NCAA Tournament Prediction Markets: 2026 Conference Tournament and NCAA Props

It is the best month of the year for college basketball fans, as we are in the midst of the Conference Tournaments and the NCAA Tournament right around the corner. March Madness has officially begun, and the Prediction Markets are here for it. This week, teams will fight for Conference Tournament championships as they try to secure an automatic bid into the big dance.

We will take a look at everyone from Mid-Major teams that have secured their bids, especially coming out of leagues where they might only get one bid. For high-major teams trying to secure a spot in the NCAA Tournament or earn a higher seed through strong performance, Conference Tournaments like the ACC, Big Ten, SEC, and Big 12 all start this week.

The Best Sports Prediction Markets platforms are offering quite a few intriguing Markets. The probabilities range from Conference Tournament Championships and the NCAA Tournament Champion to round-by-round NCAA Tournament props.

ACC Men's Conference Tournament Champion 2026

After running away with the Regular Season Conference Championship, the Duke Blue Devils are poised to follow that up with an ACC Conference Tournament Championship. They are the prediction markets favorite. Yet the probability value is not that strong, as a $100 trade currently only gets you a $132 return.

To look for better value, the Virginia Cavaliers, who came in second in the ACC Regular season with a 15-3 conference record. Three losses in conference play would have been good enough to win the ACC in five of the last seven seasons, but Duke just had a special season, one of the best in regular-season conference history.

Virginia plays a slower pace and has great depth with nine players averaging over 15 minutes. That sets them up well for a deep run, and in a one-game scenario against Duke in the ACC Tournament final, anything can happen. Especially as Duke deals with injuries to multiple starters and may be cautious in trying to get healthy for the NCAA Tournament.

Prices via Kalshi, taken on March 9, at 4.19 AM ET

$10 Bonus

Code: PREMARLINES Copied!

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T&Cs apply, 18+

Big Ten Men's Conference Tournament Champion 2026

The Michigan Wolverines are a blueprint for the positive side of what a team built by the transfer portal can do. Their top four scorers all came via the transfer portal, and it has led them to a runaway Big Ten Regular Season Championship. Especially after watching the way they handled rival Michigan State in their final regular-season game, the Wolverines might be peaking at the right time.

The value of Michigan's probability to win the Big Ten Tournament is solid, too: a $100 trade would net you your trade back plus $97. Interestingly enough, their probability for a "No Trade" is even, so if you want to trade on the field, that's a solid market as well. Prediction Markets' Legality is not an issue, as they are available across the US.

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Prices via Kalshi, taken on March 9, at 4.19 AM ET

Big 12 Men's Conference Tournament Champion Best Trades

The safest trade is the Arizona Wildcats, and the value is best of any favorite among the Power Conference teams. They have a really solid squad, but one concern is their lack of depth. They really only go about eight deep, and playing games on consecutive days could be difficult for them. The same could be said for Iowa State, which has only six players averaging more than 15 minutes per game.

The Big 12 Tournament sets up better for Kansas or Houston, who have deeper rotations and can lean on the depth in a run to the Final. For the Jayhawks, though, you have to wonder if Darryn Peterson is likely to play multiple games in a row on consecutive days. That's why the best trade value is the Houston Cougars, who have elite guard play, with three guards averaging double figures, and depth, with 10 players averaging over 10 minutes per game.

Prices via Kalshi, taken on March 9, at 4.19 AM ET

$10 Bonus

Code: PREMARLINES Copied!

Trade Now

T&Cs apply, 18+

SEC Men's Conference Tournament Champion 2026

The defending National Champion Florida Gators coasted to an SEC Regular Season Title and are the market favorite to win the SEC Tournament. Their value is strong too, with a probability of a "Yes Trade" at "48¢," which would yield a $109 profit on a $100 trade. The Gators' elite scoring depth is hard for teams to defend, as they have five players averaging double figures and a sixth just under at 9.9 PPG.

If you are looking for a high-value play, our SEC Tournament sleeper pick would be Arkansas. They have one of the most athletic big men in the country in Trevon Brazile, and two elite scoring guards, Darius Acuff Jr., and Meleek Thomas. Their ability to bull rush teams with their scoring can keep them in any game.

Prices via Kalshi, taken on March 9, at 4.19 AM ET

March Madness NCAA Tournament Prediction Markets

With the NCAA Tournament right around the corner, the March Madness prediction markets at Kalshi and Crypto.com are getting interesting with quite a few markets available. Keep up to date on Market Prices, as they will shift with every game played right now.

College Basketball Champion 2026

Prices via Crypto.com, taken on March 9, at 4.23 AM ET

College Basketball: To Reach Last Four

Prices via Crypto.com, taken on March 9, at 4.23 AM ET

100% up to $250

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T&Cs apply, 18+

Men's 1 Seed

Prices via Kalshi, taken on March 9, at 4.19 AM ET