NFL Props: RBs That Have Seen Their Season Rushing Yards Totals Drop Most

Written By FairwayJay on August 26, 2022
Props NFL RB rushing season long totals

As the 2022 NFL regular season approaches, bettors are gearing up and keeping an eye on how players are performing in the preseason. Season-long player props are available to bet on now and here we will focus on total rushing yardage, and specifically the running backs that have seen their yards totals drop the most.

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Running Back Rushing Yards Props Decline

Six prominent tailbacks have seen a decrease of at least 50 yards in their rushing props at Caesars Sportsbook since they opened. For more NFL rushing yards props go here.

Antonio Gibson

Caesars change: 850.5 to 750.5

The Washington Commanders tailback might not be the focal point of the team’s attack this season. After fumbling six times last season, Gibson fumbled the ball away on the Commanders second drive in their opening preseason game. The Panthers recovered and turned it into a 22-yard TD drive. Since then, Gibson has taken reps with the third team offense while rookie RB Brian Robinson Jr. and veteran J.D. McKissic were taking first and second team reps in practice.

Cam Akers

Caesars change: 925.5 to 840.5

The Los Angeles Rams running back returned from a torn Achilles to play in last seasons playoffs. He rushed for 172 yards after leading the Rams in rushing with 625 yards in 13 games (5 starts) in the 2020 season. Akers is managing a soft tissue injury in training camp but is expected to start when the season begins ahead of Darrell Henderson. Still, Akers has taken more than 87% under bets and 96% of his handle is under rushing yards.

Leonard Fournette

Caesars change: 800.5 to 725.5

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers running back led the team with 812 rushing yards in 14 games last season. He was also the top running back in receptions with 69 and he’s improved his route running and practice time with QB Tom Brady. The emergence of rookie RB Rachaad White has bettors more cautious about Fournette’s workload and Brady’s use of the short passing game to running backs isn’t helping matters here.

David Montgomery

Caesars change: 925.5 to 825.5

The Chicago Bears running back rushed for 849 yards and seven touchdowns in 13 games last season. He’s a reliable part of the Bears offense, which is expected to run the ball more. Montgomery recently opened up about some mental health issues and seeking professional therapy after dealing with some depression and negative comments about the Bears in recent seasons. Bettors are down on the Bears, and Montgomery has taken more than 94% of bets to go under his rushing total and 99% of the handle.  

Miles Sanders

Caesars change: 875.5 to 800.5

The Philadelphia Eagles running back failed to score a touchdown last season. While bettors are loading up on Sanders rushing TD prop to go under 5.5, they also see quarterback Jalen Hurts cutting into Sanders rushing production again. Sanders rushed for 754 yards in 12 games last season while Hurts rushed for 784 yards in 15 games with two more rushing attempts (139) than Sanders.   

Josh Jacobs

Caesars change: 775.5 to 725.5

The Las Vegas Raiders running back got his body to peak level after dedicating to the Raiders offseason program. It has shown in early training camp with a more explosive burst. Bettors are perhaps a bit concerned with the Raiders offensive line and the team throwing the ball more with added weapons for QB Derek Carr, including his former college wide receiver and Pro Bowler, Davante Adams. Jacobs has played in at least 13 games in all three seasons with the Raiders, and rushed for 1,150, 1,065 and a drop to 872 last year with the fewest rushing attempts (217) of his NFL career. While Jacobs gets more rest during preseason games, rookie RB Zamir White has played a lot with the “first-team” offense and he doesn’t look out of place. Jacobs is still the clear starting running back, and interesting to see his rushing yards prop drop after going over the number in all three seasons.  

On the Upswing

Saquon Barkley

Caesars change: 850.5 to 925.5

The New York Giants running back has dealt with numerous injuries in recent seasons and combined for 627 rushing yards the last two years. Barkley’s original rushing yards prop was 900.5 and fell to 850.5. But with some positive notes coming out of training camp, bettors are optimistic about Barkley’s production if he stays healthy. Now back up to 925.5, Barkley has generated more than 82% of the handle to go over his rushing yards among all bets placed on his rushing yardage prop.  

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FairwayJay is a leading national sports and gaming analyst and is recognized as one of the sports industry's most insightful professionals. Jay has pursued his passions and maintained a pulse on the sports, gaming and poker industries while living in Las Vegas for nearly two decades. He's been a regular featured guest on sports and gaming radio shows, podcasts and produces sports betting and related industry articles and content for various sites and sources.

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