The 2019-20 Premier League season starts on Friday when Liverpool host Norwich City at Anfield.
While the title race is basically over before it begins (it’ll be Manchester City or Liverpool), there are still some interesting betting opportunities for top 4 (Champions League qualification), top 6 (Europa League qualification) and relegation.
2019-20 Premier League Top 4 and Top 6 odds
Either City (-200) or Liverpool (+275) will win the EPL this year. As the odds indicate, they’re still miles ahead of the rest of the league. No club did enough this summer to close the gap. Best to move on from there and focus on other futures.
Let’s look at odds for top 4 and top 6 finishes at DraftKings Sportsbook.
|Team||Champion||Top 4||Top 6|
|Manchester City||-200||-5000||Off the board|
Barring a rash of injuries, Tottenham Hotspur (+1800 title, -177 top 4, -1000 top 6) are a lock for the top 4 and Champions League qualification. However, the 4th spot could go to a number of teams.
While Chelsea and Manchester United are the oddsmakers’ choice at +110, Arsenal had a considerably better summer than the Blues or Red Devils. Arsenal’s price at +125 limits their value though. Everton (+1600), Wolves (+1600) and West Ham (+6600) all spent enough money to improve their teams this summer. Traditionally, among the biggest indicators of where a club will finish is what their players are actually worth. A quick scan of transfer market values has the top 7 teams in player value matching the top 7 on DraftKings Sportsbook title odds.
There are plenty of question marks this year around Chelsea (transfer ban, unproven manager), ManU (unproven manager, instability with star players), and Arsenal (no defense). It wouldn’t be surprising to see Everton, Wolves, or West Ham crack the top 4 or top 6. Not only did they spend money this summer, they spent it wisely in key areas of need.
2019-20 Premier League relegation odds
Like with the title odds, the relegation candidates are all teams with the lowest player market value.
Here are the odds for Premier League teams to be relegated, according to DraftKings Sportsbook. For those unfamiliar, three Premier League teams get relegated every season.
|Sheffield -150||Norwich -106||Brighton +180||Burnley +180||Aston Villa +200|
|Newcastle +200||Southampton +450||Crystal Palace +500||Bournemouth +500||Watford +600|
|West Ham +1100||Leicester City +2500||Everton +4000||Wolves +4000||Arsenal +100000|
|Chelsea +100000||Manchester United +100000||Tottenham +200000||Liverpool +500000||Manchester City +500000|
Sheffield United and Norwich City are going to struggle to stay in England’s top flight (read why here). They’re odds-on favorites to be relegated and for good reason. That leaves one more relegation spot with the most likely candidates (barring key injuries to other mid-table squads) being Brighton & Hove Albion or Burnley (read why here). Over the past two season, Burnley has had more overall success. They have slightly more talent on the roster. This could be a long campaign for Brighton.