‘Dancing with the Stars’ Prediction Markets: Ezra Frech Retains No. 1 Spot After Week 7 Double Bustout

It’s time for a regular check on the "Dancing with the Stars" prediction markets, with Ezra Frech's implied probability of winning the season rising.

After a shock double elimination in Week 7, we're down to just seven celebrities.

Harry Shum. Jr. was an early favorite to win the season, but his price has slumped in recent weeks. An amazing score of 40 has seen Shum Jr’s price rise from a low of $0.08. Is there more play to be had?

But it’s Paralympian Ezra Frech — one of the other hot favorites from the outset — who is the clear leader at 58%. Amber Glenn will need to do a lot to catch up, but her 15% offers value play if you want some longer-term action.

‘Dancing with the Stars’ Prediction Market: Current Frontrunners

With Halloween approaching, "DWTS" hosted a ‘Horror Movie Night’. The celebrities and their professional dancing partners revisited horror classics as they tried to wow the judges and earn big scores.

The prediction markets offer a range of contracts, not just on the outright winners. You can trade ‘Yes’ and ‘No’ shares on who will reach the final, or the couple who will reach the Top 3.

There’s also a market on the next-episode elimination: a quicker way to profit if you don’t want to wait for the whole season to play out.

Ezra Frech: ‘Yes’ @ $0.58

Ezra Frech is the man to beat this season. We have tipped him all season, backing him at $0.51 earlier this month.

The first perfect 10 of the season came during Horror Movie Night as Frech and partner Daniella Karagach fought through blisters (Ezra’s, not Daniella’s).

However, other contestants' slip-ups didn’t dent Frech’s chances of winning the season. If anything, they have only improved them. Does Amble Glenn have what it takes to come back?

Our pick: Frech still the worthy favorite – Kalshi, $0.58

Amber Glenn: ‘Yes’ @ $0.15

Amber Glenn is a former figure skater, so she has the moves and balance to keep doing well on "DWTS".

The choice of a tango for Horror Movie Night was inspired, helping Glenn and her partner score 36. Can they improve on that for next week’s Disney night? 

Our pick: Amber Glenn still holds value – Kalshi, $0.15

Tatyana Ali: ‘Yes’ @ $0.01

Tatyana Ali is the serious value play in the DWTS prediction market. She and partner Jan Ravnik finished in the bottom three in Week 7 and looked set for an exit. However, they somehow avoided the double elimination and got another day.

It looks like Disney Night for the next show, and some commentators say they have been seriously undersold this season. Will Ravnik’s choreography fit the Disney vibe better than the horror theme?

Ali and Ravnik may not win, but $0.01 presents an opportunity to sell contracts later if their price rises even a fraction.

You can even pick up value on Tatyana Ali reaching the final. She’s priced at $0.24 to make it.

Our pick: Value play in Tatyana Ali – Kalshi, $0.24 

It’s still all to play for in "Dancing with the Stars" this season. Can Ezra Frech keep up the pressure, or can value picks like Amber Glenn and Harry Shum Jr. catch up?

Check back for our regular "DWTS" updates or find the biggest trades on trending markets.