World Baseball Classic Prediction Markets: Picks, Probabilities, and Props

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Written By Caleb Tallman | Published at March 10, 2026
Mar 9, 2026; Houston, TX, United States; United States outfielder Aaron Judge (99) reacts in the middle of the fourth inning against Mexico at Daikin Park. Mandatory Credit: Troy Taormina-Imagn Images

The World Baseball Classic Prediction Markets are starting to pick up, with some probabilities shifting like crazy. Favorites like the United States and Dominican Republic are off to hot starts. With rosters stacked with MLB All-Star talent, it is no surprise. They are not the only ones in the hunt, though, with Japan's disciplined play and some elite pitching making them a contender as well.

There are plenty of hot markets, from daily games to be traded on, to the World Baseball Classic winner market, which already has over $5 million in volume at Kalshi. We have you covered with everything you need to know about the Best Sports Prediction Markets for the World Baseball Classic.

World Baseball Classic Winner Prediction Market Prices

Here are the up-to-date prices from Crypto.com for favorites to win the World Baseball Classic. The United States remains the favorite, but the Dominican Republic and Japan have a strong probability as well. They are the top three by a wide margin, but sleeper picks like Venezuela and Mexico are also worth considering.

TeamTo Win World Baseball ClassicTo Lose Win World Baseball Classic
USAYes $0.51 No $0.53
Dominican RepublicYes $0.25 No $0.79
JapanYes $0.22 No $0.81
VeneuelaYes $0.09 No $0.93
MexicoYes $0.03 No $0.98

Prices via Crypto.com, taken on March 10, at 9.28 AM ET

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Not only can you purchase contracts on which team will win it all, but you can also make trades on which teams will make it to the Semifinals and the Championship game. So while you may not think Mexico is good enough or has the depth to win it all, you think they can fight their way to the semifinal, well, there are prediction markets available for that.

TeamTo Reach WBC SemifinalTo Not Reach WBC Semifinal
USAYes 90¢ No 16¢
Dominican RepublicYes 83¢ No 21¢
JapanYes 71¢ No 30¢
Puerto RicoYes 45¢ No 58¢
VeneuelaYes 42¢ No 63¢
MexicoYes 36¢ No 73¢
KoreaYes 24¢ No 80¢
ItalyYes 19¢ No 83¢
TeamTo Reach WBC FinalTo Not Reach WBC Final
USAYes 73¢ No 29¢
JapanYes 51¢ No 50¢
Dominican RepublicYes 46¢ No 55¢
VeneuelaYes 15¢ No 88¢
MexicoYes 14¢ No 89¢
Puerto RicoYes 11¢ No 94¢
KoreaYes 9¢ No 98¢

Prices via Kalshi, taken on March 10, at 9:28 AM ET

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There is no shortage of star talent participating in the World Baseball Classic. With stars like Aaron Judge, Shohei Ohtani, Juan Soto, and more leading their teams and making big plays, the winner of the World Baseball Classic MVP is an intriguing Market.

World Baseball Classic MVP

Aaron Judge "Yes 23¢ / No 80¢"

Shohei Ohtani "Yes 22¢ / No 81¢"

Junior Caminero "Yes 8¢ / No 96¢"

Bobby Witt Jr. "Yes 6¢ / No 97¢"

Juan Soto "Yes 7¢ / No 94¢"

Prices via Kalshi, taken on March 10, at 9:28 AM ET

Daily World Baseball Game Markets

There are some incredible matchups every single day of the World Baseball Classic. Check out today's matchups, including where to watch World Baseball Classic games, game information, and up-to-date market prices.

Israel (1-2) vs. Netherlands (1-2) at 7:00 P.M. ET on Fox Sports App

Canada (1-1) vs. Puerto Rico (3-0) 7:00 P.M. ET TUBU

Italy (2-0) vs. United States (2-0) 9:00 P.M. ET on FS1

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Prices via Crypto.com, taken on March 10, at 9.28 AM ET

 

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