Raiders vs. Broncos: Week 17 NFL Betting Preview – January 3, 2021

Posted By Staff on December 29, 2020

The Las Vegas Raiders (7-8) are favored by  as they attempt to break their three-game losing streak in a matchup with the Denver Broncos (5-10) on Sunday, January 3, 2021 at Empower Field at Mile High. The game’s point total is set at .

The betting insights in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of December 28, 2020, 2:41 PM ET. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to bet at DraftKings Sportsbook.

Raiders vs Broncos Betting Odds

Raiders vs Broncos Props

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Betting the Total (Over/Under)

  • Las Vegas and its opponents have combined to score more than 50.5 in 12 games (80% of matchups).
  • In six (40%) games this season, the Broncos have combined with their opponents to go over 50.5 points.
  • The two teams average a combined 46.3 points per contest, 4.2 fewer than the total for this matchup.
  • These two teams combine to surrender 57.4 points per game, which is 6.9 greater than the total for this matchup.
  • Raiders games average 56.6 total points per game this season, equal to the over/under for this matchup.
  • Broncos games average 47.1 total points, 3.4 fewer than the total for this matchup.
  • The Raiders are the 11th-highest scoring team in the NFL this year. The Broncos have scored the 29th-most points.
  • Las Vegas is the league’s 29th-ranked scoring defense while Denver is the 25th-ranked.

Raiders Betting Insights

  • Las Vegas has put together an 8-7 record against the spread this season.
  • The Raiders are just 2-3 ATS when favored by at least 1.5 points.
  • Most of Las Vegas’ games this year — 12 out of 15 — have hit the over (80%).

Broncos Betting Insights

  • Most of Denver’s games this year — eight out of 15 — have failed to go over the point total (53.3%).
  • Denver has an 8-7 record against the spread.

Raiders vs Broncos: Head to Head

Raiders vs Broncos: Last 3 Meetings
Date Favorite Home Team Spread Total Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Yards Result
11/15/2020 Raiders Raiders -3.00 50.50 -175 +148 357-313 LV 37-12 LV
12/29/2019 Broncos Broncos -4 41 -200 +175 477-238 OAK 16-15 DEN
9/9/2019 Broncos Raiders -3 43 -152 +133 357-344 OAK 24-16 OAK

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When the Raiders Have the Ball

  • The Broncos defense has allowed 27.6 points per game this season, 0.8 points more than the 26.8 the Raiders have scored.
  • In games where Las Vegas score at least 26.8 points this season, they are 6-3 overall and 6-3 against the spread.
  • Denver is 3-4 overall and 6-1 against the spread this season in games where they allow fewer than 27.6 points.
  • The Broncos defense has allowed an average of 361.5 yards per game this season, just 16.2 yards fewer than the 377.7 the Raiders offense has averaged.
  • The Raiders pick up 5.8 yards per play while the Broncos allow 5.5 per play.
  • When the Las Vegas offense puts together a game with at least their 2020 average in yardage, they are 2-4 overall and 2-4 against the spread this season.
  • When Denver allows fewer total yards to opposing offenses than their season average, they are 3-5 against the spread and 3-5 overall this season.
  • The Broncos have allowed opposing rushing attacks to average 131.6 yards per game, compared to the 120.6 yards the Raiders offense has averaged on the ground per contest.
  • When Las Vegas rushers gain at least a combined 120.6 yards this season, they are 5-2 overall and 5-2 against the spread.
  • When Denver limits opposing teams to 131.6 rushing yards or fewer this year, they are 6-4 against the spread and 4-6 overall.
  • The Raiders have turned the ball over 1.5 times per game this season, while the Broncos have averaged 0.8 takeaways per contest.
  • In games where they turn the football over 1.5 times or fewer this season, Las Vegas is 6-4 overall and 8-2 against the spread.
  • Denver’s record this season when they force more than 0.8 turnovers: 4-4 ATS, 3-5 overall

When the Broncos Have the Ball

  • The Broncos average 19.5 points per game, 10.3 fewer than the Raiders give up per contest (29.8).
  • When Denver records at least 19.5 points, it is 5-1 against the spread and 4-2 overall.
  • Las Vegas has a 6-3 record against the spread and a 6-3 record overall in games when it gives up 26.8 points or less.
  • The Broncos rack up 57 fewer yards per game (328.2), than the Raiders give up per contest (385.2). The Broncos average 5.2 yards per play, while the Raiders give up 6 per play.
  • Las Vegas’ record last season when they racked up at least their season average in total yards: 5-4 overall and 6-3 ATS.
  • In games Las Vegas limits its opponents to 385.2 or fewer yards, it has a 3-3 record ATS and a 3-3 record overall.
  • This season, the Broncos average 119.7 yards per game on the ground, just 6.2 fewer yards per game than the Raiders allow per outing (125.9).
  • When Denver rushes for at least 119.7 yards, it recorded a 3-3 ATS record and a 2-4 overall record.
  • Las Vegas is 5-4 against the spread and 4-5 overall when holding opponents to 125.9 rushing yards or less.
  • The Broncos turn the ball over 2.1 times per game, 1.1 more turnovers per game than the one the Raiders force on average.
  • Denver has a 7-4 record against the spread and a 4-7 record overall when it turns the ball over 2.1 times or less.
  • When it forces 1 or more turnover, Las Vegas has a 6-3 record against the spread and a 6-3 record overall.

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Raiders Players to Watch

  • Derek Carr leads the team with 3,731 passing yards (248.7 yards per game) and has a 67.6% completion percentage this year (324-of-479) while throwing 25 touchdowns and seven interceptions.
  • Josh Jacobs has rushed for a team-leading 975 yards on 258 attempts (69.6 yards per game) while scoring 10 touchdowns. He also averages 17.0 receiving yards per game, grabbing 33 passes for 238 yards.
  • Devontae Booker has 407 yards on 88 carries (27.1 ypg), with three rushing touchdowns.
  • Darren Waller has reeled in 98 passes to lead the team with 1,078 yards with eight touchdowns. He has been targeted 136 times and averages 71.9 yards per game.
  • Nelson Agholor’s statline this year shows 47 catches for 839 yards and eight touchdowns. He puts up 55.9 receiving yards per game and has been targeted 78 times.
  • Hunter Renfrow has caught 53 passes on 69 targets for 632 yards and two touchdowns, averaging 42.1 yards per game.
  • Maxx Crosby has six sacks to lead the team, and has also collected 12 TFL and 34 tackles.
  • Johnathan Abram has totaled 75 tackles, three TFL, and two interceptions this season.
  • Trayvon Mullen has a team-high two interceptions and has tacked on 59 tackles, two TFL, and 14 passes defended.

Broncos Players to Watch

  • Drew Lock has thrown for 2,594 yards while completing 57% of his passes (229-of-402), with 14 touchdowns and 15 interceptions in 13 games this year (199.5 yards per game). He’s also carried the ball 42 times for 153 yards and three touchdowns, averaging 11.8 yards per game.
  • Melvin Gordon III has picked up a team-high 893 rushing yards (63.8 yards per game) and scored eight touchdowns.
  • Jerry Jeudy has been targeted 106 times and has 47 catches to lead the team with 716 yards (47.7 ypg) while scoring two touchdowns.
  • Tim Patrick’s statline this year shows 49 catches for 696 yards and six touchdowns in 14 games. He puts up 49.7 receiving yards per game and has been targeted 75 times.
  • Noah Fant has racked up 625 yards on 58 passes with three touchdowns in 2020, averaging 44.6 yards per game on 87 targets in 14 contests.
  • Bradley Chubb has 7.5 sacks to lead the team, and has also racked up eight TFL and 42 tackles.
  • This season, Alexander Johnson has racked up 114 tackles, four TFL, and one sack.

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