NCAA Tournament Prediction Markets: East Region Round of 64 Picks & Preview

Written By Caleb Tallman | Published at March 16, 2026
Mar 14, 2026; Charlotte, NC, USA; Duke Blue Devils guard Isaiah Evans (3) hoists the trophy after defeating the Virginia Cavaliers in the men's ACC Conference Tournament Championship at Spectrum Center. Mandatory Credit: Bob Donnan-Imagn Images

The NCAA Tournament bracket is out, and March Madness is officially underway. The East Region is one of the NCAA Basketball Tournament's toughest regions. It is full of Blue Bloods, including the number one overall seed, Duke, and other heavyweights like UConn, Michigan State, Kansas, and St. John's. Sports Prediction Markets are going to be a fun way to get in on March Madness.

We are going to take you through the prices and probabilities for each of the NCAA Tournament East Region first-round games from the best Prediction Market apps. We will preview each game, share where to watch NCAA Tournament matchups, the NCAA Tournament locations for East Region games, and much more.

Prices for all games below via Kalshi, taken on March 15, at 8:47 AM ET

#1-#16 Duke vs. Sienna Prediction Markets

There have only been two 16-seed upsets over 1-seeds in NCAA Tournament history, and this won't be another one. Sienna has had a strong season, but just won't have the talent to keep up with Duke. Cameron Boozer (22.5 PPG & 10.2 RPG) will have a big first half, and the Blue Devils will win big, resting their stars in the second half.

Kalshi MarketYesNo
Duke to WinYesNo 1¢
Sienna to WinYes 2¢No 99¢
Duke Wins by Over 28.5 pointsYes 55¢No 50¢
Over 135.5 Points ScoredYes 58¢No 50¢

Where/When to Watch Duke vs. Sienna: Thu. March 19, 2:50 p.m. CBS

Duke vs. Sienna Location: Bon Secours Wellness Arena, Greenville, SC

#8-#9 Ohio State vs. TCU Predictions Markets

One of the most exciting round of 64 matchups is Ohio State against TCU, as both teams are peaking at the right time. The Buckeyes have a strong star duo with Bruce Thornton (20.2 PPG & 5.1 RPG) and John Mobley (15.7 PPG) carrying a heavy load. While TCU has more depth, it lacks a set of elite go-to players like Ohio State. This one will be close, but we favor Thornton's elite-level scoring to help the Buckeyes find a way to win.

Kalshi MarketYesNo
Ohio State to WinYes 56¢No 45¢
TCU to WinYes 45¢No 57¢
Ohio St. Wins by Over 2.5 pointsYes 52¢No 50¢
Over 146.5 Points ScoredYes 51¢No 51¢

Where/When to Watch Ohio State vs. TCU: Thu. March 19, 12:15 p.m. CBS

Ohio State vs. TCU Location: Bon Secours Wellness Arena, Greenville, SC

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#5-#12 St. Johns vs. Northern Iowa Predictions Markets

St. John's is coming off an electric Big East Conference Tournament championship run. While Northern Iowa has a strong history as an upset special. Ali Farokhmanesh is not walking through the door, though, for the Panthers. Legendary coach Rick Pitino will have the Red Storm ready, and there is no chance they get upset in the first round.

Kalshi MarketYesNo
St. John's to WinYes 84¢No 17¢
Northern Iowa to WinYes 18¢No 83¢
St. John's Wins by Over 11.5 pointsYes 48¢No 55¢
Over 131.5 Points ScoredYes 54¢No 50¢

Where/When to Watch St. John's vs. Northern Iowa: Fri. March 20, 7:10 p.m. CBS

St. John's vs. Northern Iowa Location: Viejas Arena San Diego, CA

#4-#13 Kansas vs. CA Baptist Predictions Markets

Most fans would assume that potential lottery pick Darryn Peterson would be the highest level score in Kansas' first round matchup. That is not the case, though, as CA Baptist's Dominque Daniels (23.2 PPG) is a top-five leading scorer in all of college basketball. Daniels will likely have a big game, but that won't be enough for the Lancers to pull off the upset unless Peterson for Kansas isnt 100% healthy, as he struggled to stay on the floor all season.

Kalshi MarketYesNo
Kansas to WinYes 89¢No 12¢
CA Baptist to WinYes 13¢No 88¢
Kansas Wins by Over 13.5 pointsYes 55¢No 50¢
Over 135.5 Points ScoredYes 55¢No 50¢

Where/When to Watch Kansas vs. CA Baptist: Fri. March 20, 9:45 p.m. CBS

Kansas vs. CA Baptist Location: Viejas Arena San Diego, CA

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#6-#11 Louisville vs. South Florida Predictions Markets

If there is an upset brewing in the East Region of the NCAA Tournament, it could be this matchup between Louisville and South Florida. Louisville ends the season battling injuries, and if some of its guys aren't a full go, South Florida can take advantage. The Cardinals' front court has been a weakness all season, too, and South Florida's Izaiyah Nelson (15.7 PPG & 9.6 RPG) is a handful in the paint, which could spell trouble for Louisville.

Kalshi MarketYesNo
Louisville to WinYes 68¢No 33¢
USF to WinYes 34¢No 67¢
Louisville Wins by Over 6.5 pointsYes 45¢No 56¢
Over 165.5 Points ScoredYes 50¢No 52¢

Where/When to Watch Louisville vs. South Florida: Thu. March 19, 1:30 p.m. TNT

Louisville vs. South Florida Location: KeyBank Center, Buffalo, NY

#3-#14 Michigan State vs. North Dakota State Predictions Markets

January, February, IZZO, a long-accustomed term this time of year. Tom Izzo regularly does more with less, and this year, he has a pretty talented veteran-led team. The Spartans are poised for a deep run, and while NDSU is solid, it's doubtful they give Michigan State much trouble.

Kalshi MarketYesNo
Michigan State to WinYes 93¢No 8¢
NDSU to WinYes 9¢No 92¢
Michigan State Wins by Over 16.5 pointsYes 51¢No 51¢
Over 142.5 Points ScoredYes 55¢No 51¢

Where/When to Watch Michigan State vs. North Dakota State: Thu. March 19, 4:05 p.m. TNT

Michigan State vs. North Dakota State Location: KeyBank Center, Buffalo, NY

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#7-#10 UCLA vs. UCF Predictions Markets

This one is going to be a battle between the Bruins and the Knights. The key to watch in this matchup is UCLA's health. Their top two scorers, Tyler Bilodeau (17.6 PPG & 5.6 RPG) and Donovan Dent (13.5 PPG & 7.6 APG), both left the Big Ten Tournament injured. If either player is limited, UCF will likely win this one. Even if both players are a full go, this one will be a battle, and make sure to keep an eye on the probabilities at Kalshi as player availability becomes known.

Kalshi MarketYesNo
UCLA to WinYes 69¢No 33¢
UCF to WinYes 33¢No 68¢
UCLA Wins by Over 6.5 pointsYes 47¢No 55¢
Over 153.5 Points ScoredYes 50¢No 53¢

Where/When to Watch UCLA vs. UCF: Fri. March 20, 7:25 p.m. TBS

UCLA vs. UCF Location: Xfinity Mobile Arena, Philadelphia, PA

#2-#15 UConn vs. Furman Predictions Markets

UConn had a disappointing result to finish the Big East Tournament, getting handled by St. John's. That spells bad news for Furman because a motivated UConn team is not to be trifled with. Consistency has been their problem, but they have handled business against lesser opponents this season and should again vs. Furman.

Kalshi MarketYesNo
UConn to WinYes 96¢No 5¢
Furman to WinYes 5¢No 96¢
UConn Wins by Over 21.5 pointsYes 50¢No 55¢
Over 153.5 Points ScoredYes 49¢No 53¢

Where/When to Watch UConn vs. Furman: Fri. March 20, 10:00 p.m. TBS

UConn vs. Furman Location: Xfinity Mobile Arena, Philadelphia, PA