Providence Vs South Dakota State: NCAA Tournament First Round Betting Lines, Odds And Trends – March 17, 2022

Written By Ryan Minion on March 15, 2022

The No. 4 Providence Friars (25-5) and the No. 13 South Dakota State Jackrabbits (30-4) will square off on Thursday to fight for a spot in the second round of the NCAA Tournament. The opening round matchup begins at 12:40 PM. Keep reading to find betting insights and statistics to help place a wager on the Friars’ (-138 to win on the moneyline) game versus the Jackrabbits (+117).

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Providence vs South Dakota State Betting Odds

Providence vs South Dakota State Betting Analysis

When the No. 4-seeded Friars have the basketball, they will look to their best player, senior forward Nate Watson. Over the course of the season, Watson led the way for the Friars with 14 PPG and 5.5 rebounds.  Watson is indisputably the Friars’ most dangerous weapon on offense. Look for the Friars to continue feeding Watson in the paint against a very small Jack Rabbits defense.

When South Dakota State has the basketball, they run one of the most efficient offenses in the country. According to Shot Quality, South Dakota State (30-4 overall) ranks first in the entire nation in offensive efficiency. Its efficiency rating is 1.171, which is 0.03 above Gonzaga, the second-most efficient offense in the country.

Despite the Friars having some value as only a two-point favorite over the No. 13-seeded, Jack Rabbits, there’s probably not a big enough edge to warrant a wager on a game that should be very close until the final whistle.

Providence Offense Vs. South Dakota State Defense

Providence Offense Stats (Rank) South Dakota State Defense
71.8 (153) Points/Gm 73.4 (286)
65.7 (289) Possessions/Game 73.8 (341)
43.7 (199) Field Goal % 44.1 (219)
34.3 (145) 3PT % 35.1 (275)
50.2 (186) Effective FG % 51.3 (260)
54.9 (121) True Shooting % 51.9 (144)

South Dakota State Offense Vs. Providence Defense

South Dakota State Offense Stats (Rank) Providence Defense
86.7 (2) Points/Gm 67 (112)
71.3 (59) Possessions/Game 66.7 (78)
52.5 (2) Field Goal % 41 (50)
44.9 (1) 3PT % 31.2 (58)
60.4 (1) Effective FG % 46.7 (48)
63.8 (1) True Shooting % 50 (57)

Providence Betting Insights

  • Providence has won 17 games against the spread this season, while failing to cover 13 times.
  • The Friars have been favored by 2 points or more 19 times this season, and covered the spread in nine of those matchups.
  • In Providence’s 31 games this season, the combined scoring has gone over the point total 17 times.
  • Providence and its opponents have gone over 149.5 combined points in nine of 31 games this season.
  • The Friars have an average point total of 135 in their contests this year, 14.5 fewer points than this game’s over/under.

South Dakota State Betting Insights

  • South Dakota State has covered 17 times in 32 games with a spread this year.
  • The Jackrabbits have covered the spread twice this year (2-3 ATS) when playing as at least 2-point underdogs.
  • South Dakota State’s games have hit the over 17 out of 32 times this season.
  • South Dakota State and its opponents have combined to score more than 149.5 points in 21 of 32 games this season.
  • Jackrabbits contests this season have a 157.5-point average over/under, 8.0 more points than this game’s total.
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Providence Key Players

  • Nate Watson leads the Friars scoring 13.8 points per game.
  • Jared Bynum leads Providence with 4.2 assists a game and Noah Horchler paces the team with 8.3 rebounds per contest.
  • A.J. Reeves hits 2.2 treys per game to lead the Friars.
  • Providence’s steals leader is Bynum, who collects 1.1 per game. Justin Minaya leads the team averaging 0.9 blocks an outing.

South Dakota State Key Players

  • Baylor Scheierman grabs 7.8 rebounds per game, 4.6 assists per game, and 16.2 points per game, putting him in the top spot on the Jackrabbits in both rebounds and assists.
  • Doug Wilson has outperformed his South Dakota State teammates in scoring, putting up 16.5 points per game to go with 5.5 rebounds and 1.5 assists.
  • Scheierman leads the Jackrabbits in shooting from beyond the arc, averaging 2.4 made threes per game.
  • South Dakota State’s Scheierman has the top spot on the team’s steals leaderboard with 1.4 per game and Wilson is first in blocks with 0.6 per game.

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