Jensen Huang Prediction Markets: Nvidia Boss 75% To Be Out by New Year

Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang is fighting for his job, with the company board apparently meeting to discuss his future.

Huang’s position as president of the tech giant is in doubt after details emerged of an affair with a Chinese spy. However, it’s now emerging that Jensen Huang has been accused of a second affair with an Nvidia exec.

Polymarket has a full list of event contract prices on when Huang will be pushed – or decides to jump. Markets resolve when a departure is officially announced. And with the Nvidia board meeting today, that decision could come sooner rather than later.

Jensen Huang Departure Prediction Market: Value Plays

Jensen Huang was safe in his position as head of microprocessors giant Nvidia, with the company valued at over $4 trillion.

That was until news emerged of an affair with an alleged Chinese spy. The New York Times has also reported that Huang had a second affair with Nvidia executive Kimberly Powell.

Traders at prediction markets are now trying to price in Huang’s likely departure. An announcement this week is a coinflip, but the board is reportedly meeting. By the time you read this, Huang’s exit strategy may be in play.

Out by Dec. 31, 2026: ‘Yes’ @ $0.74

Huang’s fall from grace started with an affair with alleged Chinese spy, Alice Huang. Huang is an employee at Megaspeed, which runs data centers across Asia. It also purchases an enormous number of Nvidia microchips to help run the plants.

It’s no secret the Chinese intelligence is interested in microchip manufacturers like Nvidia, but the country naturally denies all involvement.

Not only is Jensen Huang under investigation by his own company but Congress wants to talk, too. Republican lawmakers have requested a meeting, not least to discover whether sensitive U.S. information has been mishandled.

The ‘Out by December 31’ market prices in delays in that meeting and any lag in Nvidia’s own investigation. $0.74 is a good price if you want to play the slightly longer game.

Our pick: A very bad Christmas present – Polymarket, $0.74

Out by Dec. 31, 2027: ‘Yes’ @ $0.79

The value play, if you can call it that, is by waiting out the outcome of an Nvidia investigation. However, some senators are already calling for Huang to resign now. However, Nvidia’s board for now says it doesn’t think any company secrets were misused.

Could public and political sentiment mean Huang has no outs? The $0.79 price offers slightly less value than backing a 2026 exit.

Our pick: Play the long game – Polymarket, $0.79

Out by Nov. 13, 2026>: ‘Yes’ @ $0.46

This is the nuclear option: trading today (Nov. 12) that Huang’s departure is announced by tomorrow. You’ll need to move quickly, but at $0.46, the event contracts offer some value.

The departure would be hugely embarrassing for Donald Trump, who by coincidence heads to China on a state visit next week.

The White House has permitted the sale of Nvidia chips to the Chinese with an inevitable amount of lobbying from Huang himself. However, accusations of spying would embarrass a president who may find himself being asked questions about Huang, rather than any new U.S.-China trade deals.

Our pick: Out in a day – Polymarket, $0.46

You must move fast in the world of prediction markets to grab value. As the political landscape changes, you need to grab the advantage where you can. Check back tomorrow for more trending prediction market tips.