PredictIt: Betting on Politics, Zuckerberg, And Kim Jung-Un Because Why Not

Written By Chops on March 30, 2018 - Last Updated on May 22, 2018

The Ringer recently featured an article on PredictIt — a “prediction market for politics.”

The site basically offers prop bets between two people that an event will or won’t happen. Peruse through PredictIt and you’ll see:

  • Will Mark Zuckerberg testify to Congress before June 30?
  • Will Kim Jung-Un be North Korea’s leader at the end of 2018?
  • Who will be the 2020 Democratic nominee?
  • Will the U.S. government shut down PredictIt by April 2018?

Kidding about the last one.

Um, so isn’t this basically sports betting?

Seems that way. Betting big on a government shutdown isn’t much different than say, betting $2,000 to win $26 on an NCAA tournament game.

Although, oddly, a PredictIt wager on Trump tweeting actually seems like a safer bet.

The old Bodogs (now Bovada), Paddys, and other bookmakers have gained good PR off of these more everyday props for years. However, they’re still props, and whether the wager is against the house or a peer, you’re making a bet.

So yes, this is basically sports betting. And it’s open for business in the U.S.

PredictIt is based in New Zealand


Chops Avatar
Written by

Steve “Chops” Preiss has 15 years of experience in the gaming industry. Chops began writing and producing content for digital media sites during the early poker-boom years. He has twice been voted by his peers as one of the 20 Most Influential People in Poker. Chops has also written and produced segments for a primetime gaming TV show on Versus (now NBC Sports Network) and distributed a poker program to over 160M global households.

View all posts by Chops