2019-20 Premier League Odds: We Know Who Will Win, But Who’s Getting Relegated?

Written By Chops on August 5, 2019
premier league relegation odds

The 2019-20 Premier League season starts on Friday when Liverpool host Norwich City at Anfield.

While the title race is basically over before it begins (it’ll be Manchester City or Liverpool), there are still some interesting betting opportunities for top 4 (Champions League qualification), top 6 (Europa League qualification) and relegation.

2019-20 Premier League Top 4 and Top 6 odds

Either City (-200) or Liverpool (+275) will win the EPL this year. As the odds indicate, they’re still miles ahead of the rest of the league. No club did enough this summer to close the gap. Best to move on from there and focus on other futures.

Let’s look at odds for top 4 and top 6 finishes at DraftKings Sportsbook.

TeamChampionTop 4Top 6
Manchester City-200-5000Off the board
Manchester United+3300+100-500
West Ham+50000+6600+1100
Crystal Palace+100000+10000+3300
Southampton +100000+10000+3300
Newcastle +100000+12500+4000
Aston Villa+100000+15000+4000
Norwich City+200000+40000+10000
Sheffield +200000+50000+15000

Barring a rash of injuries, Tottenham Hotspur (+1800 title, -177 top 4, -1000 top 6) are a lock for the top 4 and Champions League qualification. However, the 4th spot could go to a number of teams.

While Chelsea and Manchester United are the oddsmakers’ choice at +110, Arsenal had a considerably better summer than the Blues or Red Devils. Arsenal’s price at +125 limits their value though. Everton (+1600), Wolves (+1600) and West Ham (+6600) all spent enough money to improve their teams this summer. Traditionally, among the biggest indicators of where a club will finish is what their players are actually worth. A quick scan of transfer market values has the top 7 teams in player value matching the top 7 on DraftKings Sportsbook title odds.

There are plenty of question marks this year around Chelsea (transfer ban, unproven manager), ManU (unproven manager, instability with star players), and Arsenal (no defense). It wouldn’t be surprising to see Everton, Wolves, or West Ham crack the top 4 or top 6. Not only did they spend money this summer, they spent it wisely in key areas of need.

2019-20 Premier League relegation odds

Like with the title odds, the relegation candidates are all teams with the lowest player market value.

Here are the odds for Premier League teams to be relegated, according to DraftKings Sportsbook. For those unfamiliar, three Premier League teams get relegated every season.

Sheffield -150Norwich -106Brighton +180Burnley +180Aston Villa +200
Newcastle +200Southampton +450Crystal Palace +500Bournemouth +500Watford +600
West Ham +1100Leicester City +2500Everton +4000Wolves +4000Arsenal +100000
Chelsea +100000Manchester United +100000Tottenham +200000Liverpool +500000Manchester City +500000

Sheffield United and Norwich City are going to struggle to stay in England’s top flight (read why here). They’re odds-on favorites to be relegated and for good reason. That leaves one more relegation spot with the most likely candidates (barring key injuries to other mid-table squads) being Brighton & Hove Albion or Burnley (read why here). Over the past two season, Burnley has had more overall success. They have slightly more talent on the roster. This could be a long campaign for Brighton.

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Steve “Chops” Preiss has 15 years of experience in the gaming industry. Chops began writing and producing content for digital media sites during the early poker-boom years. He has twice been voted by his peers as one of the 20 Most Influential People in Poker. Chops has also written and produced segments for a primetime gaming TV show on Versus (now NBC Sports Network) and distributed a poker program to over 160M global households.

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