2024 Procore Championship Odds: Everything To Know About Silverado Resort

The PGA TOUR is back to begin the new 2024-2025 season. The first stop of the Fall Swing brings us up to Silverado Resort & Spa in Napa Valley, California for the Procore Championship. Find longer golf odds at the best PGA TOUR betting sites to increase your potential Procore Championship payouts. Presidents Cup teammates Sahith Theegala, Wyndham Clark, and Max Homa are the headlining favorites in the first event of the new season.

PGA TOUR GOLF ODDS: procore CHAMPIONSHIP FAVORITES

To compare golf betting outright odds in legal sports betting states, as well as other Procore Championship offerings, scroll to the bottom of this post. Click on the odds in the table to bet now.

procore CHAMPIONSHIP Introduction

It is good to be back in the swing of things on the PGA TOUR, with the shortest offseason in sports behind us already. Two weeks removed from Scottie Scheffler’s reign of terror at East Lake, the new fall season will officially begin in Napa Valley, California for the Procore Championship at Silverado Resort & Spa.

Fall is a golden time of year for sports, with NFL, College Football, and MLB all in full swing. With time being precious for all of us, the PGA TOUR previews will be kept a bit more succinct during the fall season, prioritizing all the need-to-know analysis of the course, course history, and key stats for each event.

The first FedEx Fall proved to be a coming-out party for the game’s brightest young stars, with Sahith Theegala, Tom Kim, Collin Morikawa, and Ludvig Aberg each notching victories this time last year. Could we see a similar trend from the next wave of up-and-comers like Luke Clanton, Neil Shipley, Mac Meissner, or Rico Hoey this time around?

For the task at hand this week at Silverado Resort & Spa, there are many different avenues we have seen players go to attack this course. However, a consistent through line of strong wedge play inside 150 yards, Par-5 scoring, and comfortability putting on California Poa greens has proven a consistent formula over the years. Now let’s get into the key facts and info about Silverado Resort & Spa for the 2024 Procore Championship.

Procore Championship ODDS: FIELD AT A GLANCE

For the first time in over a month, we’ll see a full field of 156 players teeing it up in Napa. As the first event after a very short offseason, it’s rare to find many players who lasted throughout the FedEx Cup Playoffs elect to play in the season’s first event, which produces an appealing odds board of viable outright options.

A trio of Presidents Cup teammates are expected to open as the favorites this week, as Max Homa, Sahith Theegala, and Wyndham Clark are set to headline. Homa and Theegala have won the last three iterations of this event between them, furthering a trend of players with California ties thriving in Napa.

A byproduct of the new FedExCup Fall format, there is a precipitous drop from an OWGR standpoint after Homa, Theegala, and Clark. Corey Conners, Min Woo Lee, Nick Taylor, Eric Cole, Lucas Glover, and Tom Hoge are the only other players in this field who fall inside the OWGR top 60.

In addition to Homa and Theegala, the past winners at Silverado Resort & Spa in this field include Stewart Cink, Cameron Champ, and Kevin Tway.

INTRODUCTION TO SILVERADO RESORT & SPA

Silverado Resort & Spa will host this PGA TOUR event for the 18th consecutive year since its inception on the schedule in 2007. The event previously known as the Safeway Open switched sponsors to Fortinet in 2023, which has now rebranded to Procore.

At this venue, we have seen players who either have plus-distance or elite driving accuracy separate on this 7,123-yard par-72. With four scorable par-5s, Par-5 Scoring has also proven to be a strong indicator of success leading into the Procore Championship.

Silverado Resort & Spa does not share a ton in common with other California venues like Riviera CC or Torrey Pines, but Max Homa and Sahith Theegala’s recent success across the California swing would suggest that familiarity with California Poa greens is a nice luxury to have.

With a winning score traditionally falling between -15 to -19, I’m looking for top ball-strikers with a proven history of birdie-making on easier courses, particularly those with California Poa greens.

COURSE HISTORY AND COURSE COMPS

It’s an eclectic cast of players who have found repeated success at Silverado Resort, primarily favoring veteran plodders. The top 10 in Course History include Sahith Theegala, Brendon Todd, Matt Kuchar, SH Kim, Chez Reavie, Max Homa, Bud Cauley, Bill Haas, Ryan Moore, and Martin Laird.

Course Comps

There are not many short and tight golf courses on the PGA TOUR, which still reward distance and deprioritize the importance of the first tee shot. TPC Twin Cities, TPC San Antonio, Colonial CC, Waialae CC, and Detroit Golf Club are the courses that stand out to me as the best examples of comp courses where players can gain on the field by hitting driver aggressively, despite not being prohibitively long. Cameron Champ, Emiliano Grillo, and Brendan Steele are examples of players who have taken this approach to win at both Silverado and at least one of these comp courses.

From a short-game perspective, it’s also a good week to include mixed-condition modeling of putting performance on California Poa courses like Riviera CC, Torrey Pines, and Pebble Beach GL.

Combine performance across this list and the top-10 players in Comp Course History here are Keith Mitchell, Patrick Fishburn, Matt Kuchar, Neal Shipley, Daniel Berger, Rico Hoey, Sahith Theegala, Jacob Bridgeman, Max Homa, and Tom Hoge.

SILVERADO RESORT & SPA COURSE SPECS

• Yards: 7,123
• Par: 72 (4x 3’s / 10x 4’s / 4x 5’s)
• Greens: Poa + Bent blend
• Architect: Robert Trent Jones & Johnny Miller
• Comp Courses: TPC Twin Cities, Colonial CC, Riviera CC, Torrey Pines, Detroit GC, Waialae CC, Pebble Beach, St. George’s G&CC, TPC San Antonio
• Historical Cutline: -2

KEY STATS TO CONSIDER BEFORE BETTING PGA TOUR GOLF ODDS THIS WEEK

• SG: APP
• SG: ARG / Scrambling Gained
• Par 5 Scoring / P5: 550-600
• Prox: 75-150
• Driving Distance
• P4: 400-450
• Birdies or Better Gained
• SG: Putting (L36, Poa)
• Course + Comp Course History

In the spirit of brevity for the fall swing, I’ll forego the usual deep dive per individual key stat category and dive straight into the ideal combo stats I’m eying for players best suited to attack Silverado Resort & Spa. That optimal mix should include SG: Ball Striking, Good Drives Gained, Prox: 75-125, Par-5 Scoring, Comp Course History, and SG: P (L36, Poa). Just six players rank above average in each stat category: Corey Conners, Maverick McNealy, Wyndham Clark, Ben Kohles, Ben Silverman, and Lanto Griffin.

Correlations

Looking at the correlation charts this week for Silverado Resort, it’s Greens In Regulation and Par-4: 450-500 which fall outside the top 10 in correlation compared to the TOUR average. SG: OTT also takes a notably steep dip in importance, furthering the narrative that this is a bona fide second-shot course where players who are extremely accurate or extremely long off the tee can both find success.

The stats that make the largest increase in importance at Silverado Resort include SG: ARG and Scrambling Gained, considering the high percentage of approaches from outside the fairway and tricky greens complexes.

There are 11 players in the field who rank above average in each of the above 10 key stat categories: Corey Conners, Maverick McNealy, Keith Mitchell, Chan Kim, Ben Silverman, Wyndham Clark, Neal Shipley, Jhonattan Vegas, Ben Kohles, Daniel Berger, and Lanto Griffin.

PLAYER SPOTLIGHT: patrick rodgers

A formula of top preceding form, longstanding California ties, and proven prior history at Silverado Resort has continued to pay dividends at the Procore Championship. Look no further than Sahith Theegala and Max Homa’s wins over the last three years here as evidence. Could Patrick Rodgers be the next Californian to carry the mantle in Napa?

Form is a fleeting thing to quantify in the first event of the new season, but with golf’s comically short 1-week off-season, I’m not discounting the encouraging late summer run we saw from Rodgers to close out his season. He ended his year on a stretch of six consecutive top-40 finishes, leaning on his driving and short game for consistency while also flashing spike approach upside at the 3M Open and FedEx St. Jude Championship. The Stanford standout may still be chasing his first career PGA TOUR win, but he continues to give himself the best opportunities on familiar California terrain. He came closest in Northern California last season at the Barracuda Championship, ultimately falling to Akshay Bhatia in a playoff, and has notched a pair of top-6 finishes at this event over nine career appearances.

The form, course history, and California narrative are all on Rodgers’ side this week, and with a weak FedEx Fall field in store, there’s no better time than now to notch his first career PGA TOUR victory.

2024 procore CHAMPIONSHIP: PLAYER POOL AND MODEL RESULTS

With all the course-fit profiles in mind, I’m leaning early toward the below player pool. Naturally, I’m looking their way in the 2024 Procore Championship odds as well. I’ve broken the list down by projected pricing/odds tier for DraftKings and Underdog Fantasy golf drafts.

Model Breakdown

In my model, I’m emphasizing SG: APP, Comp Course History, Birdies or Better Gained, and Prox: 75-125, followed by a more balanced mix of SG: Ball Striking, Good Drives Gained, SG: P (L36, Poa), Par-5 Scoring, P4: 400-450, and SG: ARG.

Model Favorites

With a clean slate to kick off the new season, this event truly feels wide open, and the results of my model reflect that. Amateur sensation Luke Clanton tops my model this week, which is not too surprising considering he closed out last season with three top-10 finishes over his last five starts. The prodigal driver should feast on Silverado Resort off-the-tee in the same way previous bombers like Cameron Champ and Maverick McNealy have here. It will be interesting to see where his odds open relative to more proven veterans in lesser form like Homa, Theegala, and Clark.

After Clanton, the rest of my model’s top 10 features Keith Mitchell, Maverick McNealy, Corey Conners, Chan Kim, Mac Meissner, Jhonattan Vegas, JJ Spaun, Wyndham Clark, and Jacob Bridgeman.

When Procore Championship odds open, I’ll be looking to construct a fairly long card, with longshots beyond 50-1 having proven to be viable in this tournament historically. As of now, I’m eying Luke Clanton, Maverick McNealy, and Patrick Rodgers as initial leans when the odds release on Monday. Check back in later this week for more updates, and best of luck navigating the PGA TOUR golf odds for the 2024 Procore Championship!

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