Rafael Nadal Is A Massive Favorite To Win 22nd Major Title At French Open

Written By Nicole Russo on June 4, 2022 - Last Updated on June 5, 2022
Nadal French Open

Rafael Nadal will face Casper Ruud in the 2022 French Open men’s final. Rafael Nadal is seeking his fourteenth French Open title and major win number 22.

On the women’s side, Iga Swiatek will face American Coco Gauff. Both Nadal and Swiatek are heavy betting favorites heading into their respective finals matches this weekend.

2022 French Open Finals Odds

Men's Final
Women's Final

(Eastern Time)
Rafael Nadal
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Casper Ruud
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Iga Swiatek
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Coco Gauff
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Rafael Nadal Seeks 14th French Open Title

Casper Ruud has been one of the best clay-court players this year, and his hard work earned him his first major final at the French Open.

On the other side of the net is Rafael Nadal, one of the greatest clay-court players in the world.

Ruud entered the French Open with confidence after reaching his first ATP Masters 1000 final in Miami. In an interview with the ATP Tour, he reflected on that confidence,

“Since we started after the Covid break, I was able to reach three semis of Masters 1000s on clay, and was never was able to reach a final. So to be able to reach a final for the first time [at this level] was a good feeling.”

His strong performance in Miami secured him the fourth seed in Paris. He battled his way against Tsonga, Rune, and Cilic to make it to the final.

Nadal didn’t have as easy of a road to the final. His half of the draw included Djokovic, Auger-Aliassime, and Zverev. His semifinal match was on track to be over six hours when Zverev injured his ankle in the second set and had to withdraw.

The match was nearly three hours in and the second set hadn’t even been completed. There’s no doubt the early retirement will be beneficial to Nadal’s recovery in preparation for the final, after coming off a grueling matchup in the quarterfinals against Djokovic.

Betting on the Men’s Final

Rafael Nadal enters the final as a -500 favorite.

When betting on a match with such a heavy favorite like Nadal, take a look at some of the secondary markets.

We know that both players are on their favorite surface.

Currently, BetMGM Sportsbook has three total sets in the match at -115. While I think Rafa is going to win, I am not so sure he’s going to do it in straight sets against one of the better clay-court players on the tour. I would take a look at betting four total sets at +175.

I also like this bet after seeing Rafa’s form against Zverev. He was ahead in the match, but he had his serve broken multiple times and had more unforced errors than usual. If Ruud can take advantage in those key moments, I think he can push it to a fourth set.

Only three players have ever forced Rafa to five sets on clay (Djokovic, Auger-Aliassime, and Isner), but if you think Ruud can be the fourth, you can get it at +375.

Another market to take a peek at will be the total number of games when it is posted.

Iga Swiatek One Match Away From Second French Open Win

Iga Swiatek has been unstoppable this year. Her semifinal win over Daria Kasatkina marked her 34th match win in a row.

She has tied the longest winning streak on tour since Serena Williams snagged 34 straight wins in 2013. It is why she is the -800 favorite to win the title at some sportsbooks.

No. 1 Swiatek will face the youngest American grand slam finalist since, you guessed it, Serena Williams.

Gauff has been on a trajectory toward superstardom ever since her 2019 Wimbledon debut where she made the fourth round and captured the hearts of tennis fans around the world.

Both players have known each other since their junior days, but Swiatek has had the edge over Guaff in the two times they’ve met at the professional level.

In their most recent meeting, Swiatek beat Gauff 6-3, 6-1.

Moving well will be Key for Gauff if she wants to have a chance at beating Swiatek. She will also need to defend fast-paced balls coming toward her over the net.

I wouldn’t be surprised at a straight-set win from Iga tomorrow.

Photo by Associated Press
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Nicole Russo

Nicole Russo is the Brand Content Strategist for TheLines.com. Previously, she covered the gambling industries in Tennessee and Indiana as a content editor for PlayTenn.com and PlayIndiana.com. She comes from the world of poker, leading the marketing efforts for online poker in Nevada and New Jersey with the WSOP. Russo also assisted with the marketing efforts for the Caesars Sportsbook launch in 2019.

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