Rays Vs Reds: MLB Betting Odds, Trends & Stats – July 10, 2022

Written By Staff on July 9, 2022

The Cincinnati Reds (31-54) will look to sweep the Tampa Bay Rays (45-39) on Sunday at Great American Ball Park, at 1:40 PM ET. Tampa Bay’s (-139 to win) Shane Baz and Cincinnati’s (+119) Nick Lodolo will start this matchup.

The betting facts in the article below use the latest odds as of July 10, 2022 at 1:35 PM ET.

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Rays vs Reds Betting Odds

Pitching Matchup

Baz (TB) Pitcher Lodolo (CIN)
1 – 1 W/L 1 – 2
24.2 IP 19.1
2.92 ERA 4.19
1.135 WHIP 1.500
10.2 K/9 12.6
3.3 BB/9 3.7

Rays Probable Starter Shane Baz

  • Baz gets the start for the Rays, his sixth of the season. He is 1-1 with a 2.92 ERA and 28 strikeouts in 24 2/3 innings pitched.
  • In his last outing on Sunday against the Toronto Blue Jays, the righty went 6 2/3 innings, giving up one earned run while surrendering seven hits.
  • The 23-year-old has put up an ERA of 2.92, with 10.2 strikeouts per nine innings, in five games this season. Opponents are hitting .209 against him.
  • Baz is looking to record his third quality start of the season.
  • The opposing Reds offense has a collective .238 batting average, and is 21st in the league with 668 total hits and 18th in MLB play with 357 runs scored. It has the 26th-ranked slugging percentage (.374) and ranks 22nd in home runs (77) in all of MLB.

Starting pitcher projections reflect team information as of July 10, 2022 at 1:35 PM ET and may change up to the start of game.

Reds Probable Starter Nick Lodolo

  • Lodolo (1-2) will take to the mound for the Reds and make his fifth start of the season.
  • The left-hander’s last appearance was on Tuesday, when he threw 4 2/3 scoreless innings against the New York Mets while allowing three hits.
  • The 24-year-old has an ERA of 4.19 and 12.6 strikeouts per nine innings with an opponent batting average of .269 in four games this season.
  • The Rays are batting .237 this season, 21st in MLB. They have a team slugging percentage of .376 (25th in the league) with 77 home runs.

Starting pitcher projections reflect team information as of July 10, 2022 at 1:35 PM ET and may change up to the start of game.

Rays Betting Trends

  • The Rays have won 60% of the games this season when they were the moneyline favorite (33-22).
  • Tampa Bay is 22-14 (winning 61.1% of its games) when it has played as a moneyline favorite of -139 or shorter.
  • Based on this contest’s moneyline, the Rays have an implied win probability of 58.2%.
  • Tampa Bay has had an over/under set by bookmakers 84 times, and has combined with opponents to go over the total in 39 of those games (39-41-4).
  • The Rays have collected a 38-46-0 record against the spread this season.
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Reds Betting Trends

  • This season, the Reds have won 24 out of the 66 games, or 36.4%, in which they’ve been the underdog.
  • Cincinnati has a record of 18-32 in games where oddsmakers have them as underogs of at least +119 on the moneyline.
  • The Reds have a 45.7% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • So far this season, Cincinnati and its opponents have hit the over in 45 of their 85 games with a total.
  • The Reds are 38-47-0 against the spread this season.

Rays Players to Watch

  • Yandy Diaz has racked up an on-base percentage of .407, a team-best for the Rays. He’s batting .292 with 15 doubles, three home runs and 47 walks.
  • Among qualifying hitters in MLB play, Diaz ranks 25th in batting average, third in on-base percentage, and 109th in slugging.
  • Randy Arozarena has racked up 79 hits while slugging .410. Both are team-highs. Overall, he has 19 doubles, two triples, nine home runs and 18 walks while batting .251.
  • Arozarena ranks 77th in batting average, 113th in on base percentage, and 85th in slugging in MLB play.
  • Harold Ramirez has 15 doubles, four home runs and 15 walks while batting .321.
  • Ji-Man Choi has 14 doubles, seven home runs and 37 walks while batting .281.

Rays Batting Stats (2022)

Player AB AVG R HR RBI OBP OPS
Randy Arozarena 315 .251 39 9 39 .305 .715
Yandy Díaz 257 .292 36 3 18 .407 .792
Harold Ramirez 215 .321 28 4 32 .369 .816
Taylor Walls 215 .163 21 3 13 .246 .506
Ji-Man Choi 196 .281 24 7 38 .391 .850
Brett Phillips 155 .148 16 4 10 .218 .470
Francisco Mejía 153 .229 18 5 18 .237 .623
Isaac Paredes 141 .241 24 13 28 .308 .868
Josh Lowe 125 .176 15 1 8 .231 .519
Yu Chang 55 .164 5 1 2 .258 .494

Reds Players to Watch

  • Brandon Drury has 79 hits to go with a slugging percentage of .542, both of which lead Cincinnati hitters this season.
  • Of all qualified batters in the big leagues, Drury is 40th in batting average, 65th in on-base percentage and 12th in slugging percentage.
  • Tommy Pham is slugging .399 while driving in 36 runs and batting .246 this season.
  • Among all qualified players, Pham’s batting average puts him 85th, his on-base percentage is 65th, and he is 96th in slugging.
  • Kyle Farmer leads Cincinnati in OBP (.339) this season, fueled by 69 hits.
  • Joey Votto is batting .210 with a .332 OBP and 25 RBI for Cincinnati this season.

Reds Batting Stats (2022)

Player AB AVG R HR RBI OBP OPS
Brandon Drury 284 .278 52 18 50 .335 .877
Tommy Pham 281 .246 48 11 36 .335 .734
Kyle Farmer 255 .271 29 5 40 .339 .735
Joey Votto 214 .210 22 6 25 .332 .706
Nick Senzel 202 .262 27 3 18 .318 .655
Mike Moustakas 194 .206 22 3 17 .299 .603
Albert Almora Jr. 163 .239 18 5 26 .265 .645
Matt Reynolds 153 .248 24 3 15 .329 .688
Tyler Naquin 153 .248 23 6 23 .311 .762
Tyler Stephenson 146 .308 22 5 31 .362 .828

Rays vs Reds Player Props

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