‘Dancing with the Stars’ Prediction Markets: Frech Extends Lead After Shock Miller Elimination

Ciara Miller’s shock elimination from ‘Dancing with the Stars’ last night has triggered a flurry of activity on the prediction markets, with Ezra Frech extending his lead to win the show.

Season 35 of ‘DWTS’ is in full swing (and Mambo) as the celebrity Foxtrotters get whittled down.

There were 12 couples remaining on Tuesday as they danced along to some of Mariah Carey’s biggest songs. Mariah Week took a surprise scalp, however, after Ciara Miller and Brandon Armstrong were eliminated.

With 12 couples left from the original 18 ‘Dancing with the Stars’ pairs, let’s see if any value plays have emerged from the Kalshi board.

‘Dancing with the Stars’ Prediction Market: Latest Frontrunners

The Mariah Carey Week claimed its latest victim, and the prediction markets have reacted in real time as the field shortens.

Who will end up being the ‘Hero’ of the show, and who is just a ‘Fantasy’ for Kalshi traders?

You can trade ‘Yes’ and ‘No’ event contracts as the show continues. Almost $5 million has been traded on the ‘DWTS’ Season 35 winner so far. As the field thins even more, expect many more trades in and out.

Ezra Frech to win: ‘Yes’ @ $0.51

We highlighted Paralympian Ezra Frech’s contract at the start of the season when it cost $0.18. He’d secured a good Week 1 score of 20/30, helping push his ‘Yes’ price up from a prerecording $0.09.

At $0.51, Frech still represents a coinflip compared to traditional odds at the online sportsbooks. However, he is by some distance the outright favorite from Amber Glenn at $0.14.

Frech and partner Daniella Karagach performed the Rumba in Week 4, scoring 24 out of 30 in the process. The momentum is still with these two.

Our pick: Frech still the strong buy – Kalshi, $0.51

Maura Higgins: ‘Yes’ @ $0.14

Higgins was trading as high as $0.40 after Week 1’s standout dance but her price has slumped a little. At $0.14, she still represents value, even more so after a shock score lead in Week 4.

Higgins and Mark Ballas top-scored 25 out of 30, giving Kalshi traders a headache going into next week’s show.

Our pick: Higgins is the value play – Kalshi, $0.14

Jenna Dewan: ‘Yes’ @ $0.05

U.S. actress and dancer Jenna Dewan has been this season’s slow burner. There was genuine optimism over her chances going into this season of ‘Dancing with the Stars’. ‘Yes’ contracts traded in the high 60s before the show aired.

Since then, it’s been something a downward spiral for Dewan. She’s bubbled around the teens, settling this week at $0.05.

However, ‘The Rookie’ actress and partner Val Chmerkovsky overcame judge criticism this week to score 24 out of 30.

“Jenna has entered the ballroom,” purred judge, Derek Hough. That $0.05 share is suddenly looking very cheap indeed if this trend continues.

Our pick: The upward trend on Jenna – Kalshi, $0.05

‘Dancing with the Stars’ continues next week, but you can read our trending prediction market tips tomorrow. Check back for more advice.