Super Bowl 58 Player Prop Bets: Chiefs WR Rashee Rice Odds Vs. 49ers
In his rookie season, Chiefs wide receiver Rashee Rice posted more than 1,100 receiving yards. While other rookies in more prominent roles garnered the Offensive Rookie of the Year attention, Rice more quietly had one of the better rookie years in the NFL. He more than doubled the next receiver in targets (123) and only trailed Travis Kelce (144) for the team lead. Sportsbooks released a plethora of offerings for Super Bowl 58 odds, including plenty of props for Rashee Rice.
Rashee Rice PLAYER PROPS: FULL SECTION OF ODDS
Compare Rice’s props from the best NFL betting sites below. Click on odds anywhere to place a bet.
Rashee Rice Props: Receiving
Over or Under Receiving Yards?
After a 130-yard outburst in the Wild Card Round, Rice has yet to even surpass 50 yards. However, since Rice was more thoroughly integrated into the offense, he surpassed this total in five games since Week 12. In their last eight games, the 49ers allowed a wide receiver to go over 65.5 yards five times. Although he’s not going against a man-to-man heavy defense, Rice may have to deal with former Chief and 49ers top CB Charvarius Ward plenty this game (if the 49ers may man-to-man). Ward is an extremely physical corner capable of blanketing the best receivers in the NFL.
Rice is at his best when plays extend and break down. He has an uncanny ability to find space and wriggle free. He’s above average at defeating press coverage and can play an equally physical style when necessary. However, much of his production also comes from screens and quick action. Ward is an exceptional tackler – the entire 49ers team is exceptional at tackling – meaning these opportunities may not be there.
Over or Under Receptions Made?
Rice hauled in seven or more passes in seven-of-nine games dating back to Week 12. In the two games he didn’t, he also failed to see seven or more targets. Rice is a very high-completion target, leading the NFL in reception percentage (80.5%, min. 98 targets). The correlation here is pretty straightforward – this bet is whether or not Rice sees eight targets.
Only two receivers in the NFL saw more targets behind the line of scrimmage this year than Rice (Ja’Marr Chase, Tyreek Hill). His 34 targets behind the line account for 28% of his entire target share on the year. Given San Francisco’s lateral speed and physical defensive backs, I don’t anticipate a screen-heavy approach from the Chiefs on Sunday.
Over or Under Longest Reception?
In nine games this season, Rice’s longest reception was over 22 yards (10 times it was not). In those nine games, his average depth of target (aDOT) was 5.4; in the other 10 games, that drops to 4.7. On the season, Rice’s 5.2 aDOT ranks last among receivers with at least 50 targets. Betting on over 21.5 yards for his longest reception is a bet on his yards after catch (YAC).
This year, Rice has seven targets more than 20 yards down the field, and just one of those resulted in a reception – a season-long 67-yard catch. In intermediate targets (10-19 yards), Rice pulled in 16 catches for an average 19 yards per reception. In throws under 10 yards (and behind the line), 84% of Rice’s yardage came after the catch (664/790).
Rashee Rice Props: Touchdowns
Score Anytime Touchdown (ATTD)
Although Rice’s production jumped in Week 12, and he’s since become an integral part of the Chiefs’ offense, the rookie has just five touchdowns to show for it in that time. When KC approaches the goal line, Andy Reid likes to get creative. Instead of simple concepts, he brings in niche players like Jerick McKinnon. When there is a play designed for a single player, that player is usually Kelce.
This season, the rookie had one touchdown that came from beyond the 11-yard line (a 39-yard score in Week 12). Three of his eight total scores were targets in the end zone, another was caught one yard out, and another was a gadget shovel play. The bottom line is Rice scores between the five and 12-yard lines, and the target usually comes around the goal line.
Score First Touchdown
First touchdowns always require a bit of luck. For instance, if the 49ers receive the ball to open the game and score, this bet is toast. Reid likes to get crafty near the goal line, and if KC marches down on the first drive of the game, I’d expect one of his signature gadget plays to emerge. Rice’s 10-1 odds for this bet might even be too short.
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