressive T12 to secure his place in the 2025 Masters, Davis is riding high into a comfort course this week.

Shane Lowry

My Bet: +7500
Best Available Odds:

I was fortunate to capitalize on an obvious misprice with this number on Lowry when he was first announced as a Sponsor’s Invite on Monday. Subjectively, I always feel like Sponsor’s Invites play with a little something extra to prove. They need to actively apply for a spot in the field and have a responsibility to make those running the tournament feel they made the right decision to include them. Harbour Town is an ideal fit for Lowry’s game, as he thrives in driving accuracy, approach play, and touch around the green. He has four career top-10s at this event and enters in great form with two top-5s over his last four starts.

RBC Heritage BETS: FIRST-ROUND LEADER (0.5 UNITS)

Russell Henley

My Bet: +3500
Best Available Odds:

Rule No. 1 of betting Russell Henley outright: make sure you have a FRL insurance policy. There’s no question Harbour Town suits Henley’s game of accuracy off-the-tee and precision with mid-irons, and his putting continues to trend better and better as he returns to familiar Bermuda greens.

Cam Davis

My Bet: +5000
Best Available Odds:

Cam Davis can string birdies together like few others on the PGA TOUR, but is especially interesting on a course like Harbour Town where he has seen so much prior success. He’ll enter Thursday in hot form coming off of a T12 showing at The Masters last week.

Mackenzie Hughes

My Bet: +7000
Best Available Odds:

Hughes is coming in hot to Harbour Town with back to back top-15 finishes over his last two starts. A runner up finisher in two of the last three years at the RSM Classic, he’s proven to be dangerous on short, coastal, Bermuda-based courses.

Emiliano Grillo

My Bet: +8000
Best Available Odds:

Grillo has an excellent course history at Harbour Town and continues to profile well for positional courses with an emphasis on driving accuracy and top-tier approach play. With an elevated putting baseline in 2024, he looks poised for another hot start out the gates on Thursday.

RBC HERITAGE BETS: PROPS (2.5 UNITS)

Full Tournament Matchup: Patrick Cantlay > Tommy Fleetwood

My Bet: +100

If we cast aside what the immediate recent results show, it should not take much convincing to side with Patrick Cantlay heads up over Tommy Fleetwood. The scales should tilt even further toward’s Cantlay’s favor at Harbour Town, where he is No. 1 in Course History with five top-10 finishes over six career starts. Fleetwood, still without his regular caddie, is showing good form, but has not looked convincing enough for me to ignore Patrick Cantlay’s pedigree and near perfect history at the RBC Heritage.

Top-20 Finish: Emiliano Grillo

My Bet: +260
Best Available Odds:

It’s not easy to come by value in the placement markets at these limited Signature Event fields. Grillo’s name, however, was one that jumped out to me at this price. If we overlook a predictably disappointing showing at The Masters last week, Grillo began his 2024 campaign hot with nine consecutive top-20 finishes. At the RBC Heritage, he’s looked great with two top-10 finishes over the last four years.

Top-10 Finish: Shane Lowry

My Bet: +330
Best Available Odds:

If Shane Lowry keeps his ball-striking at the level he’s sustained over the last couple months, he’ll be well on his way to another top-10 finish at Harbour Town. He continues to thrive in driving accuracy and SG: APP, two crucial areas to separate him from the pack this week. He has two top-10s over his last four starts, and four top-10s over his last seven trips to Hilton Head.

ONE AND DONE

My Pick: Brian Harman

Signature Events are not the best time to get cute about contrarian stances, as these are the select few tournaments in the OAD season where the most prize money is up for grabs. With that said, it’s been difficult to trust which elite talent outside of Scottie Scheffler is going to show up any given week this PGA TOUR season, which gives me pause to pull the trigger on any big names this week.

In Harman’s case, the reigning Open Champion has made a very long career out of feasting on short, positional courses, and his history across comp Pete Dye venues leads me to believe he is primed for a bounce back this week on a very favorable course set up for his skillsets.

If not Harman, I would also consider playing Ludvig Aberg, Jordan Spieth, or Patrick Cantlay in OAD.

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RBC HERITAGE Bets: THE CARD

That’ll do it for this week’s PGA TOUR golf bets. Best of luck this week with your own RBC Heritage bets, and see you next week for the AT&T Byron Nelson.