Next Nvidia CEO Prediction Market: Ian Buck Favored After Jensen Huang Exit

Ian Buck is the early market leader to succeed Jensen Huang as Nvidia's CEO following this week’s shock departure.

Over $1.1 million has already been traded on Polymarket as the race to lead the tech giant heats up. However, while Ian Buck’s probability is a steady 29-30%, more money has been traded on some of the outsiders.

And what about a stay of execution for Jensen Huang himself? “No change” is an 8% outside chance, with over $313,000 in contracts bought and sold on that outcome.

Next CEO of Nvidia Prediction Market: Frontrunners

Nvidia boss Jensen Huang quit the company he helped set up earlier this week. Not only did he have an affair with an alleged Chinese spy, but it also emerged that he’d had a second extra-marital affair with a colleague.

Huang left Nvidia with immediate effect on Thursday. With no succession plan in place, the microchip giant is scrambling to appoint a successor.

The prediction markets have sprung into life since Huang left his post. Let’s look at where the smart money is going.

Ian Buck: ‘Yes’ @ $0.29

Ian Buck is the clear frontrunner to be the next Nvidia CEO, according to Polymarket traders. He already manages the company’s AI wing, placing him firmly in the area of growth Nvidia will be looking for in the coming years.

There’s also interest in Rene Haas at $0.13, who currently leads another microchip giant, Arm Holdings. Should Nvidia seek to recruit within as they steady the ship, the odds of Haas taking over don’t offer value.

Our pick: Ian Buck is the clear-ish favorite – Polymarket, $0.29

Colette Kress: ‘Yes’ @ $0.14

Colette Kress has stepped into the void as interim CEO at Nvidia while a wider search is conducted. That eased the financial markets and helped Nvidia’s share price recover some of the ground it lost following Huang’s resignation.

Kress has the Nvidia backstory, having served as the company’s chief financial officer for the past 13 years. She knows the company inside and out and has been instrumental in its growth on the path to becoming a multi-trillion-dollar tech firm.

Our pick: Kress the continuity pick – Polymarket, $0.14

Jensen Huang to Stay (No Change): ‘No’ @ $0.92

Jensen Huang is out at Nvidia. However, with no obvious successor at the chip manufacturer, could he somehow stay?

Donald Trump came out this week and called Huang an “honorable guy”. However, it’s not clear whether he meant honorable for quitting or for having an affair with an alleged Chinese spy.

The pain isn’t over for Huang. He has been summoned to testify before Congress about his affair with the alleged Chinese operative. That storm combined with a magical return to Nvidia? Highly unlikely.

The super-slim chance of a Huang stay of execution hasn’t put off some of the more speculative traders. Huang ‘Yes’ contracts traded at $0.08 yesterday, up from $0.05 after he quit the company.

Let’s just say, for the sake of investors and Nvidia’s share price alone, Huang isn’t coming back.

Our pick: Huang is out for good – Polymarket, $0.92

Political intrigue and tech firms: who said we didn’t do things sexy on this page? Check back next week for more trending prediction market picks.