Prediction Markets News Today 7/17: Trump at World Cup, SpaceX

We're back and looking at the best prediction markets news today on Kalshi! In this series, we won't necessarily stick to just sports. We'll look at all the markets trending for trades on Kalshi and put a little context behind each one. Let's dive into the action for July 17.

Prediction Markets News Today for July 17

President Donald Trump always seems to be trending across the United States for a multitude of reasons, and Kalshi is on top of one market that's booming right now: "Will Trump attend the World Cup final?" It's trading like a near-lock, sitting at Yes 97 cents and No 2.5 cents.

Meanwhile, the pricing makes sense because just about every major outlet has confirmed the news. The White House announced Thursday that Trump will attend Sunday's final at MetLife Stadium, on July 19. The World Cup title clash is between Spain and Argentina. Trump is expected to join FIFA president Gianni Infantino for the trophy presentation.

The market will pay out on July 20. Of course, the contract stays open until it's official, because anything can happen. Trump could backpedal, or something could come up that keeps him away. Most fans will lock eyes on the game itself, but plenty of traders will be just as tuned in to whether the president is actually in the stands.

The World Cup final is set to begin on Sunday at 3 ET. The championship wraps up an event that lasted nearly 40 days. The 2030 World Cup will be hosted primarily by Spain, Portugal, and Morocco, with three centenary opening matches held in South America — one each in Uruguay, Argentina, and Paraguay — to mark 100 years since the first World Cup.

Kalshi Business: How Many Launches Will SpaceX Have in July?

Now, let's shift gears to things launching into the sky. SpaceX is making headlines all July, and Kalshi has a market for it: "How many launches will SpaceX have in July?" There's a full range of trading options here, spanning from above 10 all the way to above 18 launches. Of course, you can select Yes or No on whichever tier you choose.

According to multiple media outlets, SpaceX has completed eight launches so far this month. The schedule has been a slate made up largely of Starlink missions with a handful of other payloads sprinkled in.

With roughly half the month still to go, this one comes down to how you read the launch cadence down the stretch. Will the company keep stacking Starlink flights at its usual relentless pace?

That's a wrap on today's top prediction markets. Good luck, and have fun trading some event contracts on Kalshi!