2024 PGA TOUR Golf Bets: RBC Canadian Open Final Thoughts, Betting Card, OAD
The 2024 PGA TOUR golf season continues, with Hamilton Golf & Country Club next on tap to host the RBC Canadian Open in Hamilton, Ontario, beginning Thursday. Rory McIlroy, Tommy Fleetwood, and Sahith Theegala headline among RBC Canadian Open bets this week, as John Haslbauer provides his favorite picks among all the golf odds for this tourney. Below, you’ll find the best odds across betting sites for each player.
We are just about ready for some golf north of the border, as the 2024 RBC Canadian Open will head to Hamilton Golf & Country Club this Thursday. It’s the first time the PGA TOUR will be back in Hamilton since 2019, and following a massive renovation, I’m looking forward to seeing a revitalized look behind this Harry Colt design, which has hosted seven prior Canadian Open contests dating back to 1919.
Rory McIlroy famously boat-raced the field the last time this event was contested in Hamilton, but that doesn’t necessarily mean that bombers will automatically have their way here. Players will need to earn their scoring opportunities on this 7,084-yard par-70, and skilled putters with control off the tee look to be best positioned to separate themselves this week.
Below, we’ll go through my RBC Canadian Open bets. Click the odds anywhere in this article to place RBC Canadian Open wagers. For a full breakdown of the tournament and course, visit my RBC Canadian Open preview.
RBC Canadian Open ODDS: THE FAVORITES
Find the comparison table at the bottom of this post for RBC Canadian Open odds and the best available prices across sportsbooks in your state. Navigate to my longshots post for more golf DFS picks and considerations.
HOW I BUILT MY rbc canadian open BETTING CARD
I welcome the return of this storied event with open arms, as I have fond memories of cashing in a Nick Taylor ticket this time last year in one of the most theatrical conclusions one could script for a mid-June PGA TOUR event. The iconic victory earned Taylor’s silhouette a ceremonial fixture in this year’s Canadian Open logo and will be an impossible act for his Canadian countrymen to follow. Nevertheless, we’ll look to chase that thrill again with a fresh betting card for the 2024 RBC Canadian Open.
It remains to be seen how Hamilton Golf & Country Club will play, as we are five years and an extensive renovation project removed from the last time this venue hosted the RBC Canadian Open. There is a path, however, for elite total drivers and skilled putters to separate at this course, which are characteristics I looked for when building out my betting card.
From a unit allocation standpoint, it’s back to business as usual for my weekly stake at the 2024 RBC Canadian Open.
- Outrights – 3.5U in to pay 25U each
- FRL – 0.5U in to pay out 10U+ each
- Full Tournament Matchups – 1U in to pay out 2U
- Props – 1.5U in to pay out 3U+ each
RBC Canadian Open BETS: OUTRIGHTS (3.5 UNITS)
Sahith Theegala
My Bet: +2200
Best Available Odds:
Theegala has taken a giant leap in 2024, evolving his game to a point where he suits virtually every type of PGA TOUR venue well. This setup at Hamilton Golf & Country Club, however, is the ideal type of course to bring the best out of Theegala’s game, in my opinion.
He’s been elite in SG: APP this season, ranking No. 6 in the field over the last 36 rounds. But he’s been best in the ranges of <150 yards and 200+ yards in particular, which is where a majority of approach shots funneled from at this course in 2019. Theegala can also catch fire with the putter, which proved to be necessary for contenders in 2019; he’s gained over four strokes on the greens in three of his last six starts.
Golf Odds Boosts: All users get a 30% bet365 profit boost on any golfer to win this week. BetMGM is also offering a 25% odds boost for PGA TOUR betting.
Alex Noren
My Bet: +2700
Best Available Odds:
Alex Noren is my pick to win this week. Like Theegala, Noren enters in tremendously consistent form but has been separating with spike approach and putting in particular. The Swede carries a streak of eight consecutive top-25 finishes into this week, having gained at least five strokes from tee to green in each of those starts. That’s very encouraging consistency to see from a player like Noren, who has typically leaned primarily on his world-class short game to hang around tournaments.
With this recent near gear of top-class ball-striking, a positional course like Hamilton Golf & Country Club seems like the perfect venue for Noren to capture his first PGA TOUR victory.
Cameron Young
My Bet: +2800
Best Available Odds:
If I’m wrong about Alex Noren capturing his first career PGA TOUR victory at Hamilton Golf & Country Club, hopefully, it’s because Cameron Young beat him to it. Young is an elite talent who will inevitably win on TOUR soon; however, oddsmakers continue to bait me back in with a discount for his lack of win equity to date.
He nearly closed the door at the Valspar Championship earlier this season, where he finished runner-up and should be able to channel the same game plan to contend on this similar positional and challenging venue.
Tom Kim
My Bet: +4000
Best Available Odds:
The last time we saw Tom Kim at a Harry Colt venue, he finished runner-up with a rolled ankle at the 2023 Open Championship. Could this be his shot at redemption? It’s been a quiet 2024 season by his lofty standards, but Kim has still shown plenty of signs that he’s close to adding to his resume of three career PGA TOUR wins. He’s finished top-25 in three of his last five starts, each coming on venues that reward position off-the-tee in particular.
A past winner at Sedgefield Country Club, Hamilton G&CC is yet another track that rewards accuracy and streaky putting on tricky, undulated greens.
RBC Canadian Open BETS: FIRST-ROUND LEADER (0.5 UNITS)
Cameron Young
My Bet: +4500
Best Available Odds:
Rory McIlroy laid the blueprint for what a long and accurate driver can do to this golf course back in 2019. Young has a proven track record of getting out to a hot start and should have plenty of wedges into greens in round 1.
Sam Burns
My Bet: +4500
Best Available Odds:
If Burns was showing a slightly more consistent form, I’d be all in on him this week. Instead, I’ll cautiously settle for his upside in the FRL market. He’s excelled on comp courses with wins at Colonial and Innisbrook already in his young career and has the spike-putting upside I’m looking for to capitalize on scoring opportunities at Hamilton G&CC.
Aaron Rai
My Bet: +6000
Best Available Odds:
Aaron Rai has loved his time north of the border, with finishes of T13 and T3 in his first two career RBC Canadian Open starts. This may be the best Canadian Open venue yet for his game, as Hamilton G&CC will accentuate his strengths of Driving Accuracy and long iron approach play.
Seamus Power
My Bet: +9000
Best Available Odds:
This is a little bit of a vibe and feel play for me, but I think the market has been a bit slow to react to some very improved form from Power over the last few months. He has two top-16 finishes over his last three starts and has predominantly played his best on shorter, positional venues like Pebble Beach and Harbour Town.
Gary Woodland
My Bet: +15000
Best Available Odds:
I’m always looking for a reason to back Gary Woodland, and I’m happy to see that he continues to build himself back up to his vintage form in 2024. He shot the low round of the day last Saturday at Colonial as evidence that he still has birdie-making ability in his arsenal.
RBC Canadian Open BETS: PROPS (2.5 UNITS)
Full Tournament Matchup: Seamus Power > Beau Hossler
My Bet: -110
It’s not the sexiest of matchups here, as both players will be fighting just to make the cut this week, but in a toss-up, I’m always going to side with the player who has a significant edge in long-term ball-striking. Seamus Power has gained strokes on approach in seven consecutive starts leading into this week, including five top-30 finishes over that stretch.
By contrast, Hossler does not have a top-50 finish over the same stretch and has gained strokes on approach just once since February.
Top-40 Finish: Dylan Wu
My Bet: +220
Best Available Odds:
This is a good course setup for Wu’s game, as his lack of distance will not be a detriment here, allowing him to lean on his consistency with the irons and putting for separation. Consistency in key stat categories is usually where I look for top-40 placement bets, and Wu supports the fit with three top-30s over his last six starts.
Top-20 Finish: Ben Silverman
My Bet: +450
Best Available Odds: +450
I couldn’t make a Canadian Open betting card without pulling for at least one Canadian, so I’ll hitch my Wagon to the 36-year-old journeyman. Silverman already has a top-20 at Hamilton G&CC under his belt back in 2019, and enters in good form off of back-to-back top-30 finishes over his last two starts.
GOLF DAILY FANTASY CONTESTS
Check out my golf DFS picks post for the Charles Schwab Challenge for Underdog drafts strategy, along with traditional DFS contests.
ONE AND DONE
My Pick: Alex Noren
I can’t say there’s any other upcoming event where I have Alex Noren slotted to be saved for in OAD, so this is a no brainer spot for me to roll with the Swede against a fairly thin field. I believe his current form is perfectly suited to score at Hamilton Golf & Country Club, as he enters on a streak of eight consecutive top-25s.
If not Noren, I would also consider playing Tommy Fleetwood, Shane Lowry, or Sahith Theegala in OAD.
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RBC Canadian Open BETS: THE CARD
That’ll do it for this week’s PGA TOUR golf bets. Best of luck this week with your own RBC Canadian Open bets, and see you on Sunday for the Memorial Tournament preview.