Rams vs. Dolphins: NFL Betting Preview – November 1, 2020

Posted By Staff on October 27, 2020 - Last Updated on October 30, 2020

The 3-3 Miami Dolphins are 3.5-point underdogs heading into their matchup on Sunday, November 1, against the 5-2 Los Angeles Rams. The game’s over/under is set at 46.

The betting insights in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of October 30. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to bet at DraftKings Sportsbook.

Betting Information

Total Facts

  • The over/under in this game is 3.1 higher than the average total in Rams games this season (42.9).
  • Games involving the Dolphins this year have averaged 45.5 points per game– 0.5 points less than the over/under for this contest.
  • Rams games have gone over 46 points on two of seven occasions this season.
  • In three of six games this season, the Dolphins have combined with their opponents to go over 46 points.
  • The total for this matchup is 5.8 fewer than the combined scoring average of the two teams (51.8).
  • The Dolphins are the league’s 12th-highest scoring team this season compared to the 18th-ranked Rams.
  • The over/under for this game is 9.5 points higher than the two teams’ opponents scoring average (35.5).
  • Miami has surrendered the third-fewest points in the league this season, while Los Angeles has given up the second-fewest.
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Rams Betting Insights

  • Los Angeles’ games have gone under the point total in five out of seven outings this season.
  • Los Angeles is 4-3 against the spread.
  • The Rams are 2-1 ATS when favored by at least four points.

Dolphins Betting Insights

  • Two of Miami’s six games this year have gone over the point total.
  • Miami has a 4-2 record against the spread.
  • The Dolphins are 1-0 ATS when playing as at least four-point underdogs.

When the Rams Have the Ball

  • The Rams score 6.3 more points per game this season (25.1) than the Dolphins allow (18.8).
  • When they meet or go over their scoring average this season, Los Angeles is 2-1 and 2-1 against the spread.
  • When the Miami defense allows 18.8 points or fewer this year, the Dolphins have accumulated a 3-0 overall record and a 3-0 record against the spread.
  • The Dolphins defense has allowed an average of 360.3 yards per game so far this season– 25.4 yards fewer than the 385.7-yard average from the Rams offense.
  • On average, the Rams gain 6 yards per play and the Dolphins allow 5.8.
  • When Los Angeles hits their 2020 average in yardage, they are 3-1 overall and 3-1 against the spread this season.
  • When the Miami defense allows less than their season average for total yards this season, they are 3-1 against the spread and 3-1 overall.
  • The Rams have averaged 138.9 yards per game on the ground this season– 14.9 yards more than the Dolphins have allowed to opposing rushing attacks (124).
  • In games where the Los Angeles rushing attack runs for at least their season average this season, the Rams are 3-1 overall and 3-1 against the spread.
  • This season, when the Miami defense allows opponents to pick up less than 124 yards on the ground, they are 3-1 against the spread and 2-2 overall.
  • The Dolphins have forced an average of 1.5 turnovers per game, compared to the 1.1 times Rams have turned the football over in each contest.
  • When Los Angeles turns the football over 1.1 times or fewer this season, they are 5-1 overall and 4-2 against the spread.
  • Miami’s record this season when they force more than 1.5 turnovers: 2-0 ATS, 2-0 overall

When the Dolphins Have the Ball

  • The Dolphins put up nine more points per game (26.7) than the Rams surrender (17.7).
  • When Miami puts up at least 26.7 points, it is 3-0 against the spread and 2-1 overall.
  • This season, Los Angeles has a 2-1 record against the spread and a 2-1 record overall in games when it holds opponents to 25.1 or fewer points.
  • The Dolphins average 41.4 more yards per game (354.3), than the Rams give up per matchup (312.9). On average, the Dolphins gain 5.7 yards per play, while the Rams give up 4.9 per play.
  • Los Angeles has a 2-1 record ATS and a 3-0 record overall when holding its opponents to 312.9 yards or less.
  • The Dolphins rush for 105.2 yards per game– 4.8 more yards per game than the 100.4 the Rams allow per contest.
  • Miami has a 2-0 ATS record and a 2-0 overall record when the team runs for at least 105.2 yards.
  • Los Angeles is 2-0 against the spread and 2-0 overall when holding opponents to 100.4 rushing yards or less.
  • This year, the Dolphins turn the ball over 1.2 times per game, just 0.1 more turnovers per game than the 1.1 the Rams force on average.
  • Miami has a 3-0 record against the spread and a 2-1 record overall when it turns the ball over 1.2 times or less.
  • When it forces 1.1 or more turnovers, Los Angeles has a 2-1 record against the spread and a 2-1 record overall.

Rams Players to Watch

  • Jared Goff has 1,789 passing yards (255.6 yards per game), 12 touchdowns, and four interceptions and has a 67.7% completion percentage this year (151-of-223).
  • Darrell Henderson has taken 87 carries for 413 rushing yards (59 yards per game) and three touchdowns in seven games. He’s also caught nine passes for 109 yards (15.6 receiving yards per game) with one touchdown through the air.
  • Malcom Brown has 273 yards on 65 carries (39 ypg), with three rushing touchdowns.
  • This season, Cooper Kupp has 37 catches (51 targets) for 417 yards (59.6 per game) and two touchdowns.
  • Robert Woods has added 30 catches for 350 yards and three touchdowns. He puts up 50 receiving yards per game and has been targeted 46 times.
  • Josh Reynolds has caught 18 passes on 29 targets for 278 yards and two touchdowns, averaging 39.7 yards per game.
  • Aaron Donald has eight sacks, six TFL, and 22 tackles over seven games.
  • So far this year, Micah Kiser has collected 54 tackles.
  • Darious Williams has two interceptions and has tacked on 17 tackles, one TFL, and six passes defended.

Dolphins Players to Watch

  • Miles Gaskin has taken 82 attempts for 340 rushing yards (56.7 yards per game) and one touchdown. He’s also caught 27 passes for 182 yards (30.3 receiving yards per game).
  • This season, Davante Parker has 29 catches (40 targets) for 364 yards (60.7 per game) and two touchdowns in six games.
  • Mike Gesicki has added 18 catches for 281 yards and two touchdowns in six games this year. He has been targeted 30 times and averages 46.8 receiving yards per game.
  • Preston Williams has caught 12 passes on 25 targets for 213 yards and three touchdowns, averaging 35.5 yards per game.
  • Emmanuel Ogbah has five sacks, four TFL, and 18 tackles over six games.
  • Jerome Baker has totaled 45 tackles, three TFL, and two sacks this season.

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