2024 Presidents Cup Odds: Player Rankings, Best Bets, USA vs. International Team Predictions

Written By John Haslbauer | Published at September 25, 2024
Presidents Cup Odds

One of the most exciting weekends in golf, Presidents Cup odds are here to inject a little life into the fall golf betting season. We are now just hours away from tee-off in Montreal, Canada. Given the volatility of this event, this article will pivot away from the typical deep-dive modeling analysis of the players and course, and instead look to uncover where the greatest betting edges are with what information is available on projected team pairings and individual player opportunities.

2024 Presidents Cup Odds: USA vs. International

Click on the odds in the tables below to bet now.

Team To Score Most Points

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Top Point Scorer

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Top USA Point Scorer

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Top International Point Scorer

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Top USA Rookie

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Top International Rookie

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2024 Presidents Cup Odds Introduction

The International squad has the home-course advantage at Royal Montreal Golf Club, highlighted by three local Canadians as captain Mike Weir sets out to put an end to Team USA's continued stretch of dominance in this format.

Royal Montreal Golf Club is famously the oldest golf club in North America, but is still a relative unknown by PGA TOUR standards. It hosted the 2007 Presidents Cup and was last seen hosting the 2014 Canadian Open, which was the only professional stroke play event hosted on these grounds. Standing at 7,279 yards, the Black Course at Royal Montreal Golf Club will favor accurate ball-strikers who are equipped to handled the heightened stakes of Team Match Play.

Match Play is a unique beast in golf betting, with subjective factors like momentum and gamesmanship often usurping the importance of tried and true analytics like course fit and leading form. It's that "anything can happen" aura that draws so much intrigue to the Presidents Cup every two years.

Presidents Cup Golfer power rankings

Before betting on the 2024 Presidents Cup, it's best to understand how the composition of both team rosters stack up. In 2022, Team USA dominated from start to finish, capitalizing on their talent and home-field advantages at Quail Hollow. Two years later, the talent gap still tips considerably towards Team USA, however a loyal home crowd of passionate Canadians behind Mike Weir's crew could spell a more optimistic fate for the International Team.

According to consensus Top Point Scorer odds, USA features a top-heavy team, including each of the first five favorites in the Top Point Scorer market (Scheffler, Schauffele, Morikawa, Cantlay, Burns). United under one flag with opportunities across the Presidents Cup and Ryder Cup every other year, Team USA will always have a slight edge over the International Team as far as camaraderie and chemistry in the team format. The Schauffele & Cantlay and Scheffler & Burns duos are set in stone this week, but Team USA will need to get creative to backfill the usual Match Play stalwarts of Thomas & Spieth. Did Max Homa deserve to make this team? No. But, it's easy to "bury" your team's weakest link in this format.

The International Team are prohibitive underdogs in this matchup, and their odds reflect that with its top players (Matsuyama, Im, and Tom Kim) available at 16-1 consensus Top Point Scorer odds. The Presidents Cup puts a bit more emphasis on team depth than the Ryder Cup, which may ultimately be the International Team's downfall, as I have seven of the bottom-9 players in my Power Rankings hailing from the International side.

International Team Projected Pairings

There's plenty of flexibility to mix and match pairings on the International side, with no set duos locked in for the week. That's a hurdle they'll need to manage in Team Play, but they've managed to assemble a complementary crew with a mix of veterans and hungry up-and-coming talents across the world. In 2022, the International Team experimented with a variety of different pairings in search of answers after falling behind the 8-ball early. This year, I won't be surprised to find a hungry International Team getting out to an inspired start early on in front of the home crowd.

Typically, when you have a top-heavy team week on depth, you want to lean into your stars early and often. Given the nature of the International Team's composition, however, I don't see them rolling out all of their best players for all five sessions. I mean, can you really expect Hideki Matsuyama, Adam Scott, and Jason Day to play Thursday, Friday, and both Saturday Sessions before Sunday singles? More likely, we'll see the Internationals lean into Corey Conners, Sungjae Im, and Tom Kim for all sessions, mixing and matching pairings with these top veterans and younger newcomers.

USA Team Projected Pairings

USA will also have a significant void to fill with the dynamic duo of Thomas & Spieth both absent. Xander Schauffele & Patrick Cantlay and Sam Burns & Scottie Scheffler will be locks for at least three sessions, and they'll need to get creative to fill the other slots.

Collin Morikawa is the X-factor in this year's Presidents Cup. At the 2022 Presidents Cup, Morikawa was locked up with Cameron Young (who did not qualify for the 2024 team) in his two Four-Ball appearances. Morikawa has direct ties to Max Homa with their history partnering up at the Zurich Classic. But with Homa stumbling into Montreal in the worst form of any other player in the event, I don't see Team USA anchoring down Morikawa with him. Instead, I'll speculate it's Sahith Theegala who gets paired up with Morikawa often in this event, given their California ties.

It remains to be seen how the rest of the pairings shake out, and I do expect some shuffling throughout the week, but a Henley & Harman Georgia Bulldog pairing would seem to be a natural combination Team USA will lean into.

MY GAME-BY-GAME PREDICTIONS

Presidents Cup Futures are tricky to bet, as we're forced to do a great deal of speculating as to which pairings the captains will roll out, how much rest they'll afford each player, and what adjustments will be made day-over-day. Oh, and match play also happens to be the most volatile format in golf to predict, with no certainty that the more talented player or team will win.

Be that as it may, I've assumed the role of captain for both Team USA and Team International to deploy what I believe are the best possible pairings and my projected results of these forecasted matchups. I'm embracing the home course advantage for Team International and project a hot start from their team before ultimately being narrowly edged out by the Americans in a climactic round of Sunday Singles where their lack of depth is likely to be exposed.

my Best Bets For 2024 PRESIDENTS Cup Odds

With all of these projected pairings in mind, these are my three favorite Presidents Cup Future bet values to consider before tee off in Montreal this Thursday.

Top Points Scorer: Corey Conners [tallysight-widget type="odds-text" id="66f4170724a68f7f8de3f75a"]

It's not always easy to find betting value in the Match Play format, but this is far and away my favorite bet available at the 2024 Presidents Cup. Although Corey Conners' Match Play record leaves much to be desired, he is Canada's headliner, and a name I expect Captain Mike Weir to call each and every day. When it comes to the Top Point Scorer market, the best ability is availability, and Conners is on a short list of players I expect to have his name called for five sessions. He lacks the injury concerns of his other star International teammates like Matsuyama, Scott, and Day, and is a player sure to galvanize the hometown crowd.

Whether he's paired with fellow countrymen Taylor Pendrith or Mackenzie Hughes, or silent assassins Hideki Matsuyama or Sungjae Im, the International Team will be forced to play its best players as often as possible. Conversely, Team USA can afford to give its stars a day off, given the luxury of their depth advantage. With Royal Montreal perfectly catered to Conners' game, the stage is set for Conners to shine in Montreal.

Top USA Captain's Pick / Wild Card: Tony Finau +550

Sam Burns is a sensible favorite in this market at +210, hitching his wagon to World No. 1, Scottie Scheffler in presumably three of the four Team Matches. And while I typically err on the side of betting on opportunity in the volatile format of Match Play, I'm drawn to the upside value on Finau's number in this market. Sure, Sam Burns will be favored in all of his matches alongside Scottie Scheffler, but this duo has historically under-performed as teammates in Match Play.

Tony Finau ranks No. 9 in my Power Rankings, narrowly behind Burns. He may not have an obvious pairing for Team Play, but Jim Furyk will find a way to keep Finau busy, given his extensive Match Play experience and hot recent form. I'm expecting Finau to rotate across a few partners, but Collin Morikawa, Keegan Bradley, Max Homa, and Sahith Theegala all line up as comfortable pairings.

Day 1 Winner: International Team +190

Looking through the data, matchups, and odds will lead you to the conclusion that Team USA should win handily in Montreal. But the Presidents Cup is not played on paper, and Match Play lends itself to plenty of unquantifiable variables. As an American, I do not want to see Team USA lose this week. But as a fan of golf, I would love to see an energized International Team come out the gates hot, feed into the crowd atmosphere, and set the tone for a competitive week of Match Play, even if I do ultimately believe the Americans will prevail come Sunday.

The International Team has some firecrackers on the revamped squad between Tom Kim, Min Woo Lee, and Si Woo Kim, and hometown heroes Corey Conners, Mackenzie Hughes, and Taylor Pendrith are sure to keep the crowd engaged if they perform well on Day 1. Anecdotally, I just don't see the Americans coming out with the same juice, and could see them getting off to a flat start.

Best of luck betting Presidents Cup odds!

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