NFL Super Bowl Prediction Markets: Rams Lead Board After Week 1

The Super Bowl prediction markets are already attracting eye-watering volume as Week 1 of the new NFL season wraps.

Over $100 million has been traded on the NFL champion market on Kalshi so far. Every team is a value pick right now as traders eye up long-term prospects. That’s where you can jump in and buy event contracts months before the conferences have been decided.

With Week 1 over, the Los Angeles Rams are favorite with Kalshi traders, despite a chastening first-game loss.

2027 NFL Super Bowl Prediction Market: Frontrunners

The NFL is back, and so are the many prediction markets offering trades on the outright winners.

In theory, there’s a lot more “research” done on NFL teams, form, and prospects. That makes Kalshi board probabilities more accurate than centralized sportsbooks.

Plus, with prediction markets, you can buy event contracts low now, then sell later once a team has racked up a few wins.

Let’s look a little closer at some of the board leaders at Kalshi right now.

LA Rams ‘Yes’ @ $0.13

The Rams’ first week opener headed Down Under in a relocation that’s certain to be replicated during the season.

The change of scenery didn’t help the Rams, who went down 27–7 versus the 49ers. That was despite our tip to cover the Rams spread against an injury-hit San Francisco team.

The Rams are still Super Bowl favorites, however. The long trip to Australia didn’t help the Rams, and they were disadvantage by only having a couple of days to recover before taking to the field.

Aaron Donald didn’t travel and Myles Garrett just didn’t perform. We’ll put this one down to first-week jitters, giving you the chance to buy ‘Yes’ shares at a discount now.

Our pick: Rams to come good, Kalshi, $0.13

Buffalo Bills: ‘Yes’ @ $0.09

We tipped the Bills on the road vs. the Houston Texans in Week 1, and the tip came good. The Josh Allen passing yards prop bet (334 yds) and total touchdowns (2 TDs) were also winners.

A Josh-Allen led team is tested in the coming weeks. Their first five games are against teams that are well-backed to win the Super Bowl. Expect that $0.09 share price to increase if the Bills can navigate those tough early games.

Our pick: The Bills are the value play, Kalshi, $0.09

San Francisco 49ers: ‘Yes’ @ $0.08

The 49ers got their 2026–2027 season off to the perfect start Down Under with a win against a lagging Rams team. That was enough to spike the odds of a 49ers Super Bowl win at online sportsbooks.

Prediction markets were a little more cautious, however, with the 49ers only moving up a percentage point to $0.08. Traders know it’s early in the season, and volatile prices can shift even further.

The Rams win was a statement from San Francisco. Brock Purdy shone with 25 from 34 passes completed. He also scored three touchdowns. Plus, Nick Bosa and Fred Warner are back in the team after missing chunks with injury last season.

Our pick: Buy the hype now at Kalshi, $0.08 

The NFL is back and early shock results are already moving markets. Check back tomorrow for another trending prediction market tip.